Tropical Storm Chris

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stormtruth
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#5081 Postby stormtruth » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:38 pm

More convection in the remnants but can anyone actually find Chris in there anywhere?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/ir2.jpg
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#5082 Postby AnnularCane » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:40 pm

stormtruth wrote:More convection in the remnants but can anyone actually find Chris in there anywhere?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/ir2.jpg



It's kind of hard to tell with anything other than a visible loop.
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#5083 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:44 pm

77.2W 21.6N
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#5084 Postby stormtruth » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:51 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:77.2W 21.6N


Thanks. In that case it looks like it is about to enter Cuba for a little while.
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#5085 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:54 pm

stormtruth wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:77.2W 21.6N


Thanks. In that case it looks like it is about to enter Cuba for a little while.


the terrain is no to high there.
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#5086 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:54 pm

cycloneye wrote:Chris is gone from NRL. :blowup:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html


I believe it's gone because the center has moved over land.

It's still up on the backup site:

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
Last edited by Thunder44 on Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#5087 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:55 pm

If you put on the forecast points from this morning, if theyre still even there, if you can find the center, it appears to be a lot farther north than they were predicting. This gives me the feeling that if crosses cuba -if at all- it wont be enough to completely destroy it...if it makes it through to the gulf, I can still see a little potential. For now, its gone, but as long as the remnant low stays intact, it still has a chance
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#5088 Postby Stormavoider » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:57 pm

Check out the massive outflow boundary being spewed to the west.
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#5089 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:59 pm

looks more like a band to me. From what ive seen in the past, outflow boundries dont have too much convection
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#5090 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:02 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:If you put on the forecast points from this morning, if theyre still even there, if you can find the center, it appears to be a lot farther north than they were predicting. This gives me the feeling that if crosses cuba -if at all- it wont be enough to completely destroy it...if it makes it through to the gulf, I can still see a little potential. For now, its gone, but as long as the remnant low stays intact, it still has a chance


I'm looking at the vis and the center is entering the land already.
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#5091 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:09 pm

then i must be watching the wrong part
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#5092 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:12 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:then i must be watching the wrong part


http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes

pay attention to the low level circulation.
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#5093 Postby miamicanes177 » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:17 pm

Raw T3.1
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#5094 Postby stormtruth » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:26 pm

Yup, looks like it is entering Cuba and convection continues to increase.
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#5095 Postby Nimbus » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:28 pm

For any LLC to reform the convection would have to fire up over water right?
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#5096 Postby Wthrman13 » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:29 pm

I hate to beat a dead horse, but one thing that really jumps out at me looking at satellite loops of the remnant circulation is how much the shear has slacked off. The CIMSS analysis shows a decent bullseye of UL divergence over it as well:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8dvg.html

Sure, it's interacting with land, but that's actually helping ignite convection in the low-level convergence zone on the north coast of Cuba. It's a long shot, but we may have not seen the last of Chris.
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#5097 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:30 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:then i must be watching the wrong part


http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes

pay attention to the low level circulation.


bad link
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#5098 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:34 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:Raw T3.1


Where are you getting this?

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/ They've taken Chris off that site(it was there a couple of hours ago).
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#5099 Postby alan1961 » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:36 pm

http://www.met.inf.cu/asp/genesis.asp?T ... AXw01a.gif Lets watch this cuban radar..we can keep chris going when he comes off his vacation :lol:
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#5100 Postby Sanibel » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:41 pm

My mistake. Vigorous LLC and re-convecting.
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