NOEL Aftermath

[bvigal]

Still having intermittant squalls here. I've seen a spin on the radar loop all afternoon and this evening, is that a mid-level low? It was south of Vieques, now south of PR.

Everyone please stay indoors and keep a flashlight within grasp at all times!

Luis, Bless You! I don't know how you keep up with all the warnings, they are coming fast and furious! Also I think a special marine warning, marine weather statement, and high wind advisory. And of course small craft advisory, which isn't so unusual. We have so many boaters out here this weekend, I hope they all stay below decks and not try to dingy to dinner, drink, and late return. There is nothing worse than a serious mishap on your vacation hundreds of miles away from home! Thunder is booming to our south.

[cycloneye]

Here comes another bulletin,this one extending a flash flood warning for St Croix:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
907 PM AST FRI OCT 26 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING ISLAND

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 100 AM AST

* AT 857 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE ISLAND OF SAINT CROIX...WITH ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINFALL UPSTREAM OF THE ISLAND.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
FREDERIKSTED AND SOUTHEAST AND CENTRAL SAINT CROIX

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL HAS BEEN CAUSING LOCALIZED
FLOODING ON THE ISLAND OF SAINT CROIX. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN CONTINUED
FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES
THROUGH AT LEAST 1 AM AST. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND LANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.


LAT...LON 1768 6465 1767 6471 1764 6473 1764 6490
1766 6492 1779 6490 1779 6465
TIME...MOT...LOC 0107Z 139DEG 12KT 1814 6519

$$

[cycloneye]

Folks,look at this wall of water like a train.It does not look like it will weaken anytime soon.

[Vortex]

ST croix continues to be in the thick of things...This system is very energized! Should be interesting when it makes it to the western carribean.

[Vortex]

St.Croix continues to receive tremendous rains...

From StormCarib

St. Croix:

From: "Isabel Cerni" <hicerni at viaccess.net>
Date: Fri, 26 Oct 2007 21:29:57 -0400

We are being "bombarded" with almost continuous heavy rain punctuated with lightning and thunder all around us. As I just saw in the satellite imagery we are imbedded in RED! The rain started last night with power outages every two or three hours. The porch and part of the livingroom was flooded. My husband worked at fixing that problem today. The rain held up pretty much for the school day and let loose again big time for the rest of the day and night so far. I'm surprised we have not had more outages. We should continue the same for the next few days as there's a lot of moisture dragging behind this system, which is eventually to become a Tropical Depression. Those of you who have rivers and streams to deal with, I urge you to be very cautious. I'm always concerned that in Puerto Rico there are so many deaths due to vehicles being dragged away by the floods. The best thing in this weather is to stay indoors. Listen to good music, read a good book, have a good conversation, and be happy. God bless you!

Isabel

[cycloneye]

Another Flash Flood Warning for several towns in SE Puerto Rico:

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC015-069-085-095-109-129-151-270600-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0013.071027T0206Z-071027T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1006 PM AST FRI OCT 26 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
SAN LORENZO
LAS PIEDRAS
ARROYO
PATILLAS
MAUNABO
HUMACAO
YABUCOA

* UNTIL 200 AM AST

* AT 1003 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING ACROSS LARGE SECTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO...WITH LARGE AREAS OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINFALL UPSTREAM OF THE AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE
FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS...STREAMS...ROADS AND ANY LOW LYING AREAS
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO THROUGH AT LEAST 2 AM AST.
ADDITIONALLY...MUDSLIDES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

LAT...LON 1814 6576 1801 6583 1797 6607 1810 6608
1815 6597 1816 6591
TIME...MOT...LOC 0206Z 320DEG 20KT 1704 6505

$$

SR

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC015-025-035-041-057-069-085-095-109-123-129-133-151-271200-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0017.071027T1000Z-071027T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
600 AM AST SAT OCT 27 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXPANDED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
CAGUAS
CIDRA
CAYEY
SAN LORENZO
LAS PIEDRAS
ARROYO
PATILLAS
MAUNABO
GUAYAMA
HUMACAO
SALINAS
SANTA ISABEL
YABUCOA

* UNTIL 800 AM AST

* AT 553 AM AST...NWS DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST AND EASTERN INTERIOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. SATURATED SOILS CANNOT RETAIN ANY MORE
RAINFALL...AND FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THESE AREAS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS
AND LANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING
AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 1802 6633 1807 6622 1819 6619 1822 6607
1812 6578 1792 6590 1793 6600 1790 6603
1792 6634
TIME...MOT...LOC 1000Z 180DEG 0KT 1802 6603

Good morning fellow Caribbean neigbors.It has been a rainy night in Puerto Rico,especially in the SE part of the island wher between 2-4 inches of rain has fallen and it looks like more rain is on tap for today thru tommorow.Here in San Juan,my gauge only has .29 compared with much higher data from the SE.Is a cool breezy morning (I have a jacket while typing this).Lets see what the rest of today bring in terms of rainfall and any news about floods,mudslides that may occur.

[gerrit]

Mornin' Luis,

Lots and lots of rain here in SE PR during the night. Right now it's dry but the next load is coming our way.
Going down to the valley later today - I need some groceries. Hopefully things are OK down there.

[knotimpaired]

Report from Vieques.

Yesterday we had 2.6" and this morning so far .35

We seem to be the hole in the donut as of now but we expect much more rain to come.

For those on Vieques continue to look at our weather page for radar.

[knotimpaired]

Luis,

Stay warm, I have a 2" thick long robe on.

It is cold over here.

