Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

[bjackrian]

253
SXXX50 KNHC 312049
AF300 2305A ERNESTO HDOB 07 KNHC
2034. 3200N 07700W 01524 0034 203 052 174 162 053 01589 0000000000
2035 3202N 07700W 01523 0033 203 053 170 170 054 01588 0000000000
2035. 3204N 07700W 01524 0034 202 052 170 164 053 01589 0000000000
2036 3207N 07700W 01524 0033 199 051 172 172 052 01588 0000000000
2036. 3209N 07700W 01525 0032 193 049 172 160 052 01589 0000000000
2037 3211N 07700W 01524 0032 190 048 176 154 048 01586 0000000000
2037. 3214N 07700W 01524 0031 190 048 176 150 049 01586 0000000000
2038 3216N 07700W 01523 0031 192 048 176 164 048 01586 0000000000
2038. 3218N 07700W 01524 0031 192 048 172 162 048 01586 0000000000
2039 3221N 07700W 01526 0031 191 047 170 170 048 01589 0000000000
2039. 3223N 07700W 01522 0031 190 048 170 168 049 01584 0000000000
2040 3225N 07700W 01526 0030 190 050 170 170 051 01587 0000000000
2040. 3228N 07700W 01523 0029 187 050 168 168 051 01583 0000000000
2041 3230N 07701W 01525 0029 188 049 174 166 050 01586 0000000000
2041. 3232N 07701W 01522 0029 190 049 174 166 050 01582 0000000000
2042 3235N 07701W 01524 0028 191 051 168 168 052 01583 0000000000
2042. 3237N 07702W 01525 0029 189 053 172 164 054 01585 0000000000
2043 3239N 07702W 01523 0028 185 050 170 170 052 01583 0000000000
2043. 3241N 07702W 01527 0027 182 050 170 168 051 01585 0000000000
2044 3244N 07703W 01523 0026 184 052 166 166 053 01580 0000000000

53 kt at FL, 100 mi ENE of 5 p.m. NHC position

[artist]

rnbaida - it's just when you make a statement like that without showing it is your opinion only and you could be wrong - you could set panic to those just getting here.

[bjackrian]

Hrmmm...I'm wondering if this AF plane is having transmission problems between the dropped data earlier and the fact that it's not reporting anything now either.

[artist]

could they be doing a vortex reading? Takes longer, right?

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 312107
AF300 2305A ERNESTO HDOB 08 KNHC
2044. 3246N 07703W 01525 0026 179 051 166 166 052 01582 0000000000
2045 3248N 07704W 01524 0025 178 050 168 168 051 01580 0000000000
2045. 3251N 07704W 01524 0025 178 051 168 168 053 01581 0000000000
2046 3253N 07705W 01524 0026 179 050 170 170 050 01581 0000000000
2046. 3255N 07705W 01525 0027 173 048 174 164 048 01583 0000000000
2047 3258N 07705W 01525 0028 171 048 176 160 050 01584 0000000000
2047. 3300N 07706W 01521 0028 169 046 176 156 046 01581 0000000000
2048 3302N 07706W 01525 0028 168 046 170 164 046 01585 0000000000
2048. 3305N 07707W 01525 0028 163 046 166 166 047 01584 0000000000
2049 3307N 07707W 01524 0029 165 046 172 164 046 01583 0000000000
2049. 3309N 07707W 01521 0029 165 046 176 156 047 01582 0000000000
2050 3311N 07707W 01528 0030 166 048 176 162 049 01589 0000000000
2050. 3314N 07707W 01520 0030 165 047 178 156 048 01582 0000000000
2051 3316N 07707W 01527 0032 165 046 174 162 046 01590 0000000000
2051. 3318N 07707W 01524 0032 165 046 166 166 047 01586 0000000000
2052 3321N 07706W 01525 0032 162 047 164 164 047 01588 0000000000
2052. 3323N 07706W 01525 0032 159 047 150 150 047 01588 0000000100
2053 3325N 07706W 01510 0029 164 045 166 166 045 01570 0000000000
2053. 3327N 07706W 01534 0031 157 044 154 154 046 01596 0000000000
2054 3329N 07705W 01525 0034 149 046 158 158 047 01590 0000000000

[bjackrian]

