Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

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TheEuropean
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#761 Postby TheEuropean » Fri Aug 25, 2006 1:53 pm

617
SXXX50 KNHC 251844
AF303 0205A CYCLONE HDOB 18 KNHC
1836. 1325N 06644W 00300 5040 197 023 242 240 023 00271 0000000000
1837 1326N 06645W 00294 5041 196 024 246 238 024 00263 0000000000
1837. 1327N 06646W 00305 5043 199 024 244 238 025 00272 0000000000
1838 1328N 06647W 00306 5044 206 024 238 238 025 00273 0000000000
1838. 1330N 06648W 00302 5046 212 025 234 234 027 00267 0000000000
1839 1331N 06649W 00309 5047 208 026 236 236 027 00273 0000000000
1839. 1333N 06650W 00316 5046 209 024 240 222 025 00280 0000000000
1840 1333N 06652W 00305 5046 216 022 240 230 022 00269 0000000000
1840. 1334N 06653W 00305 5046 211 020 240 234 021 00270 0000000000
1841 1336N 06655W 00305 5046 209 019 240 236 019 00269 0000000000
1841. 1337N 06656W 00305 5047 204 019 240 236 019 00269 0000000000
1842 1338N 06658W 00305 5047 207 017 240 232 018 00269 0000000000
1842. 1340N 06659W 00304 5048 214 016 240 234 017 00267 0000000000
1843 1341N 06700W 00305 5050 215 018 240 232 019 00265 0000000000
1843. 1342N 06702W 00305 5051 218 020 242 228 020 00265 0000000000
1844 1344N 06703W 00305 5051 219 019 242 234 019 00264 0000000000
1844. 1345N 06704W 00305 5052 222 019 240 240 019 00263 0000000000
1845 1346N 06706W 00305 5052 226 019 240 240 019 00263 0000000000
1845. 1348N 06707W 00305 5053 231 017 236 236 018 00262 0000000000
1846 1349N 06709W 00305 5054 224 017 236 236 017 00262 0000000000
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#762 Postby curtadams » Fri Aug 25, 2006 1:54 pm

stormernie wrote:1834 1318N 06636W 00305 5038 192 020 240 240 021 00278 0000000000
1834. 1319N 06638W 00305 5039 193 021 240 238 021 00276 0000000000
1835 1320N 06639W 00305 5040 192 022 242 230 023 00276 0000000000
1835. 1322N 06641W 00304 5040 196 022 242 234 023 00275 0000000000
1836 1323N 06642W 00306 5040 197 023 240 238 023 00276 0000000000

Help me here is this winds from the SW at 21 - 23 Kts
If so this is at 13.2 66.5 near the sw side of the MLC


from the S or SSW , 193-197 is the wind dir
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#763 Postby Scott_inVA » Fri Aug 25, 2006 1:58 pm

Windrunner isn't available to do the Google Recon Tracking maps however, the Recon obs map is updating at Mid-Atlantic WX.com:

http://www.midatlanticwx.com/cyclone/recon.htm

bottom map. FYI, if you aren't decoding obs, there are links to observe and decode on the same page. :wink:

Scott
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#764 Postby rainstorm » Fri Aug 25, 2006 1:58 pm

is it possible to post 3 things the recon has found?

minimum pressure
maximum winds
position of the center
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#765 Postby TheEuropean » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:00 pm

943
SXXX50 KNHC 251854
AF303 0205A CYCLONE HDOB 19 KNHC
1846. 1350N 06710W 00305 5055 223 019 240 232 019 00261 0000000000
1847 1352N 06711W 00305 5055 224 018 238 234 020 00260 0000000000
1847. 1353N 06713W 00298 5056 233 015 240 238 016 00253 0000000000
1848 1354N 06714W 00295 5057 236 016 240 240 016 00249 0000000000
1848. 1356N 06715W 00306 5058 238 014 240 240 014 00259 0000000000
1849 1357N 06716W 00305 5058 261 010 240 240 013 00258 0000000000
1849. 1358N 06717W 00304 5059 257 007 240 240 009 00256 0000000000
1850 1359N 06717W 00307 5060 248 006 240 240 007 00258 0000000000
1850. 1401N 06718W 00304 5060 253 006 242 242 007 00254 0000000000
1851 1402N 06718W 00305 5060 286 004 244 244 004 00255 0000000000
1851. 1404N 06719W 00305 5061 323 004 244 242 005 00255 0000000000
1852 1405N 06719W 00311 5061 001 005 242 238 006 00260 0000000000
1852. 1407N 06720W 00305 5061 007 005 246 240 005 00254 0000000000
1853 1408N 06721W 00309 5061 020 007 244 244 007 00259 0000000000
1853. 1409N 06723W 00320 5059 041 010 240 240 011 00271 0000000000
1854 1410N 06724W 00305 5058 045 011 246 244 012 00257 0000000000
1854. 1412N 06726W 00305 5058 049 012 244 244 013 00258 0000000000
1855 1413N 06727W 00305 5057 049 013 244 244 014 00258 0000000000
1855. 1414N 06729W 00305 5056 046 015 242 242 015 00260 0000000000
1856 1415N 06731W 00304 5056 040 016 240 240 016 00258 0000000000
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#766 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:00 pm

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#767 Postby TheEuropean » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:00 pm

Can someone please take over? Thx
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#768 Postby craptacular » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:03 pm

I can try. I assume a VDM may be coming soon?
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#769 Postby craptacular » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:08 pm