K

[cycloneye]

More flash flood warnings:

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC015-025-035-041-057-069-085-095-109-123-129-133-151-271400-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0018.071027T1154Z-071027T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
754 AM AST SAT OCT 27 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
CAGUAS
CIDRA
CAYEY
SAN LORENZO
LAS PIEDRAS
ARROYO
PATILLAS
MAUNABO
GUAYAMA
HUMACAO
SALINAS
SANTA ISABEL
YABUCOA

* UNTIL 1000 AM AST

* AT 7:49 AM AST...NWS DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS POISED TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AND ASHORE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST AND EASTERN
INTERIOR PUERTO RICO DURING THE NEXT HOUR. THIS RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED TO INDUCE FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES OVER THE
WARNED AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS...AS WELL AS LAND ALONG THE BANKS OF
CREEKS AND STREAMS.

LAT...LON 1802 6633 1807 6622 1819 6619 1822 6607
1812 6578 1792 6590 1793 6600 1790 6603
1792 6634
TIME...MOT...LOC 1154Z 180DEG 0KT 1802 6603

$$

[caribepr]

With our fragile phone systems, I was offline most of the night and this morning until a little while ago. On the slow system here at the housesitting place, but staying as the dogs and cat are kind of freaked. Rain all night, and this morning. We got a dry spell for about an hour but it's starting to rain again, with the wind picking up. I really thought it was over for awhile last night.
No view of the full moon, my disappointment. Extemely minor compared to people who have flooding homes and roads, and mudslides going on.
No sailors left port here that I know of...adventurous yes, completely stupid, no. Doubt there is much going on racing wise anyway (party wise, I bet it's going on), as no doubt Jost is getting this just as much as we are.

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
VIC010-271630-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0019.071027T1337Z-071027T1630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
946 AM AST SAT OCT 27 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING ISLAND

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 1230 PM AST

* AT 941 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL INDICATED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN AFFECTING ST CROIX...ESPECIALLY
THE EAST HALF. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL
OCCUR THROUGH 1230 PM AND THIS WILL RESULT IN NEW FLASH FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS...ROADS...GUTS AND STREAMS...AND WILL FURTHER
AGGRAVATE ONGOING FLOODING. IN ADDITION...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 1769 6460 1764 6473 1764 6490 1768 6494
1776 6494 1782 6481 1778 6455 1773 6455
TIME...MOT...LOC 1337Z 180DEG 0KT 1795 6497

$$

BCS

[cycloneye]

The flash flood warnings keep comming.

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC009-015-025-029-035-037-041-053-057-063-069-077-085-089-095-103-
109-119-123-129-133-151-271700-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0020.071027T1359Z-071027T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1000 AM AST SAT OCT 27 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
CAGUAS
CIDRA
CAYEY
AIBONITO
JUNCOS
GURABO
SAN LORENZO
LAS PIEDRAS
ARROYO
LUQUILLO
PATILLAS
MAUNABO
NAGUABO
CEIBA
CANOVANAS
GUAYAMA
FAJARDO
HUMACAO
SALINAS
SANTA ISABEL
RIO GRANDE
YABUCOA

* UNTIL 100 PM AST

* AT 955 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGERS INDICATED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH
VERY HEAVY RAIN AFFECTING THESE AREAS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL OCCUR THROUGH 100 PM AND THIS WILL RESULT IN
NEW FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...ROADS...RIVERS AND
STREAMS...AND WILL FURTHER AGGRAVATE ONGOING FLOODING. IN
ADDITION...MUDSLIDES ARE LIKELY OVER AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 1802 6633 1819 6619 1827 6588 1842 6579
1840 6550 1820 6559 1814 6570 1792 6590
1792 6634
TIME...MOT...LOC 1359Z 180DEG 0KT 1802 6603

$$

BCS/RAM

[Gustywind]

Hi my friends, hope my neighbours are safe like Cycloneye Msbee Gerrit and the others....So we continue here in Guadeloupe with very grey rainy cool moist weather with numerous low clouds,and we experience some episodes of moderate to strong showers. Moreover , note that yesterday at 2 pm, Guadeloupe were put in an yellow alert for a moderate risk of strong showers and thunderstorms and thus this has been maintained today.
It's very cooler right now brrr lol near 23°c

[caribepr]

We are getting slammed right now. But safe here.

[Gustywind]

We are getting slammed right now. But safe here.

OK glad to know that caribpr, but i was very amazed this week by the high numbers of muslides affecting your island.. but given this huge values of water falling maybe not!! Hope that this episode will end before Monday for us in the East NE N carib ....

[BatzVI]

STT getting our share of this.....been raining all morning, been up since 5:30am.....hard rain right now....freezing on the northside also.....also have the sweater and sweat pants and socks...lol....

[Gustywind]

STT getting our share of this.....been raining all morning, been up since 5:30am.....hard rain right now....freezing on the northside also.....also have the sweater and sweat pants and socks...lol....

Yeah ok agree with you brrrr

[cycloneye]

Attention BatzVI:

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
VIC020-030-271800-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0021.071027T1506Z-071027T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1106 AM AST SAT OCT 27 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT JOHN
SAINT THOMAS

* UNTIL 200 PM AST

* AT 1100 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL INDICATED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING TOWARDS OR ALREADY
AFFECTING PARTS OF THESE ISLANDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO AS MUCH
AS 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED AREAS THROUGH 200 PM. THIS WILL
RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING OF URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS...ROADS...GUTS
AND STREAMS...AND WILL ONLY AGGRAVATE ONGOING FLOODED AREAS. IN
ADDITION...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE OVER AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND GUTS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 1836 6465 1826 6474 1827 6498 1831 6503
1843 6507 1844 6503 1840 6500 1843 6498
TIME...MOT...LOC 1506Z 180DEG 0KT 1834 6490

$$
RAM