Tropical Storm Chris

[jasons2k]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

those upper LLs the the NE of Chris are racing towards him like blood thirsty devil hounds. Mother Nature is really on our side this year. I guess she feels bad after wht happened last year.

Yep, it looks like on that loop even what's left of the LLC will be sent crashing into Hispaniola. Chris might be history after all.

[HouTXmetro]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

those upper LLs the the NE of Chris are racing towards him like blood thirsty devil hounds. Mother Nature is really on our side this year. I guess she feels bad after wht happened last year.

the upper LL to his west also seems to now be moving NW. I think the combination could help speed up Chris toward a more favorable environment sooner as the upper LLs behind Chris should help push Chris away.

I disagree, the ULL behind and NE are closer and the flow around them will keep tugging on the convection in a SW to NE flow.

[Derek Ortt]

The UL's will have no influence on the track of a system this shallow

[cheezyWXguy]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

those upper LLs the the NE of Chris are racing towards him like blood thirsty devil hounds. Mother Nature is really on our side this year. I guess she feels bad after wht happened last year.

Yep, it looks like on that loop even what's left of the LLC will be sent crashing into Hispaniola. Chris might be history after all.

What are you talking about? You cant even see it on that map

[jasons2k]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

those upper LLs the the NE of Chris are racing towards him like blood thirsty devil hounds. Mother Nature is really on our side this year. I guess she feels bad after wht happened last year.

Yep, it looks like on that loop even what's left of the LLC will be sent crashing into Hispaniola. Chris might be history after all.

What are you talking about? You cant even see it on that map

If you look very closely where the LLC is located - near where that little tiny pop of convection is - you can see the small swirl of the dry air entangled in the LLC - it looks like it (LLC) is getting shoved to the SW as well.

BTW to clarify Derek - I wasn't inferring that it was the ULL steering this - sorry for not being clear

[AJC3]

Life support update: Last 30-60 minutes there's been a wee bit of convective phartage near 20.3 66.6, closer to the center

[Kerry04]

Life support update: Last 30-60 minutes there's been a wee bit of convective phartage near 20.3 66.6, closer to the center

so what does this mean?

[cheezyWXguy]

whats phartage? did it fart?

[Extremeweatherguy]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

those upper LLs the the NE of Chris are racing towards him like blood thirsty devil hounds. Mother Nature is really on our side this year. I guess she feels bad after wht happened last year.

Yep, it looks like on that loop even what's left of the LLC will be sent crashing into Hispaniola. Chris might be history after all.

So far though there is no sign of a SW turn in the movement of the LLC.

[jasons2k]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

those upper LLs the the NE of Chris are racing towards him like blood thirsty devil hounds. Mother Nature is really on our side this year. I guess she feels bad after wht happened last year.

Yep, it looks like on that loop even what's left of the LLC will be sent crashing into Hispaniola. Chris might be history after all.

So far though there is no sign of a SW turn in the movement of the LLC.

Anything to keep it alive I suppose.......

[Innotech]

whats phartage? did it fart?

thats exactly what he meant. It was comical.

There is a bit of condensation/convection going on in the LLC. not a substantial amount, but the storm is still getting moisture.

[JonathanBelles]

looks like it sucking convection in the se quadrant

[jlauderdal]

whats phartage? did it fart?

it did last night big time but it feels much better now, that mlc gave it gas so bye bye

[HouTXmetro]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

those upper LLs the the NE of Chris are racing towards him like blood thirsty devil hounds. Mother Nature is really on our side this year. I guess she feels bad after wht happened last year.

Yep, it looks like on that loop even what's left of the LLC will be sent crashing into Hispaniola. Chris might be history after all.

So far though there is no sign of a SW turn in the movement of the LLC.

I agree in the sense that Chris can speed up into a more favorable enivironment and the ULL to the NW departure can aid the favorable environment. However, I disagree that the ULL to the NE will affect his track. They will only increase shear and try to pull any of Chris convection into their respective circulations.

[Windtalker1]

looks like it sucking convection in the se quadrant

I think your right...last frame shows moisture beginning to be sucked in. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

[Extremeweatherguy]

I just checked and there is a much better UL environment about 5 degrees west of Chris. If it can reach this area and still look ok, then it might be able to organize into a better looking system again.

[vbhoutex]

Typical NHC, still calling it a TS with nothing there but a swirl.

You know as well as I do that they must err on the side of conservatism to be sure they are covered and no one gets an "unwanted surprise".

[Extremeweatherguy]

This is from the Accuweather FREE site:



Tropical Storm Chris got knocked for a loop Thursday. The storm is down on the mat and the ref is counting. The wind shear that hit Chris was quite destructive, putting a gaping hole in the storm by taking away all of its biggest thunderstorms. Without those, there is not enough heat being liberated into the air to drive the storm's circulation. If this were to continue, Chris would be history, but that may not be the case. It is quite possible that the storm will reach a more favorable location in the atmosphere within the next 36 hours which would allow it to grow somewhat stronger. At this point, the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center is not looking for anything major, but the storm is not dead yet.
Story by AccuWeather.com Expert Senior Meteorologist John Kocet.

