Hurricane Florence - Cat. 1

[Thunder44]

[dixiebreeze]

Timedrifter, the Floater folks don't work weekends.

[JonathanBelles]

141
SXXX50 KNHC 101724
AF303 0406A FLORENCE HDOB 16 KNHC
1711 2859N 06602W 03047 5099 243 019 150 122 022 02989 0000000000
1711. 2901N 06603W 03049 5098 256 014 146 120 014 02992 0000000000
1712 2903N 06603W 03051 5102 248 013 146 120 014 02989 0000000000
1712. 2904N 06604W 03045 5103 224 008 144 112 010 02982 0000000000
1713 2906N 06605W 03051 5104 150 005 136 122 007 02989 0000000000
1713. 2907N 06606W 03043 5098 130 008 132 130 009 02985 0000000000
1714 2909N 06605W 03052 5102 130 011 128 126 012 02990 0000000000
1714. 2910N 06604W 03047 5103 133 015 138 124 016 02985 0000000000
1715 2911N 06603W 03048 5103 142 019 140 120 020 02986 0000000000
1715. 2912N 06601W 03048 5102 144 022 140 120 023 02986 0000000000
1716 2914N 06559W 03049 5101 148 023 140 120 023 02988 0000000000
1716. 2915N 06558W 03047 5100 149 025 138 122 027 02988 0000000000
1717 2916N 06556W 03049 5098 149 028 138 122 029 02991 0000000000
1717. 2918N 06555W 03046 5096 149 032 136 124 033 02991 0000000000
1718 2919N 06553W 03050 5092 150 035 134 124 035 02999 0000000000
1718. 2920N 06552W 03047 5089 148 037 130 122 038 02999 0000000000
1719 2921N 06550W 03049 5084 147 040 130 124 041 03005 0000000000
1719. 2923N 06549W 03049 5082 149 043 130 122 043 03008 0000000000
1720 2924N 06547W 03047 5078 148 045 130 122 046 03009 0000000000
1720. 2925N 06546W 03050 5074 150 047 126 120 048 03016 0000000000

[cycloneye]

141
SXXX50 KNHC 101724
AF303 0406A FLORENCE HDOB 16 KNHC
1711 2859N 06602W 03047 5099 243 019 150 122 022 02989 0000000000
1711. 2901N 06603W 03049 5098 256 014 146 120 014 02992 0000000000
1712 2903N 06603W 03051 5102 248 013 146 120 014 02989 0000000000
1712. 2904N 06604W 03045 5103 224 008 144 112 010 02982 0000000000
1713 2906N 06605W 03051 5104 150 005 136 122 007 02989 0000000000
1713. 2907N 06606W 03043 5098 130 008 132 130 009 02985 0000000000
1714 2909N 06605W 03052 5102 130 011 128 126 012 02990 0000000000
1714. 2910N 06604W 03047 5103 133 015 138 124 016 02985 0000000000
1715 2911N 06603W 03048 5103 142 019 140 120 020 02986 0000000000
1715. 2912N 06601W 03048 5102 144 022 140 120 023 02986 0000000000
1716 2914N 06559W 03049 5101 148 023 140 120 023 02988 0000000000
1716. 2915N 06558W 03047 5100 149 025 138 122 027 02988 0000000000
1717 2916N 06556W 03049 5098 149 028 138 122 029 02991 0000000000
1717. 2918N 06555W 03046 5096 149 032 136 124 033 02991 0000000000
1718 2919N 06553W 03050 5092 150 035 134 124 035 02999 0000000000
1718. 2920N 06552W 03047 5089 148 037 130 122 038 02999 0000000000
1719 2921N 06550W 03049 5084 147 040 130 124 041 03005 0000000000
1719. 2923N 06549W 03049 5082 149 043 130 122 043 03008 0000000000
1720 2924N 06547W 03047 5078 148 045 130 122 046 03009 0000000000
1720. 2925N 06546W 03050 5074 150 047 126 120 048 03016 0000000000


Here comes the first VDM.

[Scorpion]

Wow...no hurricane force winds found?

[HurricaneHunter914]

They still haven't sampled the NE Quadrant, so we have to wait a little longer.

[Thunder44]

[Stormavoider]

What is their altitude?

[wxman57]

It appears that Florence is bashful. Each time a recon plane approaches, it weakens. The center is clearly not as intense as it was 3-4 hours ago. May just barely be a hurricane now.

[JonathanBelles]

eye looks like it has filled in

[wxman57]

What is their altitude?

The plane is at 700mb, or about 10,000 ft. Conversion factor is 0.9 for that level.

[Scorpion]

Maybe the plane drops dynomat and we don't know it

[CrazyC83]

537
SXXX50 KNHC 101740
AF303 0406A FLORENCE HDOB 17 KNHC
1721 2926N 06544W 03047 5071 149 052 122 122 053 03017 0000000000
1721. 2928N 06543W 03049 5067 152 057 120 120 059 03022 0000000000
1722 2929N 06541W 03047 5062 151 061 120 120 063 03026 0000000000
1722. 2930N 06540W 03049 5059 150 065 120 120 067 03031 0000000000
1723 2932N 06538W 03048 5054 151 067 120 120 073 03034 0000000000
1723. 2933N 06537W 03045 5050 145 087 106 106 093 03036 0000000000
1724 2934N 06535W 03050 5046 145 095 108 090 096 03045 0000000000
1724. 2935N 06534W 03051 5039 145 092 108 076 094 03052 0000000000
1725 2936N 06532W 03045 5034 145 093 106 076 094 03052 0000000000
1725. 2937N 06531W 03049 5028 146 092 102 080 093 03062 0000000000
1726 2939N 06529W 03050 5022 147 091 100 084 092 03068 0000000000
1726. 2940N 06528W 03048 5017 147 091 100 082 093 03073 0000000000
1727 2941N 06526W 03047 5010 148 091 100 086 092 03078 0000000000
1727. 2942N 06525W 03043 5004 144 079 078 078 082 03079 0000000000
1728 2944N 06524W 03055 0000 141 073 080 080 074 03096 0000000000
1728. 2945N 06522W 03046 0004 145 076 084 084 077 03090 0000000000
1729 2946N 06521W 03047 0008 146 075 090 090 076 03096 0000000000
1729. 2947N 06519W 03048 0011 145 072 090 090 073 03099 0000000000
1730 2948N 06518W 03049 0015 144 071 090 090 073 03105 0000000000
1730. 2950N 06516W 03048 0019 142 073 096 086 074 03107 0000000000

96kt found = 77kt (80%) or 86kt (90%) at surface

[Solaris]

ya guyz jokin, but they just found 96 kts

[superfly]

1724 2934N 06535W 03050 5046 145 095 108 090 096 03045 0000000000

85kts cane now

[Derek Ortt]

Recon just found a cat 2

[HurricaneHunter914]

They've just found 100 mph winds in the NE Quadrant.

[CrazyC83]

Updated forecast I am rewriting. Now predicting a Cat 4.

[Brent]

[Thunder44]

URNT12 KNHC 101738
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 10/17:12:30Z
B. 29 deg 05 min N
066 deg 05 min W
C. 700 mb 2905 m
D. 40 kt
E. 164 deg 082 nm
F. 241 deg 063 kt
G. 160 deg 053 nm
H. 976 mb
I. 8 C/ 3045 m
J. 14 C/ 3049 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. OPEN S
M. E27/30/20
N. 1234 / 7
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF303 0406A FLORENCE OB 05
MAX FL WIND 63 KT SE QUAD 16:57:50 Z
MAX FL TEMP 18 C, 154 / 18NM