746
SXXX50 KNHC 312107
AF300 2305A ERNESTO HDOB 08 KNHC
2044. 3246N 07703W 01525 0026 179 051 166 166 052 01582 0000000000
2045 3248N 07704W 01524 0025 178 050 168 168 051 01580 0000000000
2045. 3251N 07704W 01524 0025 178 051 168 168 053 01581 0000000000
2046 3253N 07705W 01524 0026 179 050 170 170 050 01581 0000000000
2046. 3255N 07705W 01525 0027 173 048 174 164 048 01583 0000000000
2047 3258N 07705W 01525 0028 171 048 176 160 050 01584 0000000000
2047. 3300N 07706W 01521 0028 169 046 176 156 046 01581 0000000000
2048 3302N 07706W 01525 0028 168 046 170 164 046 01585 0000000000
2048. 3305N 07707W 01525 0028 163 046 166 166 047 01584 0000000000
2049 3307N 07707W 01524 0029 165 046 172 164 046 01583 0000000000
2049. 3309N 07707W 01521 0029 165 046 176 156 047 01582 0000000000
2050 3311N 07707W 01528 0030 166 048 176 162 049 01589 0000000000
2050. 3314N 07707W 01520 0030 165 047 178 156 048 01582 0000000000
2051 3316N 07707W 01527 0032 165 046 174 162 046 01590 0000000000
2051. 3318N 07707W 01524 0032 165 046 166 166 047 01586 0000000000
2052 3321N 07706W 01525 0032 162 047 164 164 047 01588 0000000000
2052. 3323N 07706W 01525 0032 159 047 150 150 047 01588 0000000100
2053 3325N 07706W 01510 0029 164 045 166 166 045 01570 0000000000
2053. 3327N 07706W 01534 0031 157 044 154 154 046 01596 0000000000
2054 3329N 07705W 01525 0034 149 046 158 158 047 01590 0000000000

51 kt at FL, plane now 110 miles NE of NHC position.

[bjackrian]

could they be doing a vortex reading? Takes longer, right?

They're about 100 miles from the center right now (graphic below). And my understanding is that the HDOB obs (what I'm posting) continue every minute regardless of what the rest of the plane is doing.

Anyway, they started again--just took a bit longer.

[artist]

thanks bjackrian

[bjackrian]

AF300 2305A ERNESTO HDOB 09 KNHC
2054. 3331N 07705W 01527 0037 146 043 146 146 043 01595 0000000000
2055 3333N 07705W 01524 0037 146 041 156 156 042 01592 0000000000
2055. 3336N 07705W 01524 0038 146 039 160 160 040 01593 0000000000
2056 3338N 07705W 01523 0039 142 037 164 164 038 01593 0000000000
2056. 3340N 07704W 01524 0039 143 038 166 164 039 01594 0000000000
2057 3342N 07704W 01525 0040 144 041 170 160 042 01596 0000000000
2057. 3344N 07704W 01523 0041 148 041 166 164 041 01594 0000000000
2058 3346N 07704W 01525 0041 150 042 162 162 042 01597 0000000000
2058. 3349N 07703W 01523 0042 150 043 162 162 043 01597 0000000000
2059 3351N 07703W 01524 0044 147 044 166 160 044 01600 0000000000
2059. 3353N 07703W 01522 0046 142 042 168 148 043 01599 0000000000
2100 3355N 07704W 01531 0049 138 040 168 148 041 01610 0000000000
2100. 3355N 07706W 01522 0047 135 036 170 146 038 01601 0000000000
2101 3354N 07708W 01520 0044 135 034 166 154 034 01596 0000000000
2101. 3352N 07709W 01526 0043 131 035 166 156 035 01600 0000000000
2102 3351N 07711W 01523 0041 135 033 166 166 035 01596 0000000000
2102. 3350N 07712W 01525 0039 135 028 146 146 031 01594 0000000000
2103 3348N 07714W 01521 0039 150 028 168 166 029 01591 0000000000
2103. 3347N 07716W 01526 0038 141 026 164 164 027 01595 0000000000
2104 3346N 07717W 01524 0037 142 026 164 164 027 01592 0000000000 

Coming back around for another pass from the north.

[cycloneye]

Remember that the John plane is out there with their data and that is why the Ernesto obs are comming more slow.

[bjackrian]

859
SXXX50 KNHC 312117
AF300 2305A ERNESTO HDOB 10 KNHC
2104. 3344N 07719W 01523 0035 146 029 166 162 029 01590 0000000000
2105 3343N 07720W 01525 0034 145 029 168 164 030 01590 0000000000
2105. 3342N 07722W 01523 0032 141 032 168 168 035 01586 0000000000
2106 3340N 07724W 01524 0030 136 036 164 164 037 01585 0000000000
2106. 3339N 07725W 01524 0028 132 038 156 156 039 01583 0000000000
2107 3338N 07727W 01525 0026 129 040 150 150 041 01582 0000000000
2107. 3336N 07728W 01521 0025 138 035 160 160 037 01577 0000000000
2108 3335N 07730W 01526 0023 144 034 162 162 035 01580 0000000000
2108. 3334N 07732W 01523 0020 145 033 162 162 033 01574 0000000000
2109 3333N 07733W 01524 0018 141 037 166 166 040 01573 0000000000
2109. 3331N 07735W 01525 0017 143 040 170 170 040 01573 0000000000
2110 3330N 07736W 01523 0014 145 039 172 172 039 01569 0000000000
2110. 3329N 07738W 01524 0013 145 037 172 172 038 01568 0000000000
2111 3327N 07740W 01525 0011 142 034 172 172 034 01567 0000000000
2111. 3326N 07741W 01522 0010 141 032 172 172 033 01563 0000000000
2112 3325N 07743W 01525 0007 145 035 162 162 036 01563 0000000000
2112. 3323N 07744W 01524 0004 143 035 146 146 035 01559 0000000000
2113 3322N 07746W 01527 0003 140 037 154 154 041 01561 0000000000
2113. 3321N 07748W 01522 0001 134 039 150 150 040 01554 0000000100
2114 3319N 07749W 01514 5003 137 041 158 158 043 01542 0000000000

Fairly light winds, coming back toward the center from the north.

