Tropical Storm Chris

[GeneratorPower]

Back to the Recon discussion?

[DESTRUCTION5]

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/ ... early1.png

Looks to me like alot of the early models have shifted a bit to the right(north) in the 00Z

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Can't wait intill the recon gets back in there!

[Trugunzn]

I dont think its jogging north. I think its just the convection wobbling

[KatDaddy]

Yeah Destruction, right into the GOM.

[wxboy222]

There is now a radar loop of TS Chris up courtesy IPR and MeteoFrance.

http://www.ipr365.net/iprshows/radar/

[HouTXmetro]

I really don't think Chris has Katrina/Rita potential. likeThe circulation is small and, thus, surge will only be an issue to a confined area. It has a minute chance of becoming a Charley-type storm and is more ly to be around a Cat 2/3 if (and that's a big if) it threads the needle and holds off the dry air.

Like many have said, Chris will make a name for himself, but I don't see how you can conlude Chris will remain small. IMO he has more than enough time to get bigger and stronger. Like many have said, once it get's into the Gulf all bets are off

[max]

I dont think its jogging north. I think its just the convection wobbling

Could be and we will find out in about 4 to 8 hours for sure.

I hope it goes out to sea but I think I am wishing for to much.

[Scorpion]

Katrina and Rita were small at start too....

[DESTRUCTION5]

Yeah Destruction, right into the GOM.

Yes but if the trend continues more of a Easter GOM threat IE (east of LA)

[HouTXmetro]

Yeah Destruction, right into the GOM.

Yes but if the trend continues more of a Easter GOM threat IE (east of LA)

What trend?

[Regit]

I really don't think Chris has Katrina/Rita potential.

Keep in mind that people didn't think Katrina or Rita had Katrina/Rita potential.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Yeah Destruction, right into the GOM.

Yes but if the trend continues more of a Easter GOM threat IE (east of LA)

What trend?

Nly shift in Model Runs..May be showing a sign of a weakness in the ridge when it hits the Gulf

[Extremeweatherguy]

Yeah Destruction, right into the GOM.

Yes but if the trend continues more of a Easter GOM threat IE (east of LA)

What trend?

Nly shift in Model Runs..May be showing a sign of a weakness in the ridge when it hits the Gulf

or it may be showing the northward wobble of the storm in recent hours.

[Nimbus]

Winds at Antigua are still light and have shifted around from the WSW. Must be a very small LLC with a tight gradient the pressures at Antigua are actually rising 1017!

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TAPA.html

[JonathanBelles]

any chance this storm will get bigger?

[KatDaddy]

Very true. IF Chris does make it to the GOM and moves over one of the eddys it could become another extreme threat for someone. Just because Chris is small in size now means nothing.

[HouTXmetro]

Yeah Destruction, right into the GOM.

Yes but if the trend continues more of a Easter GOM threat IE (east of LA)

What trend?

Nly shift in Model Runs..May be showing a sign of a weakness in the ridge when it hits the Gulf

That doesn't make much sense to me when the NHC's track have been shifting south all day.

[rockyman]

The system is looking very impressive tonight...it's getting the "fist" look to it...what many are mistaking for a northerly jog is actually the CDO getting "slung" around a center that appears to be strengthening a lot...once the convection gets slung all the way around, this system could really take off....look back at many of the "big ones" right before they went crazy and you'll see this same phenomenon.

[Scorpion]

Agreed. I remember commenting how Katrina and Rita were getting the "fist" when they were TS's.