[StormsAhead]

SXXX50 KNHC 031734
AF308 0603A CHRIS HDOB 05 KNHC
1659 1824N 06536W 01777 0118 169 017 140 114 018 01936 0000000000
1659. 1825N 06537W 01777 0120 173 013 140 124 015 01938 0000000000
1700 1826N 06539W 01772 0119 158 015 132 126 016 01932 0000000000
1700. 1825N 06541W 01770 0119 170 014 130 130 017 01931 0000000000
1701 1826N 06542W 01764 0119 205 013 138 132 016 01925 0000000000
1701. 1826N 06544W 01770 0118 218 014 140 124 014 01930 0000000000
1702 1825N 06546W 01781 0117 215 013 138 124 014 01940 0000000000
1702. 1825N 06547W 01805 0112 207 013 138 126 014 01958 0000000000
1703 1824N 06549W 01804 0117 211 013 140 126 014 01962 0000000000
1703. 1823N 06551W 01802 0121 204 011 134 134 012 01965 0000000000
1704 1823N 06553W 01801 0106 205 014 134 134 015 01948 0000000000
1704. 1825N 06554W 01800 0128 202 017 140 120 018 01969 0000000000
1705 1827N 06554W 01812 0119 201 018 138 130 019 01973 0000000000
1705. 1829N 06554W 01814 0123 197 017 136 132 018 01979 0000000000
1706 1832N 06554W 01802 0123 192 017 130 130 017 01967 0000000000
1706. 1834N 06554W 01786 0121 194 017 132 132 017 01949 0000000000
1707 1836N 06555W 01794 0119 203 019 136 118 020 01955 0000000000
1707. 1837N 06555W 01802 0119 206 020 136 104 021 01963 0000000000
1708 1839N 06555W 01805 0119 206 020 136 102 020 01965 0000000000
1708. 1841N 06555W 01793 0119 202 019 132 132 020 01953 0000000000

SXXX50 KNHC 031735
AF308 0603A CHRIS HDOB 06 KNHC
1709 1843N 06555W 01627 0113 193 016 136 136 017 01781 0000000000
1709. 1844N 06557W 01442 0103 186 013 150 150 013 01586 0000000000
1710 1845N 06558W 01254 0095 159 013 164 164 013 01389 0000000000
1710. 1846N 06559W 00978 0092 145 015 182 182 015 01095 0000000000
1711 1848N 06601W 00762 0073 143 015 200 192 016 00859 0000000000
1711. 1849N 06602W 00560 0058 138 016 212 212 016 00641 0000000000
1712 1850N 06603W 00410 0044 134 015 224 224 015 00474 0000000000
1712. 1851N 06604W 00369 0051 136 016 228 222 016 00432 0000000000
1713 1852N 06606W 00357 0050 130 015 226 226 015 00419 0000000000
1713. 1854N 06607W 00341 0049 126 014 228 228 015 00402 0000000100
1714 1855N 06608W 00335 0048 130 015 230 230 015 00394 0000000100
1714. 1856N 06609W 00332 0047 134 017 230 230 018 00390 0000000100
1715 1857N 06611W 00333 0047 134 015 228 222 016 00391 0000000000
1715. 1859N 06612W 00329 0049 126 013 220 220 013 00391 0000000000
1716 1900N 06613W 00331 0048 127 012 224 224 012 00391 0000000000
1716. 1901N 06614W 00330 0048 126 011 222 222 013 00390 0000000000
1717 1902N 06615W 00350 0049 127 010 218 218 010 00410 0000000000
1717. 1903N 06617W 00379 0049 123 009 216 216 009 00440 0000000000
1718 1904N 06618W 00381 0050 113 009 210 210 009 00443 0000000000
1718. 1905N 06619W 00380 0050 133 009 210 210 009 00441 0000000000

SXXX50 KNHC 031731
AF308 0603A CHRIS HDOB 07 KNHC
1719 1906N 06620W 00378 0051 160 010 216 194 011 00440 0000000000
1719. 1908N 06621W 00315 0049 177 013 202 190 013 00376 0000000000
1720 1909N 06623W 00273 0046 180 022 202 184 027 00331 0000000000
1720. 1910N 06624W 00281 0046 180 027 202 176 028 00339 0000000000
1721 1911N 06625W 00292 0041 172 034 212 168 034 00345 0000000000
1721. 1913N 06626W 00322 0044 176 035 230 148 038 00377 0000000000
1722 1914N 06628W 00319 0044 171 027 228 162 028 00374 0000000000
1722. 1915N 06629W 00312 0044 173 026 228 164 028 00368 0000000000
1723 1916N 06630W 00297 0042 167 028 230 164 028 00351 0000000000
1723. 1917N 06632W 00294 0041 161 026 226 172 027 00347 0000000000
1724 1919N 06633W 00357 0044 160 021 224 176 022 00413 0000000000
1724. 1920N 06634W 00422 0036 160 021 216 182 022 00481 0000000000
1725 1921N 06636W 00394 0043 159 020 216 192 020 00452 0000000000
1725. 1922N 06637W 00388 0046 159 020 218 194 020 00446 0000000000
1726 1923N 06638W 00397 0047 161 019 218 190 019 00456 0000000000
1726. 1925N 06639W 00388 0045 161 019 218 190 020 00446 0000000000
1727 1926N 06640W 00366 0044 162 020 220 190 021 00422 0000000000
1727. 1927N 06642W 00361 0043 159 020 218 190 020 00416 0000000000
1728 1928N 06643W 00363 0043 163 018 218 196 019 00418 0000000000
1728. 1929N 06644W 00362 0043 178 016 212 212 017 00417 0000000000

[Extremeweatherguy]

well there are FL winds of 38 knots in there, this shows that it hasn't weakened from earlier.