Tropical Storm Chris

x-y-no · #101 Postby **x-y-no** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:34 am

boca wrote:The ULL is just sitting and spinning east of the Bahamas wouldn't that rip Chris apart since the ULL is not moving.The ULL has been their for 4 days now. What makes people think it will move anytime soon. If the ULL moves WNW like predicted it would ventilate Chris making it a 55knot storm.

Look at the larger scale pattern and you'll see that the trough is progressing over the Canadian maritimes now, and an upper level ridge is building in behind it over the top of the Bahamas ULL. That ought to push the ULL gradually westward.

boca · #102 Postby **boca** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:34 am

The ULL in the Bahamas looks like its drifting very slowly north. What does that mean for Chris if that occurs?

x-y-no · #103 Postby **x-y-no** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:36 am

boca wrote:The ULL in the Bahamas looks like its drifting very slowly north. What does that mean for Chris if that occurs?

I think that's an illusion caused by the convection flaring on the south side.

The northern periphery of the ULL isn't moving at all, and a ridge is building in over it.

rockyman · #104 Postby **rockyman** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:38 am

Tampa_God wrote:Haiti, PR and the rest should be okay. Mostly rain with this, but some landslides because of the rain. Cuba maybe need to be in the watching. If this goes between Cuba and S Florida, then it will have to be watched. But, we will have to see what the wind speeds are when it reaches that area.

If you definition of "okay" is no major hurricane, then you are probably right...but mudslides and flash floods are a major concern for these islands and, as we have seen in Houston, even a tropical storm can cause huge problems...

boca · #105 Postby **boca** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:38 am

Much appreciated x-y-no for the info.

Eyewall · #106 Postby **Eyewall** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:39 am

terstorm1012 wrote:wow...i dreamed Chris would pop up last night........

i'll be back later after I check out some upper air charts.

omg!!
SO DID I!
i dreamed it hit Ft. Lauderdale as a 70 mph storm!

WindRunner · #107 Postby **WindRunner** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:42 am

Hmmm, just over 3 hours to take off and no one's there? :lol:

#108 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:46 am

Ok on a serious note... What are the chances of it recurving and what are the chances it moves into the gulf?

#109 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:47 am

how do you get live satelite?

#110 Postby **GeneratorPower** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:48 am

So this is on St. Croix in the USVI?

#111 Postby **bvigal** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:48 am

HurricaneQueen wrote:Great post, Rockyman. I was just about to post the same thing. We have many people in the islands to worry about before it eventually "might" hit the US. Most of the northern Leeward islands are under a Storm Warning with other under a Watch. Those are the ones in the path NOW not some hypothetical destination in the future.

Stay safe, BVIgal, Barb, irina, MJ, Luis, HUC and all the others whose names I forget right now because I am senile!!!

Lynn

Thanks you guys! Getting the "getting ready" out of the way, and ship passengers are being moved to hotels today, and everyone is tying down. For some it takes better part of 2 days to remove sails and rigging and stow them. 50+kts will cause damage. Then there's 600 or more rubber dingys which 50kts will have airborn that must be hauled and tied down. If you wait to see if the storm is REALLY going to develop (yes, I know, it could just fizzle), then it's too late. You have to assume the worst and prepare for it. Due to short time and lots to do, I probably won't read this thread anymore - too much junk to wade through - so if I miss any more posts like this my apologies in advance. But I do appreciate you who think of us few down here!!! :lol:

#112 Postby **GeneratorPower** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:48 am

That's not live satellite. It's probably months old.

boca · #113 Postby **boca** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:50 am

Its all dependent upon who strong the High is and were the ULL will be. Right now its heading towards S FL at day 5. Tomorrow it will be somewhere else.

#114 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:51 am

SouthFloridawx wrote:Ok on a serious note... What are the chances of it recurving and what are the chances it moves into the gulf?

I say 50/50...with the all famous line "too early to tell".

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #115 Postby **senorpepr** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:51 am

fact789 wrote:how do you get live satelite?

It was a joke.

The image is months old.

x-y-no · #116 Postby **x-y-no** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:51 am

Stay safe, bvigal.

Even though this is unlikely to get dramatically stronger, I don't think the preparations are wasted. You're likely to get strong squally weather out of this at the very least.

#117 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:52 am

Fact....that's just Google Earth. You can get the same thing. It's not live...probably months are maybe a year or so old. It's just neat to see pictures like that.

x-y-no · #118 Postby **x-y-no** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:53 am

senorpepr wrote:
fact789 wrote:how do you get live satelite?

It was a joke.

The image is months old.

Don't believe him. I happen to know senorpepr is really an NSA/NRO operative. :lol:

Extremeweatherguy · #119 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:53 am

I can't believe I woke up to this! :eek:

Chris is expected to be all the way up to 55 knots in 5 days! Also, it looks like it could try to work into the GOM by next week if it turns back west like JB thinks it will. I will have to watch this very closely now!

#120 Postby **M_0331** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:53 am

Look at coordinates. USVI yes.....

Tropical Storm Chris

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