Hurricane Gordon - Cat. 3

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10348
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#121 Postby Sanibel » Mon Sep 11, 2006 8:43 pm

Looks like straight up and out.


Now, when you look at one of those south to north tracks in the Atlantic, you know how it happened.
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8344
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#122 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Sep 11, 2006 8:50 pm

This is how it's looking at my vantage point.
Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4933
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

#123 Postby Nimbus » Mon Sep 11, 2006 8:51 pm

Gordon chasing Florence north, a big old high over the Gulf of Mexico and,, whats this coming off the African coast?
0 likes   

User avatar
canetracker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 746
Age: 61
Joined: Wed Jul 27, 2005 8:49 pm
Location: Suburbia New Orleans...Harahan, LA

#124 Postby canetracker » Mon Sep 11, 2006 8:58 pm

Cycloneye and Rock: Thanks! I should have read more thoroughly. That may be the precursor to mean Helene. Hopefully she will stay away from the Eastern Caribbean.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22505
Age: 66
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#125 Postby wxman57 » Mon Sep 11, 2006 9:18 pm

ROCK wrote:
canetracker wrote:Wxman57: Agree with the models and the northern turn, however, what do you mean by being a threat, temporarily, to the eastern Caribbean?


He meant the current wave now off the coast of Africa....


That is correct. I was talking about the wave near Africa possibly being an east Caribbean threat next week, NOT Gordon. Gordon is a fish threat.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37143
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#126 Postby Brent » Mon Sep 11, 2006 9:36 pm

60 mph at 11pm... forecast to be a hurricane in 24 hours.
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
fci
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3297
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:29 am
Location: Lake Worth, FL

#127 Postby fci » Mon Sep 11, 2006 9:38 pm

At this point, Gordon is the most impressive looking storm thus far this season.
0 likes   

User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#128 Postby Normandy » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:18 pm

Gordon is well East of the NHC forecast points
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33398
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#129 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:35 pm

Chance of being a hurricane in 12 hours I think.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22505
Age: 66
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#130 Postby wxman57 » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:37 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Chance of being a hurricane in 12 hours I think.


I'd estimate more like 3-6 hours.
0 likes   

Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#131 Postby Bailey1777 » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:38 pm

This will be our first major IMO.
0 likes   

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5459
Age: 31
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

#132 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:49 pm

wxman57 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:Chance of being a hurricane in 12 hours I think.


I'd estimate more like 3-6 hours.


you serious?
0 likes   

User avatar
StormTracker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2902
Age: 58
Joined: Thu Jun 29, 2006 6:06 am
Location: Quail Heights(Redlands), FL.

#133 Postby StormTracker » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:54 pm

E.J...it looks like the 2006 hurricane is truly on now! Believe that!!! :D
0 likes   

User avatar
fci
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3297
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:29 am
Location: Lake Worth, FL

#134 Postby fci » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:54 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:Chance of being a hurricane in 12 hours I think.


I'd estimate more like 3-6 hours.


you serious?


Take a look at the satellite picture.
This system looks REAL good.

I think 3-6 hours is not our of the question.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22505
Age: 66
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#135 Postby wxman57 » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:54 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:Chance of being a hurricane in 12 hours I think.


I'd estimate more like 3-6 hours.


you serious?


Yep, appears to be strengthening rapidly. May see an eye pop out by morning.
0 likes   

User avatar
StormTracker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2902
Age: 58
Joined: Thu Jun 29, 2006 6:06 am
Location: Quail Heights(Redlands), FL.

#136 Postby StormTracker » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:56 pm

:lol: Fish or no fish everybody, "The parade has truly begun"!!!
0 likes   

User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#137 Postby Normandy » Mon Sep 11, 2006 10:57 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:Chance of being a hurricane in 12 hours I think.


I'd estimate more like 3-6 hours.


you serious?


Yep, appears to be strengthening rapidly. May see an eye pop out by morning.


What do you think of Gordon's current position?

It quite a ways east of the track
0 likes   

Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#138 Postby Bailey1777 » Mon Sep 11, 2006 11:00 pm

Definetly not a player but I think it will have muscle.
0 likes   

User avatar
Grease Monkey
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 727
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:25 pm

#139 Postby Grease Monkey » Mon Sep 11, 2006 11:30 pm

*looks around and sees nothing* 2006 season taking off? :na:
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8344
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#140 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Sep 11, 2006 11:52 pm

I was speaking with Aric Dunn tonight and we were chatting about the eventual track on Gordon. We noticed somethings that were happening that was happening with Gordon Currently. Aric brought up that it might get stuck in the COL region. Well GFS rolls out there there ya go. Has Gordo wandering about a bit out there through day 5.


In this first image we see it dramatically smaller than his bigger sister Florence down at it's current Position.

Image

48 Hours From now
Image

72 Hours From now
Image

90 Hours
Image

Finally 120 Hours.. cause anything past 5 days is total crap as far as track.
Image

Imagine that Gordon gets caught under the same ridging that was supposed to remain weak.

Image

Feel free to bash me all you want and I'm not saying it's going to hit the US as I am not a wishcaster but, I think the GFS 00Z solution may be a much more viable solution than such absolutely likely quick recurve as been stated here. I am just posting my opinion but, I'm also backing it up.

I really don't think that this system is going to be able to recurve through such a small weakness as it is right now. Call me a skeptic or whatever you want.

I do believe that it will recurve eventually but, not until the next trough comes down to tear open a new hole into a weakness. Likely the storm will meander a bit until steering currents become as such to sufficiently take the storm away. As it will be stuck in a COL. Col is the area between two high presures where the steering currents are weak

Image

Flame away.
0 likes   


Return to “2006”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest