Hurricane Gordon - Cat. 3

[WmE]

Ok, thanks.

[TampaSteve]

That's weird. Why did they cancel the flight?

Lack of a threat to land. No reason to waste money on a system that won't affect land.

Yup...

Fish storm
Fish storm
Itty Bitty
Wish storm

[Sanibel]

It should lift out as soon as Florence clears out.

I don't think the ridges will join and pick it up west. Once you get a weakness and recurve out there at that longitude it is hard to bend it back.

[AnnularCane]

Gordon is losing his mommy.

[gatorcane]

I say we call Gordon "Go" since we call Florence "Flo"

[lester]

I say we call Gordon "Go" since we call Florence "Flo"

Go Jo??

[Thatsmrhurricane]

Um, Go no go for a bit between 115 and 1545utc. I thought steady N movment forecast?

[CrazyC83]

Gordon is losing his mommy.

Not really as she is just not fully tropical, but she is still very much an entity.

[TheRingo]

Um, Go no go for a bit between 115 and 1545utc. I thought steady N movment forecast?

looks stalled and moving west some... is the ridge building back in?

[storms in NC]

I thought I had seen a west movement. But the up date said it was moving NW. So took it at that. It is not moving much But is growing. What would the chances be for it to move southwest?

[Damar91]

I thought I had seen a west movement. But the up date said it was moving NW. So took it at that. It is not moving much But is growing. What would the chances be for it to move southwest?

Right now, none. There is still a big lane for Gordon to follow in Florence's footsteps. Until that closes, they will probably all be fishes.

[storms in NC]

thanks thought so.

[HURAKAN]

Gordon is looking better than ever!!!

[dixiebreeze]

Ever so slightly west?

[Zardoz]

Looks almost stalled in this loop:

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _ls_0.html

[Thunder44]

Looks almost stalled in this loop:

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _ls_0.html

That's because you are at a large loop. Look at this floater. Looks like it's moving north now.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

[Thunder44]

872
WHXX01 KWBC 121854
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM GORDON (AL072006) ON 20060912 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060912 1800 060913 0600 060913 1800 060914 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 23.4N 58.4W 25.0N 58.9W 27.2N 58.8W 29.3N 58.3W
BAMM 23.4N 58.4W 24.8N 59.0W 26.6N 59.1W 28.4N 59.0W
A98E 23.4N 58.4W 24.5N 58.7W 26.1N 59.1W 27.5N 59.0W
LBAR 23.4N 58.4W 24.7N 58.6W 26.4N 58.2W 28.2N 57.6W
SHIP 55KTS 64KTS 72KTS 76KTS
DSHP 55KTS 64KTS 72KTS 76KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060914 1800 060915 1800 060916 1800 060917 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.1N 57.1W 33.0N 55.7W 34.9N 55.9W 39.3N 52.5W
BAMM 30.0N 58.5W 31.7N 57.8W 33.6N 57.5W 37.7N 55.7W
A98E 28.7N 58.6W 29.5N 57.7W 30.7N 57.2W 32.9N 55.6W
LBAR 29.8N 56.5W 31.7N 53.9W 32.6N 51.9W 34.0N 50.0W
SHIP 78KTS 74KTS 65KTS 56KTS
DSHP 78KTS 74KTS 65KTS 56KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 23.4N LONCUR = 58.4W DIRCUR = 340DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 22.3N LONM12 = 58.0W DIRM12 = 331DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 21.4N LONM24 = 57.1W
WNDCUR = 55KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 50KT
CENPRS = 994MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 125NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 75NM RD34SE = 40NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 50NM

$$

18z models initialized at 55kt winds and pressure 994mb.

[CrazyC83]

Seems to make sense. I'd say it is at 55 kt, maybe 60 kt, now.

[dixiebreeze]

Here she comes -- and it doesn't look like Gordon is going anywhere very quickly:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg

[storms in NC]

He is growing but not moving very fast
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-wv.html