Tropical Storm Chris

[WindRunner]

That's not an eye at all, that's just a blow up of convection in the center of the CDO feature. It's actually sticking out of the convection as opposed to being indented.

And anyway, the storm's LLC is on the western edge of the convection, where there isn't even enough convection to wrap around an eye if were to form.

[Aquawind]

Enjoy those last few visables...

[Noles2006]

I know recon said otherwise... but he does look hurricane-ish. I think that intense blow-up near the CoC is the start of the formation of an eye...

[stormtruth]

Chris is going through another burst of strengthening. Chris found another yummy power-up.

[Praxus]

Damn sure looks like an eye to me (but what the heck do I know

Convection has increased in the last couple of hours though...

[Extremeweatherguy]

That's not an eye at all, that's just a blow up of convection in the center of the CDO feature. It's actually sticking out of the convection as opposed to being indented.

And anyway, the storm's LLC is on the western edge of the convection, where there isn't even enough convection to wrap around an eye if were to form.

Actually the center is now more centered in the convection, it is not on the western edge anymore.

[WindRunner]

SXXX50 KNHC 022126
AF308 0303A CHRIS HDOB 30 KNHC
2114. 2044N 06459W 01520 0094 079 029 152 152 030 01655 0000000000
2115 2043N 06458W 01527 0094 079 033 154 154 035 01661 0000000000
2115. 2042N 06457W 01531 0093 081 034 154 144 035 01665 0000000000
2116 2041N 06456W 01524 0093 083 033 160 138 034 01658 0000000000
2116. 2040N 06455W 01525 0092 080 033 164 132 033 01658 0000000000
2117 2039N 06454W 01525 0092 081 032 166 138 032 01658 0000000000
2117. 2038N 06453W 01529 0092 082 032 170 142 033 01661 0000000000
2118 2037N 06452W 01523 0091 081 032 172 138 033 01655 0000000000
2118. 2036N 06451W 01520 0089 080 031 172 132 032 01650 0000000000
2119 2035N 06449W 01530 0089 080 032 174 132 032 01659 0000000000
2119. 2034N 06448W 01524 0087 078 033 174 132 033 01652 0000000000
2120 2033N 06447W 01530 0086 077 032 172 130 032 01658 0000000000
2120. 2032N 06446W 01521 0085 080 032 174 132 033 01647 0000000000
2121 2031N 06445W 01526 0085 080 032 176 130 032 01651 0000000000
2121. 2030N 06444W 01514 0083 078 031 180 124 032 01637 0000000000
2122 2029N 06443W 01531 0082 078 032 174 132 032 01654 0000000000
2122. 2028N 06442W 01533 0082 081 034 174 132 034 01656 0000000000
2123 2026N 06440W 01495 0078 082 033 180 128 034 01613 0000000000
2123. 2025N 06439W 01499 0076 084 033 180 124 034 01615 0000000000
2124 2024N 06438W 01540 0077 084 034 182 122 035 01658 0000000000

Only about 3 minutes late . . . but no 2004-2014 set.

[Damar91]

Can someone tell me which computer models tend to be most reliable?

Right now, NONE of them.

[miamicanes177]

ercinmia, beautiful pic! It looks like it is starting an intensification process again.

[Noles2006]

That's not an eye at all, that's just a blow up of convection in the center of the CDO feature. It's actually sticking out of the convection as opposed to being indented.

And anyway, the storm's LLC is on the western edge of the convection, where there isn't even enough convection to wrap around an eye if were to form.

That blow-up looks very close [just to the east] of where the 5pm center is..

[skysummit]

I think this may be the beginning of another deepening phase for the next few hours. He is looking better and better with each image.

[HurricaneHunter914]

If recon do find stronger winds in the center, then the NHC will have to make another update on this crazy TS.

[deltadog03]

LLC has began to tuck in there again...

[WindRunner]

Approaching the center.

[Extremeweatherguy]

seems like this system keeps going up and down, up and down. Hopefully when it hits the U.S. it will be on a downward part of the "rollercoaster" it's riding.

[skufful]

That's not an eye at all, that's just a blow up of convection in the center of the CDO feature. It's actually sticking out of the convection as opposed to being indented.

And anyway, the storm's LLC is on the western edge of the convection, where there isn't even enough convection to wrap around an eye if were to form.

You got a better eye than I, looks ominously like an eye to me too.

[WindRunner]

NOAA drop 11:

UZNT13 KWBC 022116
XXAA 52212 99240 70640 07944 99019 27457 11513 00163 25850 11513
92845 22063 11016 85573 18267 11510 70206 09074 09008 50591 05586
03007 40763 17358 33514 30972 32576 34511 25097 42573 35510 20244
53973 05007 88999 77999
31313 09608 82052
51515 10190 15425
61616 NOAA9 0403A CHRIS OB 11
62626 SPL 2396N06398W 2106 MBL WND 11013 AEV 20604 DLM WND 05506
017169 WL150 11513 085 =
XXBB 52218 99240 70640 07944 00019 27457 11959 22636 22915 21867
33864 18459 44850 18267 55779 14067 66761 12258 77730 10058 88696
09081 99683 08482 11668 07069 22652 05250 33630 03242 44606 02488
55548 02371 66516 03979 77499 05586 88488 06757 99443 11757 11430
13160 22384 19956 33373 21173 44367 22171 55361 22961 66355 23571
77308 30976 88195 54974 99162 62163
21212 00019 11513 11919 11516 22889 11513 33865 10006 44850 11510
55697 09010 66674 10510 77563 12010 88490 01010 99479 35012 11449
00518 22429 33515 33395 33015 44375 36016 55357 00515 66337 00513
77324 33515 88306 35014 99297 34510 11275 01011 22247 34510 33233
03011 44190 04510 55183 07015 66162 07012
31313 09608 82052
51515 10190 15425
61616 NOAA9 0403A CHRIS OB 11
62626 SPL 2396N06398W 2106 MBL WND 11013 AEV 20604 DLM WND 05506
017169 WL150 11513 085 =

[Damar91]

Isn't all this pretty normal for a tropical system just starting to get it's act together. Meaning some up and down times?

[Stratusxpeye]

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huvsloop.html

Look at the last frame of this loop. Am i cray or what is the hole in the middle of chris? He has not formed an eye has he?

[cycloneye]

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