Super Typhoon Chanchu - Cat. 4

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benny
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#561 Postby benny » Sun May 14, 2006 8:31 am

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:a Strong cat.3????????????


Wow. Amazing how fast it got its act together from yesterday evening. AODTS for a couple images are in the 6.5 range.. and the longer averages are now near 5.7.. 105 kt or so for 11 utc.
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Derek Ortt

#562 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun May 14, 2006 8:39 am

now we have an organized typhoon, likely about 110KT
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#563 Postby Trugunzn » Sun May 14, 2006 8:41 am

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#564 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 14, 2006 8:42 am

Derek Ortt wrote:now we have an organized typhoon, likely about 110KT


JTWC update at 12:00z has it now at 115kts so it's almost in line from what the images show.
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#565 Postby HURAKAN » Sun May 14, 2006 9:02 am

Typhoon blows out of Philippines, at least 35 dead

Manila - Typhoon Chanchu blew out of the Philippines on Sunday, leaving behind a trail of destruction that killed at least 35 people, officials said.

Many communities in the battered areas - 14 eastern and central provinces as well as Manila - were still out of power and flooded, according to the National Disaster Coordinating Council.

The disaster relief agency said 25 of the fatalities drowned when a passenger ferry sank on Friday off the coast of Masbate province, 405 kilometres south of Manila.

Ten other people were killed in various accidents, such as electrocution or being crushed by toppled trees or walls, in other parts of the country, it added.

Eight people were still missing due to various boat sinkings.

Almost 50,000 people were displaced by Chanchu, which intensified into a typhoon as it moved away from the Philippines into the South China Sea early Sunday morning.

The weather bureau said the typhoon had maximum sustained winds of 120 kilometres an hour and gusts of up to 150 kilometres an hour.

At least 608 houses were totally destroyed, while 3,452 partially damaged, the disaster coordinating council said.

The agency said damages to crops, infrastructure and private properties were initially estimated at 18.7 million pesos (363,100 dollars).

The typhoon forced the cancellation of more than 60 domestic flights and inter-island ferries, stranding more than 140,000 people in the affected airports and seaports.

Air and sea travel were expected to resume later Sunday as Chanchu was already 280 kilometres west-south-west of Manila, according to the weather bureau.
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#566 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun May 14, 2006 9:29 am

THis is a BIG Typhoon
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/paci ... WPAC.x.jpg
I'm guessing right now Chanchu is the size of Florida right now! Not to mention a Big Typhoon expected to hit as a Cat-4!
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/ima ... 051406.gif
Chanchu is really flying!
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#567 Postby Scorpion » Sun May 14, 2006 9:30 am

Wow it has exploded overnight. Amazing.
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CHRISTY

#568 Postby CHRISTY » Sun May 14, 2006 9:34 am

ALL I CAN SEAT IS THIS IS AMAZING!CHANCHU AT HER BEST....I TRULY HOPE PREPARATIONS ARE ALMOST COMPLETE IN HONGKONG CAUSE THIS LOOKS LIKE A BAD SITUATION..... :eek:

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#569 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun May 14, 2006 9:38 am

The outer bands are already affecting Hong Kong. The waves there are probably already causing erosion on the beach. Hong Kong is about to witness hell and is seeing it right before their eyes! :eek:
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#570 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun May 14, 2006 9:40 am

Though I have to admit Chanchu is BEAUTIFUL. One of the best looking systems I've ever seen (that's about 400 good looking storms :lol: ).
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CHRISTY

#571 Postby CHRISTY » Sun May 14, 2006 9:42 am

How many more cat 4 and 5's are we gonna see.....wow i honestly dont remember seeing this many ever before.something must be going on!!I hope we dont see This incredible activity in the Atlantic. :roll:
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#572 Postby Normandy » Sun May 14, 2006 9:45 am

Chancu has some serious outflow channels.
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#573 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 14, 2006 9:49 am

wow chanchu has changed since i went to bed
when i went to bed there was no eye and it was 90 mph, now it has an eye and is 130 mph :eek: :eek:
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Derek Ortt

#574 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun May 14, 2006 9:52 am

there is little chance of this hitting as a super typhoon. JTWC is overstating the landfall intensity big time

there is shear between it and the coast.

JT usually has a high bias with its intensity forecasts. Many times, they forecast a typhoon to hit Japan as a 4 or a 5, but it hits as a 1 or a TS
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#575 Postby Scorpion » Sun May 14, 2006 10:20 am

I agree. Typhoons are very susceptible to large-scale weakening from shear increase. I think it will hit as a 2.
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#576 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun May 14, 2006 10:26 am

mid 3
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CHRISTY

#577 Postby CHRISTY » Sun May 14, 2006 10:38 am

Lets see if this forcast verifys! I hope it doesn't...

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#578 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun May 14, 2006 11:20 am

the eye is closing back up again
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#579 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 14, 2006 11:24 am

erc?
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#580 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun May 14, 2006 11:26 am

i doubt it...its still froming its first eye...and even when the eye was clear it was for a very short time...a few hours at best
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