new invest, but in epac?

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punkyg
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new invest, but in epac?

#1 Postby punkyg » Thu Oct 11, 2007 3:08 pm

I don't know where to put this, but listen we have a new invest for the atlantic, but its in the pacific.
hmmmm wierd anyways i think this is whats left of our last invest 94L.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml
Image
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#2 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Oct 11, 2007 3:53 pm

Looks like ex-94L to me as well.
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#3 Postby punkyg » Thu Oct 11, 2007 4:12 pm

Does any one know why its a invest for the atlantic and not the pacific?
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RL3AO
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Re:

#4 Postby RL3AO » Thu Oct 11, 2007 4:14 pm

punkyg wrote:Does any one know why its a invest for the atlantic and not the pacific?


Just an error on the SSD site.
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#5 Postby Chacor » Thu Oct 11, 2007 11:42 pm

ABPZ20 KNHC 120430
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 PM PDT THU OCT 11 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTEND UP TO SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COASTS
OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS THIS SYSTEM REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN
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#6 Postby Chacor » Fri Oct 12, 2007 7:06 am

ABPZ20 KNHC 121026
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PDT FRI OCT 12 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTEND UP TO SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COASTS
OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE MAY BE FORMING IN THE TROUGH ABOUT 275 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...AND ADDITIONAL SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS AREA IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN
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Re: new invest, but in epac?

#7 Postby Ptarmigan » Fri Oct 12, 2007 10:11 am

Jeff Master's take on what was Invest 94L.

The "sleeping giant" Yucatan low
A large low pressure system that moved inland over Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula Monday continues to bring heavy rain to Mexico, Belize, and Guatemala. Satellite estimates of rainfall show that 1-2 inches of rain has fallen over the Yucatan, with isolated amounts up to five inches. The low crossed the Yucatan Wednesday and reached the edge of the Gulf of Mexico, where it began pulling in Gulf moisture and firing up some heavy thunderstorms. However, the low looped counter-clockwise back towards Belize before it could fully emerge into the Gulf. The low is now over northern Guatemala, and is still quite deep. Surface pressures at the center are about 1002 mb, the same level as a week ago. Satellite imagery shows a vigorous surface circulation around the low, which is kicking up impressive thunderstorms over Belize and the waters just offshore over the Western Caribbean. The low is drifting slowly eastwards towards the Western Caribbean, and could pop out over water on Saturday or Sunday. If this occurs, I believe the low will have enough spin to develop into a tropical depression. Steering currents are weak enough that the storm could stay trapped in the Western Caribbean for many many days, or it could loop northwestward back over the Yucatan Peninsula, arriving in the Gulf of Mexico on Monday. At that time, a trough of low pressure capable of turning the storm northwards towards Texas may arrive. This is the solution offered by the UKMET model. However, most of the computer models forecast that the low will never emerge into the Caribbean.

Lik
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#8 Postby RL3AO » Fri Oct 12, 2007 9:16 pm

Despite mentions in the TWO that it might develop, not assigned invest yet.
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Re: new invest, but in epac?

#9 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 13, 2007 8:54 am

It is now INVEST 90E.Go to Active Storms Forum for more information and discussions about that system.
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