Hurricane Gordon - Cat. 3

[Sanibel]

Looks like straight up and out.


Now, when you look at one of those south to north tracks in the Atlantic, you know how it happened.

[SouthFloridawx]

This is how it's looking at my vantage point.

[Nimbus]

Gordon chasing Florence north, a big old high over the Gulf of Mexico and,, whats this coming off the African coast?

[canetracker]

Cycloneye and Rock: Thanks! I should have read more thoroughly. That may be the precursor to mean Helene. Hopefully she will stay away from the Eastern Caribbean.

[wxman57]

Wxman57: Agree with the models and the northern turn, however, what do you mean by being a threat, temporarily, to the eastern Caribbean?

He meant the current wave now off the coast of Africa....

That is correct. I was talking about the wave near Africa possibly being an east Caribbean threat next week, NOT Gordon. Gordon is a fish threat.

[Brent]

60 mph at 11pm... forecast to be a hurricane in 24 hours.

[fci]

At this point, Gordon is the most impressive looking storm thus far this season.

[Normandy]

Gordon is well East of the NHC forecast points

[CrazyC83]

Chance of being a hurricane in 12 hours I think.

[wxman57]

Chance of being a hurricane in 12 hours I think.

I'd estimate more like 3-6 hours.

[Bailey1777]

This will be our first major IMO.

[Evil Jeremy]

Chance of being a hurricane in 12 hours I think.

I'd estimate more like 3-6 hours.

you serious?

[StormTracker]

E.J...it looks like the 2006 hurricane is truly on now! Believe that!!!

[fci]

Chance of being a hurricane in 12 hours I think.

I'd estimate more like 3-6 hours.

you serious?

Take a look at the satellite picture.
This system looks REAL good.

I think 3-6 hours is not our of the question.

[wxman57]

Chance of being a hurricane in 12 hours I think.

I'd estimate more like 3-6 hours.

you serious?

Yep, appears to be strengthening rapidly. May see an eye pop out by morning.

[StormTracker]

Fish or no fish everybody, "The parade has truly begun"!!!

[Normandy]

Chance of being a hurricane in 12 hours I think.

I'd estimate more like 3-6 hours.

you serious?

Yep, appears to be strengthening rapidly. May see an eye pop out by morning.

What do you think of Gordon's current position?

It quite a ways east of the track

[Bailey1777]

Definetly not a player but I think it will have muscle.

[Grease Monkey]

*looks around and sees nothing* 2006 season taking off?

[SouthFloridawx]

I was speaking with Aric Dunn tonight and we were chatting about the eventual track on Gordon. We noticed somethings that were happening that was happening with Gordon Currently. Aric brought up that it might get stuck in the COL region. Well GFS rolls out there there ya go. Has Gordo wandering about a bit out there through day 5.


In this first image we see it dramatically smaller than his bigger sister Florence down at it's current Position.



48 Hours From now


72 Hours From now


90 Hours


Finally 120 Hours.. cause anything past 5 days is total crap as far as track.


Imagine that Gordon gets caught under the same ridging that was supposed to remain weak.



Feel free to bash me all you want and I'm not saying it's going to hit the US as I am not a wishcaster but, I think the GFS 00Z solution may be a much more viable solution than such absolutely likely quick recurve as been stated here. I am just posting my opinion but, I'm also backing it up.

I really don't think that this system is going to be able to recurve through such a small weakness as it is right now. Call me a skeptic or whatever you want.

I do believe that it will recurve eventually but, not until the next trough comes down to tear open a new hole into a weakness. Likely the storm will meander a bit until steering currents become as such to sufficiently take the storm away. As it will be stuck in a COL. Col is the area between two high presures where the steering currents are weak



Flame away.