611
SXXX50 KNHC 251904
AF303 0205A CYCLONE HDOB 20 KNHC
1856. 1416N 06733W 00305 5056 045 016 240 240 016 00259 0000000000
1857 1417N 06734W 00306 5056 047 016 240 240 016 00261 0000000000
1857. 1419N 06735W 00304 5056 055 017 240 240 018 00259 0000000000
1858 1421N 06736W 00306 5055 055 018 240 240 019 00261 0000000000
1858. 1422N 06737W 00304 5054 048 020 240 240 021 00260 0000000000
1859 1424N 06738W 00305 5054 047 021 240 240 022 00262 0000000000
1859. 1425N 06740W 00305 5053 049 022 240 240 022 00263 0000000000
1900 1427N 06741W 00305 5052 049 023 240 240 024 00264 0000000000
1900. 1428N 06743W 00305 5051 049 024 240 240 024 00264 0000000000
1901 1429N 06744W 00305 5050 050 023 240 240 024 00265 0000000000
1901. 1431N 06746W 00304 5050 051 026 240 240 027 00265 0000000000
1902 1432N 06747W 00305 5049 050 028 240 240 029 00267 0000000000
1902. 1434N 06748W 00305 5048 050 029 240 238 029 00267 0000000000
1903 1435N 06750W 00304 5047 053 028 240 238 029 00268 0000000000
1903. 1436N 06751W 00306 5046 055 029 238 236 030 00270 0000000000
1904 1438N 06753W 00305 5045 057 030 240 234 031 00270 0000000000
1904. 1439N 06754W 00305 5044 058 030 240 234 031 00272 0000000000
1905 1441N 06756W 00305 5043 064 031 242 230 032 00272 0000000000
1905. 1442N 06757W 00305 5042 062 030 244 230 030 00273 0000000000
1906 1444N 06759W 00304 5041 064 030 244 228 031 00274 0000000000
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#770 Postby clfenwi » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:11 pm

URNT12 KNHC 251905
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 25/18:51:10Z
B. 14 deg 04 min N
067 deg 19 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 30 kt
E. 138 deg 046 nm
F. 163 deg 030 kt
G. 136 deg 099 nm
H. EXTRAP 1004 mb
I. 24 C/ 302 m
J. 24 C/ 305 m
K. 24 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 1
O. 0.03 / 3 nm
P. AF303 0205A CYCLONE OB 08
MAX FL WIND 48 KT NE QUAD 17:01:30 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT
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#771 Postby craptacular » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:11 pm

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:
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#772 Postby drezee » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:13 pm

pressure is down...

due west along recon points
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#773 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:14 pm

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#774 Postby craptacular » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:18 pm

544
SXXX50 KNHC 251914
AF303 0205A CYCLONE HDOB 21 KNHC
1906. 1445N 06800W 00300 5041 065 031 246 226 033 00270 0000000000
1907 1446N 06802W 00306 5040 064 032 244 230 033 00277 0000000000
1907. 1448N 06803W 00303 5040 058 031 240 236 031 00273 0000000000
1908 1449N 06805W 00305 5039 060 031 240 232 032 00276 0000000000
1908. 1451N 06806W 00305 5038 061 031 240 232 031 00278 0000000000
1909 1452N 06808W 00305 5038 064 030 240 230 030 00278 0000000000
1909. 1453N 06809W 00304 5037 062 031 240 226 031 00278 0000000000
1910 1455N 06811W 00305 5036 061 033 240 222 034 00279 0000000000
1910. 1456N 06812W 00305 5036 057 031 240 220 032 00280 0000000000
1911 1457N 06813W 00304 5035 054 030 234 232 032 00280 0000000000
1911. 1459N 06815W 00306 5035 057 030 228 228 031 00281 0000000000
1912 1500N 06816W 00304 5034 062 031 236 234 032 00280 0000000000
1912. 1501N 06818W 00305 5034 062 029 240 232 029 00282 0000000000
1913 1503N 06819W 00304 5033 065 029 246 230 030 00282 0000000000
1913. 1504N 06821W 00305 5032 065 028 246 234 029 00284 0000000000
1914 1506N 06822W 00304 5031 060 028 246 232 029 00284 0000000000
1914. 1507N 06823W 00305 5031 058 026 246 236 026 00285 0000000000
1915 1508N 06825W 00305 5031 058 027 246 236 027 00284 0000000000
1915. 1510N 06826W 00305 5030 056 026 246 236 027 00285 0000000000
1916 1511N 06828W 00305 5030 057 026 244 234 026 00285 0000000000
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#775 Postby benny » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:20 pm

270 deg at 13.2 kt between fixes...
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#776 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:25 pm

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#777 Postby craptacular » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:26 pm

301
URNT14 KNHC 251920
SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
INBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01129 10663 10008 12424 17024
02131 20664 20008 22424 18023
03133 30666 30007 32424 19020
04135 40668 40006 42323 21024
05137 50670 50006 52423 21016
06138 60672 60005 62423 22019
MF135 M0668 MF027
OBS 01 AT 18:26:30Z
OBS 06 AT 18:46:10Z
OBS 01 SFC WND 16025
OUTBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01142 10675 10005 12424 04016
02144 20677 20006 22424 05022
03146 30679 30006 32424 06029
04148 40680 40007 42423 06031
05150 50682 50008 52323 06029
06151 60684 60008 62423 06027
MF149 M0682 MF034
OBS 01 AT 18:55:30Z
OBS 06 AT 19:14:30Z
OBS 06 SFC WND 05025
AF303 0205A CYCLONE OB 10
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#778 Postby LanceW » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:26 pm

Isn't that about 21 MPH? If so, seems to have gained a little speed...
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#779 Postby Andrew92 » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:28 pm

I get 15.18 mph. Correct me if I'm wrong.

13.2 * 1.15 = 15.18

-Andrew92
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#780 Postby LAwxrgal » Fri Aug 25, 2006 2:28 pm

benny wrote:270 deg at 13.2 kt between fixes...


Shouldn't the models respond and bend it back left a tad since it's not WNW but due west?
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