Hurricane Florence - Cat. 1

#221 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:16 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
skysummit wrote:
SouthFloridawx wrote:
skysummit wrote:So what's the magic number we're looking?

I think the magic number is anything over 47kt flight level winds.

I was talking about for a cane. I could remember what percentage to take off for that level.

I was kidding as I have not seen anything over 47kts.

LOL....Ooooohhh, I gotcha now! I guess I was too serious at the moment :lol:

Ok, that moment is long gone now

Thunder44 · #222 Postby **Thunder44** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:22 pm

Stormavoider wrote:Which column is wind direction?

5th column.

Stormavoider · #223 Postby **Stormavoider** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:22 pm

Thunder44 wrote:
Stormavoider wrote:Which column is wind direction?

5th column.

thank you

Thunder44 · #224 Postby **Thunder44** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:23 pm

723
SXXX50 KNHC 090423
AF308 0206A FLORENCE HDOB 15 KNHC
0409. 2346N 06138W 01524 5045 146 043 168 168 043 01519 0000000000
0410 2347N 06136W 01528 5044 144 043 160 160 044 01524 0000000000
0410. 2348N 06135W 01524 5044 133 046 148 148 047 01520 0000000000
0411 2350N 06134W 01525 5041 131 044 160 160 046 01524 0000000000
0411. 2351N 06133W 01525 5040 128 039 168 168 044 01525 0000000000
0412 2352N 06132W 01516 5044 124 043 142 142 047 01512 0000000000
0412. 2353N 06130W 01532 5043 130 050 144 144 051 01529 0000000000
0413 2354N 06129W 01528 5040 135 047 158 158 048 01528 0000000000
0413. 2355N 06128W 01530 5039 137 048 158 158 053 01531 0000000000
0414 2356N 06127W 01521 5036 130 051 166 166 052 01526 0000000000
0414. 2358N 06126W 01525 5035 130 050 176 176 051 01530 0000000000
0415 2359N 06124W 01525 5034 131 049 174 174 049 01531 0000000000
0415. 2400N 06123W 01527 5033 133 047 178 176 048 01534 0000000000
0416 2401N 06122W 01524 5032 132 047 184 162 048 01533 0000000000
0416. 2402N 06121W 01524 5030 132 048 186 168 048 01533 0000000000
0417 2403N 06119W 01526 5029 132 051 184 176 053 01537 0000000000
0417. 2404N 06118W 01524 5028 125 055 168 168 057 01536 0000000000
0418 2405N 06117W 01527 5028 122 054 174 174 055 01540 0000000000
0418. 2407N 06116W 01523 5027 127 052 162 162 054 01536 0000000000
0419 2408N 06115W 01526 5026 129 053 150 150 055 01540 0000000000

#225 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:25 pm

I made the reduction to Surface winds 57 X 80% = 45.6 X 1.15 = 52.44

#226 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:25 pm

57kts the highest at last set of obs.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #227 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:26 pm

57 knots=45.6 knots at the surface. This is weaker then thought so far.

#228 Postby **CrazyC83** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:26 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:57 knots=45.6 knots at the surface. This is weaker then thought so far.

It's so early though. They are also not at the strongest side.

#229 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:28 pm

975
URNT12 KNHC 090423
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 09/04:03:30Z
B. 23 deg 37 min N
061 deg 52 min W
C. 850 mb 1408 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 021 deg 047 kt
G. 285 deg 069 nm
H. 998 mb
I. 17 C/ 1522 m
J. 18 C/ 1524 m
K. 18 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.03 / 2 nm
P. AF308 0206A FLORENCE OB 04
MAX FL WIND 47 KT W QUAD 03:39:50 Z
MAX FL TEMP 19 C, 292 / 53NM
DIFFUSE BROAD CENTER

#230 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:29 pm

975
URNT12 KNHC 090423
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 09/04:03:30Z
B. 23 deg 37 min N
061 deg 52 min W
C. 850 mb 1408 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 021 deg 047 kt
G. 285 deg 069 nm
H. 998 mb
I. 17 C/ 1522 m
J. 18 C/ 1524 m
K. 18 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.03 / 2 nm
P. AF308 0206A FLORENCE OB 04
MAX FL WIND 47 KT W QUAD 03:39:50 Z
MAX FL TEMP 19 C, 292 / 53NM
DIFFUSE BROAD CENTER

#231 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:30 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:57 knots=45.6 knots at the surface. This is weaker then thought so far.

