Tropical Storm Beryl

[HurricaneHunter914]

Beryl shouldn't be ignored just because Daniel is strengthening in the EPAC.

[cheezyWXguy]

im not taking my eyes off this one...this could be a problem for my grandmom

[Trugunzn]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

I think shes looking alot better. Some blow up convection around the center.

[Cyclenall]

Beryl shouldn't be ignored just because Daniel is strengthening in the EPAC.

The funny thing is, Beryl is not getting much of my attention at all. Daniel should be talked about more because of how great he looks on SAT. I have over 80 pictures of Daniel on my computer!

I don't have much to say about Beryl except why isn't anyone posting the NHC write-ups? One made me laugh.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Beryl should be talked about more because Beryl is actually a threat NEW JERSEY!

[Regit]

Daniel isn't a potential flood threat to an area that's already feeling quite put-upon by mother nature this year.

[AnnularCane]

I thought she looked a little sheared earlier, but she is blowing up some nice convection.

I think she wants attention!

[KWT]

Looks like Beryl may well be a pretty strong TS right now, looks about 60mph to me based on the deep convection covering the entire system. While it doesn't look like it'll be much of a problem, some people thought TS Katrina wouldn't be a problem for Florida but it gave some people worry.

Of course I know its a different set-up but no way should we keep our eye off this system because while Daniel is intresting its not going to make landfall while with Beryl, there is a chance of such an event and while 45mph is certainly not strong, i dare say its above that now by a good 10mph.

[HurricaneHunter914]

I mean whats the point in watching something that isn't a danger?

[Trugunzn]

check out the 12z ECMWF at 24hrs on the plymouth site

[Thunder44]

WHXX01 KWBC 191847
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM BERYL (AL022006) ON 20060719 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060719 1800 060720 0600 060720 1800 060721 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 35.9N 73.5W 37.2N 73.4W 38.3N 72.9W 39.3N 71.2W
BAMM 35.9N 73.5W 36.9N 73.8W 38.1N 73.8W 39.6N 72.4W
A98E 35.9N 73.5W 37.3N 73.0W 38.6N 71.6W 40.1N 69.3W
LBAR 35.9N 73.5W 37.2N 73.1W 38.8N 72.5W 40.6N 70.5W
SHIP 45KTS 48KTS 47KTS 46KTS
DSHP 45KTS 48KTS 47KTS 46KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060721 1800 060722 1800 060723 1800 060724 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 40.9N 67.7W 43.4N 56.0W 40.2N 48.2W 35.6N 49.3W
BAMM 41.7N 69.7W 46.8N 59.7W 49.3N 47.3W 47.9N 36.1W
A98E 42.2N 64.9W 45.4N 53.7W 43.3N 40.4W 36.9N 31.6W
LBAR 43.1N 66.7W 47.6N 54.6W 49.1N 45.0W 47.3N 42.0W
SHIP 45KTS 42KTS 34KTS 22KTS
DSHP 45KTS 42KTS 35KTS 23KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 35.9N LONCUR = 73.5W DIRCUR = 5DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 34.5N LONM12 = 73.7W DIRM12 = 357DEG SPDM12 = 7KT
LATM24 = 33.0N LONM24 = 73.3W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 35KT
CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1016MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 85NM RD34SE = 85NM RD34SW = 35NM RD34NW = 35NM

Initialized at 45kts and a Pressure at 1002mb moving almost due north at 7kts.

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg

Some deep convection is forming near the center.

[Opal storm]

I guess Gulf coast and Florida storms get more attention,I don't know why though.Yes Beryl is weak but it could have a major impact along a heavily populated coast-line.40-50mph winds would be a huge problem for some of those major cities in the N.E.Folks should keep a close eye on this,you don't want to have your gaurd down IF this stengthens and actually does make landfall.

[cheezyWXguy]

Is this an eye?

[Noles2006]

[HurricaneHunter914]

I doubt she's forming an eye. If she was, she would have been a 70 mph TS by now.

[cheezyWXguy]

not out of the question as of yet, but very unlikely

[Thunder44]

I think when the plane gets into the NE Quad, we'll found that this is 60mph to 70mph TS already.

[Trugunzn]

She is really starting to blow up

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

[HurricaneHunter914]

Though her center is being exposed.