Tropical Storm Beryl

[JonathanBelles]

is it gonna be like alberto that was 40 at night and almost a hurricane at morning?

[Jim Cantore]

I can see some of her outer clouds.

[cycloneye]

19/2331Z (52)
C. 37.1N/1
D. 73.0W/0
E. FOUR/GOES12
F. T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24HRS/ STT: D1.0/06HRS -19/2331Z-
G. IR/EIR

13A/ PBO TCB/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .85 ON LOG10
SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. FT BASED ON DT.
PT AGREES WHILE MET WAS SLIGHTLY WEAKER AT T3.0.
DUE TO RAPID DEVELOPMENT, CONSTRAINTS BKN TO
ESTABLISH FT.

AODT: T4.0 (ECCR)

KRAMER/DYER


Umm,Air Force Sat Estimates are almost at hurricane status 3.5.

[ronjon]

On Dover AFB Long Range RAD now:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[SouthFloridawx]

Where do you find the A/F estimates?

[cycloneye]

Where do you find the A/F estimates?

http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/pub/data/text/TPNT/KGWC.TXT

[Epsilon_Fan]

I think all of this "Beryl 1 was better than Beryl 2" pissed this one off, now it's going to show Beryl 1 what a TS can really do

[SouthFloridawx]

Where do you find the A/F estimates?

http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/pub/data/text/TPNT/KGWC.TXT

Thanks

[AnnularCane]

Can somebody explain "Beryl 1 and Beryl 2"?

[chadtm80]

Tropical Storm Beryl Close up

http://storm2k.org/satfetch.php?size=64 ... nwatl_clir

[Regit]

Steve Lyons on TWC just said that Beryl is in the process of weakening and suggested that extratropical transition is imminent.

[WindRunner]

Watch Beryl's convectiong pulse like a beating heart over the past 6 hours, it kind of makes you wonder what she's up to . . .

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rb.html

[abryant.ma]

Steve Lyons on TWC just said that Beryl is in the process of weakening and suggested that extratropical transition is imminent.

hahahah what?!!! hmmm. oh how wrong he is. haha i can't believe he said with with confidence. ::shakes head::

[AnnularCane]

Watch Beryl's convectiong pulse like a beating heart over the past 6 hours, it kind of makes you wonder what she's up to . . .

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rb.html

She's probably just having the time of her life.

[WindRunner]

I'm surprised these aren't posted yet . . . but then again, nothing all that interesting here.

Code: Select all

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
 PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
 
  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
  TROPICAL STORM      BERYL (AL022006) ON 20060720  0000 UTC
 
          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          060720  0000   060720  1200   060721  0000   060721  1200
 
           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    36.6N  73.1W   37.8N  72.7W   38.8N  71.7W   39.8N  69.3W
  BAMM    36.6N  73.1W   37.7N  73.1W   38.9N  72.5W   40.5N  70.4W
  A98E    36.6N  73.1W   38.2N  72.0W   39.8N  70.0W   41.8N  66.8W
  LBAR    36.6N  73.1W   38.2N  72.4W   39.9N  70.9W   42.0N  67.6W
  SHIP        50KTS          50KTS          48KTS          46KTS
  DSHP        50KTS          50KTS          48KTS          46KTS
 
          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          060722  0000   060723  0000   060724  0000   060725  0000
 
           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    41.2N  65.1W   42.3N  54.4W   39.2N  49.9W   36.9N  50.8W
  BAMM    42.6N  66.6W   47.0N  55.2W   46.7N  42.8W   41.8N  35.7W
  A98E    44.2N  61.3W   45.4N  49.2W   41.2N  38.7W   36.1N  32.2W
  LBAR    44.5N  62.5W   46.3N  50.3W   41.1N  40.8W     .0N    .0W
  SHIP        45KTS          40KTS          33KTS          23KTS
  DSHP        45KTS          40KTS          33KTS          23KTS
 
               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  36.6N LONCUR =  73.1W DIRCUR =  20DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
  LATM12 =  35.2N LONM12 =  73.6W DIRM12 =   7DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
  LATM24 =  33.8N LONM24 =  73.5W
  WNDCUR =   50KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   40KT
  CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1016MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
  RD34NE =  120NM RD34SE =   85NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =  50NM


[abryant.ma]

Watch Beryl's convectiong pulse like a beating heart over the past 6 hours, it kind of makes you wonder what she's up to . . .

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rb.html

it is quite impressive actually.

[wxman57]

I think all of this "Beryl 1 was better than Beryl 2" pissed this one off, now it's going to show Beryl 1 what a TS can really do

Apparently so. Here's the image of Beryl1, the unnamed TS that formed very near where Beryl2 is last Monday:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/98La.gif

[cpdaman]

looks like the shear is ripping at about 38.5 north

[marcane_1973]

Steve Lyons on TWC just said that Beryl is in the process of weakening and suggested that extratropical transition is imminent.

hahahah what?!!! hmmm. oh how wrong he is. haha i can't believe he said with with confidence. ::shakes head::

Steve Lyons is right. It is weakening BIGTIME right now as we talk and transitioning to extratropical. The yellows and oranges are going away and the blues are setting in. The waters are ice cold up there. I would doubt very seriously that winds are even 60 mph at this time. Beryl is heading out to sea. The only thing Beryl accomplished was a 2nd name for July and great waves to my fellow surfer dudes.

[wxman57]

Take a look at a WV loop. The upper low SE of Beryl is moving NW very rapidly, pushing a pool of very dry air into Beryl's SE quadrant. I think Beryl is near peak now at 60-65 mph max winds. Jet max is pushing east toward Beryl's NW quadrant - a big squeeze play. Still think it's going to make landfall over SE Massachusetts tomorrow night rather than pass by Cape Cod to the southeast. But it will be no match for most of the winter storms they get there.