It's so early though. They are also not at the strongest side.

57 X .80 = 45.6 X 1.15 (MPH Conversion) = 52.44MPH Surface Winds.

#232 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:30 pm

875
UZNT13 KNHC 090426
XXAA 59048 99236 70619 07931 99998 25600 05518 00515 ///// /////
92671 22004 04509 85405 18400 11013 88999 77999
31313 09608 80403
61616 AF308 0206A FLORENCE OB 05
62626 EYE SPL 2361N06186W 0405 MBL WND 06012 AEV 20604 =
XXBB 59048 99236 70619 07931 00998 25600 11869 19601 22850 18400
33843 15400
21212 00998 05518 11974 07013 22965 06511 33957 05510 44903 08006
55893 10013 66868 11014 77843 10513
31313 09608 80403
61616 AF308 0206A FLORENCE OB 05
62626 EYE SPL 2361N06186W 0405 MBL WND 06012 AEV 20604 =

#233 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:32 pm

AF308 0206A FLORENCE HDOB 16 KNHC
0419. 2409N 06114W 01526 5023 126 053 156 156 054 01543 0000000000
0420 2410N 06113W 01524 5021 120 056 168 168 056 01544 0000000000
0420. 2411N 06111W 01530 5020 120 054 174 174 056 01551 0000000000
0421 2412N 06110W 01522 5019 122 059 164 164 061 01543 0000000000
0421. 2413N 06109W 01531 5018 120 054 170 170 054 01552 0000000000
0422 2414N 06108W 01520 5020 116 049 158 158 050 01540 0000000000
0422. 2415N 06107W 01525 5020 111 054 154 154 055 01545 0000000000
0423 2416N 06106W 01525 5018 117 055 148 148 056 01547 0000000000
0423. 2417N 06105W 01525 5015 118 055 154 154 056 01550 0000000000
0424 2418N 06104W 01525 5014 120 054 158 158 055 01551 0000000000
0424. 2419N 06102W 01526 5011 119 051 162 162 052 01555 0000000000
0425 2420N 06101W 01526 5009 119 050 178 178 051 01556 0000000000
0425. 2421N 06100W 01535 5008 120 052 182 182 052 01567 0000000000
0426 2423N 06059W 01526 5006 121 053 180 180 053 01560 0000000000
0426. 2424N 06057W 01523 5004 117 052 180 172 052 01559 0000000000
0427 2425N 06056W 01526 5004 116 052 176 172 053 01562 0000000000
0427. 2426N 06055W 01530 5002 119 052 176 176 052 01568 0000000000
0428 2428N 06053W 01525 5000 120 051 182 166 052 01565 0000000000
0428. 2429N 06052W 01527 0001 121 051 184 166 052 01568 0000000000
0429 2430N 06050W 01526 0002 123 050 186 158 050 01568 0000000000

#234 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:33 pm

On the next set they found 61kts.

Thunder44 · #235 Postby **Thunder44** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:33 pm

The storm is not as well organized and strong as it seemed. Maybe see a downgrade to windspeeds in the next advisory.

#236 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:33 pm

#237 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:34 pm

641
UZNT13 KNHC 090431
XXAA 5904/ 99239 70615 07931 99999 26001 13525 00505 ///// 92683
23800 85421 20801 88999 77999
31313 09608 80412
61616 AF308 0206A FLORENCE OB 06
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2394N06149W 0416 AEV 20604 DLM WND 14027 99998
6 WL150 14027 075 =
XXBB 59048 99239 70615 07931 00999 26001 11850 20801 22844 20602
33840 16400
21212 00999 13525 11986 14029 22840 14039
31313 09608 80412
61616 AF308 0206A FLORENCE OB 06
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2394N06149W 0416 AEV 20604 DLM WND 14027 99998
6 WL150 14027 075 =
Decode please?

#238 Postby **CrazyC83** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:35 pm

It was all 50s except for the 61 that time, so it is pretty consistent.

#239 Postby **CrazyC83** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:37 pm

Thunder44 wrote:The storm is not as well organized and strong as it seemed. Maybe see a downgrade to windspeeds in the next advisory.

I doubt it. If they downgraded it, it would only be to 50kt (60mph), but they still have a lot of flying to go.

#240 Postby **StormTracker** » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:37 pm

Cycloneye isn't it past ur bedtime??? J.K... so we were seeing a change in the LLC's position earlier today or is this considered as a wobble? :eek:

Hurricane Florence - Cat. 1

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