Tropical Storm Alberto

[seaswing]

You guys do realize that Alberto is now at 70 mph winds and is expected to become a hurricane?

Yes, HurricaneHunter914, we realize that. We have heard you basically scare yourself about it. Now, run for the hills..

That was really an uncalled for statement being that you are in Germany.

[wx247]

You guys do realize that Alberto is now at 70 mph winds and is expected to become a hurricane?

I must have missed that somewhere.

Big squall coming into to Tampa/St. Pete within the next few minutes. Will be interesting to see wind readings within that.

[gatorcane]

You guys do realize that Alberto is now at 70 mph winds and is expected to become a hurricane?

I must have missed that somewhere.

Big squall coming into to Tampa/St. Pete within the next few minutes. Will be interesting to see wind readings within that.

Yep I posted this question earlier - I think 40-50mph gusts are possible.

[NBCintern]

You guys do realize that Alberto is now at 70 mph winds and is expected to become a hurricane?

Yes, HurricaneHunter914, we realize that. We have heard you basically scare yourself about it. Now, run for the hills..

That was really an uncalled for statement being that you are in Germany.

Never said I was in Germany. I am on vacay in Florida visiting parents before I go back in late July...

[HurricaneHunter914]

You guys do realize that Alberto is now at 70 mph winds and is expected to become a hurricane?

Yes, HurricaneHunter914, we realize that. We have heard you basically scare yourself about it. Now, run for the hills..

That was really an uncalled for statement being that you are in Germany.

I was just wondering because everyone is saying that Alberto is very disorganized so I thought you guys didn't get the memo. But I guess I just can't have one person critisize me after one post.

[seaswing]

Still uncalled for....

[CrazyC83]

NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST - just my prediction.

Did I nail this one or what (based on the predictions when it was a blob)? I am basically sticking to that prediction, which intensifies it to a hurricane in the next couple hours but weakens it from there before landfall in the Big Bend near St. Marks.

Note that nearly all the activity is on the east side of the storm and should remain so - don't follow that narrow line!



Current - 27.1/85.9 - 70mph - 997mb
6 hrs - 27.6/85.5 - 75mph - 992mb
12 hrs - 28.2/85.0 - 75mph - 988mb
24 hrs - 29.3/84.2 - 70mph - 990mb
36 hrs - 30.7/83.2 - 45mph - 993mb - Inland
48 hrs - 32.5/81.8 - 35mph - 996mb - Inland, Extratropical
60 hrs - 34.4/79.7 - 35mph - 996mb - Inland, Extratropical
72 hrs - 37.1/75.8 - 35mph - 998mb - Inland, Extratropical
96 hrs - 41.5/67.6 - 45mph - 985mb - Offshore, Extratropical
120 hrs - 46.9/46.8 - 60mph - 972mb - Extratropical

[NBCintern]

You guys do realize that Alberto is now at 70 mph winds and is expected to become a hurricane?

Yes, HurricaneHunter914, we realize that. We have heard you basically scare yourself about it. Now, run for the hills..

That was really an uncalled for statement being that you are in Germany.

I was just wondering because everyone is saying that Alberto is very disorganized so I thought you guys didn't get the memo. But I guess I just can't have one person critisize me after one post.

Not trying to bust your chops, but even cycloneye has told you to breath and calm down..

[wx247]

You guys do realize that Alberto is now at 70 mph winds and is expected to become a hurricane?

I must have missed that somewhere.

Big squall coming into to Tampa/St. Pete within the next few minutes. Will be interesting to see wind readings within that.

Yep I posted this question earlier - I think 40-50mph gusts are possible.

Shear markers up... tornado threat here I believe... watch out around Clearwater.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Still uncalled for....

Wait a minute I didn't mean to offend you by saying this TS has 70 mph winds. I was just asking if you guys knew that.

[cpdaman]

gentleman take a look at the latest visible the LLC appears to be OPEN

on the west side,

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-vis.html

[terstorm1012]

Does the center look exposed? Or am I looking at the wrong center?

It kind of reminds me of Earl (99? 00? I forget the year...) Strangest storm. Was a hurricane on its right quadrant while the left side of the storm was clear.

I suspect Alberto moved over the Loop Current and gorged itself, and now that it's moving away from the LC it might hold steady or weaken. But I dunno, this storm is full of surprises.

[terstorm1012]

gentleman take a look at the latest visible the LLC appears to be OPEN

on the west side,

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-vis.html

We had the same thought but I posted way too slowly.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Not trying to bust your chops, but even cycloneye has told you to breath and calm down..

What? I can't type on S2K see how this system is doing and what other people think about it. I'm calm already I just hate it how people think they can read my mind and say that I'm cranky or crazy.

[Ivan14]

Lets not get the whole Alberto is dying thing going, just because convection has decreased. It looks way better then it did 24 hours ago. IMHO it will become a weak cane.

[Weatherfreak14]

I maybe think a strong cat 1 IMO.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Alberto actually looks really healthy, alot better than what it used to be. At least the NHC doesn't say this about it now:
...DISORGANIZED

[MiamiensisWx]

Sorry to sound mean, but can you actually give some reasons for your forecasts (e.g., why you think it will weaken/strengthen, why you think it will make landfall in a particular location, what you think will influence track/intensity/etc.) and why you think the synoptics and storm intensity and related things will play out. We need more detailed posts, in my opinion. Quality over quantity and simple thoughts... explain yourselves, please! Thanks!

[DESTRUCTION5]

I don't think he is going to make Cane Status...2 many things not going right for it to happen right now..

[Noles2006]

Crazy -- you did call that days ago. St. Marks, woo hoo, let's go baby! We're getting some decent rain out ahead of Alberto, but no winds at all (as expected).