[artist]

what's the john plane??

[bjackrian]

Remember that the John plane is out there with their data and that is why the Ernesto obs are comming more slow.

Right, although I haven't actually seen a John observation in a little bit now... Don't know if their plane has gone in or what the deal is...

John's the major hurricane in the eastern Pacific. There was an AF plane reconning it this afternoon.

[bjackrian]

561
SXXX50 KNHC 312127
AF300 2305A ERNESTO HDOB 11 KNHC
2114. 3318N 07751W 01520 5009 138 043 170 170 044 01542 0000000000
2115 3317N 07752W 01524 5011 140 044 170 170 044 01544 0000000000
2115. 3316N 07753W 01522 5012 143 041 170 170 042 01541 0000000000
2116 3315N 07755W 01529 5015 135 038 168 168 039 01545 0000000000
2116. 3314N 07756W 01521 5015 135 043 170 156 044 01537 0000000000
2117 3313N 07757W 01526 5018 133 044 168 166 044 01539 0000000000
2117. 3312N 07759W 01524 5020 133 042 170 170 043 01536 0000000000
2118 3310N 07800W 01522 5022 137 043 160 160 045 01529 0000000000
2118. 3309N 07801W 01528 5028 135 046 146 146 047 01531 0000000000
2119 3308N 07803W 01527 5032 138 040 166 166 043 01526 0000000000
2119. 3307N 07804W 01519 5031 141 042 168 168 043 01520 0000000000
2120 3306N 07805W 01523 5036 146 044 166 166 045 01518 0000000000
2120. 3305N 07807W 01526 5039 144 045 166 166 045 01518 0000000000
2121 3304N 07808W 01523 5042 146 045 170 170 045 01512 0000000000
2121. 3303N 07809W 01524 5046 146 046 170 170 046 01509 0000000000
2122 3302N 07811W 01524 5050 144 046 170 170 046 01505 0000000000
2122. 3301N 07812W 01524 5054 140 046 170 170 046 01502 0000000000
2123 3259N 07813W 01524 5058 138 044 170 170 045 01497 0000000000
2123. 3258N 07815W 01524 5063 134 046 160 160 049 01492 0000000000
2124 3257N 07816W 01527 5066 135 050 164 164 052 01492 0000000000

FL winds back up to 50 kt...only about 35 mi NE of NHC fix.

[bjackrian]

371
SXXX50 KNHC 312137
AF300 2305A ERNESTO HDOB 12 KNHC
2124. 3256N 07817W 01523 5071 135 042 178 178 045 01483 0000000000
2125 3255N 07819W 01525 5075 130 039 180 180 039 01480 0000000000
2125. 3254N 07820W 01523 5081 140 027 180 180 030 01473 0000000000
2126 3253N 07821W 01522 5084 138 023 192 190 024 01469 0000000000
2126. 3251N 07823W 01524 5085 136 021 196 182 023 01470 0000000000
2127 3250N 07824W 01525 5086 136 015 192 182 016 01470 0000000000
2127. 3249N 07826W 01524 5087 139 013 186 186 014 01468 0000000000
2128 3248N 07827W 01525 5088 126 012 190 178 012 01469 0000000000
2128. 3247N 07828W 01524 5088 120 010 186 182 011 01467 0000000000
2129 3245N 07829W 01523 5090 129 010 192 178 010 01464 0000000000
2129. 3244N 07831W 01523 5091 130 008 194 180 009 01463 0000000000
2130 3243N 07832W 01524 5091 132 006 192 186 007 01464 0000000000
2130. 3242N 07833W 01524 5091 135 002 192 184 004 01464 0000000000
2131 3240N 07834W 01524 5090 304 004 190 190 006 01464 0000000000
2131. 3239N 07836W 01525 5089 318 008 190 190 009 01467 0000000000
2132 3238N 07837W 01525 5088 320 012 194 186 014 01468 0000000000
2132. 3237N 07838W 01525 5085 328 016 196 182 018 01471 0000000000
2133 3235N 07840W 01523 5084 333 022 192 186 024 01470 0000000000
2133. 3234N 07841W 01524 5081 333 024 186 186 025 01474 0000000000
2134 3233N 07843W 01524 5078 330 026 186 186 026 01477 0000000000

Fairly light winds across a broad area near the center. VDM soon.

[drezee]

lowest yet

2129. 3244N 07831W 01523 5091 130 008 194 180 009 01463 0000000000

[jpigott]

what does 01463 represent

[cycloneye]

Anorther VDM in minutes.

[artist]

the 63 is knts found, I believe.

[rnbaida]

the 63 is knts found, I believe.

i thought they found 73knots....