Hurricane Helene - Cat. 3

[Scorpion]

It is way too early to say whether this will recurve. Way too early.

[wxman57]

So everyone thinks its going to recurve, dont u think early models should be taken not with to high confidence....What do pro mets think?

Recurve around 45-50W. Nothing to keep pushing it west after then.

[flhurricaneguy]

good news is, it looks like we are in the clear again. what a great season as far as being safe goes.

[mike815]

looks like unfortunitly the ukmet and some otheres shifted back big time to recurve and they were showing more west last run great i still think they may be wrong i hope

[Bgator]

Well ill wait for a few runs...i mean how are people supposed to know what the conditions will be like in 5 days....i mean there are models..but they have been wrong so many times before..

[hawkeh]

Another fishy

What a slow season

[mike815]

yea i guess whatever last run ukmet went a ton more west now the others are all showin recurature

[Buck]

looks like unfortunitly the ukmet and some otheres shifted back big time to recurve and they were showing more west last run great i still think they may be wrong i hope

Dude... punctuation!

[CrazyC83]

Another fishy

What a slow season

The alternative is another Katrina...we saw what happened then...

[Scorpion]

Another fishy

What a slow season

If you have nothing important to say then don't say it. This isn't a chatroom.

[Bailey1777]

Mike815 why bummed? Do you want a direct hit somewhere?

[Extremeweatherguy]

wow...what a busy period! 3 systems at once after such a slow start to the year!

[Bgator]

Ill wait for the next set ofglobals,because they will have the data from the dropsondes in them, if they still show recurve, than ill buy into it...the globals on the map now are from 12z...

[cycloneye]

The same comments came about the models being wrong about the recurving of Florence and what happened in reallity? Florence recurved.

[gerrit]

How much effect did Georges have on south fla? I didn't live down here at the time.

Very, very little. It was fairly significant for Key West, but not so much for Dade/Broward County. Of course, the hype was immense. Two days off from work if I remember correctly.

I know many of you don't care about the islands but Georges (1998) killed 603 people and caused nearly $6 billion of damage, mostly in PR and Hispaniola..

[flhurricaneguy]

How much effect did Georges have on south fla? I didn't live down here at the time.

Very, very little. It was fairly significant for Key West, but not so much for Dade/Broward County. Of course, the hype was immense. Two days off from work if I remember correctly.

I know many of you don't care about the islands but Georges (1998) killed 603 people and caused nearly $6 billion of damage, mostly in PR and Hispaniola..

i care about the islands, i just forget about them sometimes.

[skysummit]

There's really nothing about "buying" into the recurve. The high majority of storms originating from this area eventually recurve. Now, if the models start to show a W or WNW motion without recurving, that's something you'll have to "buy" into after a few runs.

[Scorpion]

I don't know why Georges was so hyped here. It was a minimal Cat 1 and headed towards the Keys. We are over 150 miles north of them. I remember getting a day or two off school, and many people put shutters.

[sma10]

I know many of you don't care about the islands but Georges (1998) killed 603 people and caused nearly $6 billion of damage, mostly in PR and Hispaniola..

Yes, Georges was very devastating to the Greater Antilles. In fact, it was the Greater Antilles alone that protected the Keys and probably the Gulf Coast from a tragic hit. As I recall, the upper level environment for Georges during his trek through the islands was ideal. It was land interaction ONLY that prevented him from being a catastrophic hurricane heading into the Gulf.

[sma10]

I don't know why Georges was so hyped here. It was a minimal Cat 1 and headed towards the Keys. We are over 150 miles north of them. I remember getting a day or two off school, and many people put shutters.

It was hyped because....well....because it was in the neighborhood, I guess. At the time I lived in Southern Dade County, obviously much closer to the Keys than Jupiter, so there was a bit more of a threat.

The NHC itself hyped this storm for Florida also. I remember director Jerry Jarrell talking about how the structure of the storm was so perfect, that he expected Georges to explode once he left Cuba and hit the Fl Straits. Never really materialized.