Large convective area in the Gulf of Tehuantepec

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PDT MON JUL 16 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM COSME...LOCATED ABOUT 1665 MILES EAST OF HILO HAWAII.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE EXTEND
FROM THE MEXICAN COAST ALONG THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOUTHWESTWARD
FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. THIS ACTIVITY IS DISORGANIZED AND ANY
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. HOWEVER...THIS
SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL MEXICO
BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND ACAPULCO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN



Number 7 anyone!!!

[cycloneye]

[HURAKAN]

I forgot that yesterday was the first day of the Graphical TWO. Great!!!

[HURAKAN]

Low pressure trying to develop but almost over land.

[Cyclenall]

Wow, that area looks nice and organized. Too bad it's already heading inland and the disturbance may have a hard time forming.

[JonathanBelles]

Another feature of the GTWO, that circle is clickable and comes with a summary.

[Cyclenall]

What direction is this moving? I said "too bad it's going to be moving inland" but I shouldn't say that since I don't even know what direction it's going!

From the TWO:

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE EXTEND
FROM THE MEXICAN COAST ALONG THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOUTHWESTWARD
FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE
SLOW TO OCCUR. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS
OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO EASTWARD DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.
[/QUOTE]

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2007

...CORRECTED TO UPGRADE COSME TO A HURRICANE...

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-UPGRADED HURRICANE COSME...LOCATED ABOUT 1605 MILES EAST
OF HILO HAWAII.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE EXTEND
FROM THE MEXICAN COAST ALONG THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOUTHWESTWARD
FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE
SLOW TO OCCUR. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS
OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO EASTWARD DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[Andrew92]

I think if this area wants to develop, it needs to get away from land. Also, there's a bit of a trend I'm noticing among developments in the EPAC. It can be found in the EPAC observations thread. Based on the trend I've noticed, I'm going to guess that if this disturbance somehow develops, it is no stronger than a depression. However, it will still leave some flooding rains in Mexico.

-Andrew92