Tropical Storm Beryl

HurricaneHunter914 · #781 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 9:33 pm

I'm rooting for Beryl to become the first Hurricane of the season!

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #782 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 9:34 pm

Me to but its not likely...We will see in this recon.

#783 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 9:36 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Me to but its not likely...We will see in this recon.

i am setting one alarm for 1:50 and another for 4:50 :lol:

HurricaneHunter914 · #784 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 9:37 pm

I'm staying up till 2 AM and then hopefully waking up at 5 AM.

#785 Postby **curtadams** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 9:47 pm

Looks to me like she's about to have her head blown off by all that shear. Just north of her the winds are so strong you can't even visually estimate the shear. I wouldn't lose sleep over those recons.

HurricaneHunter914 · #786 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 9:50 pm

Beryl has been a fighter, but looks like she's about to retire to Hurricane Heaven with her other brothers and sisters. But she's not going to retire without becoming a hurricane.

#787 Postby **drezee** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 9:56 pm

drezee wrote:OK people this system has to average an angle of movement of more than 25 degrees to clear the Cape...it is moving probably 15 at best right now...

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 8 KT

#788 Postby **HURAKAN** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 9:57 pm

No surprise the NHC didn't make any changes in the intensity of Beryl. The information available to them say that Beryl has become better organized, but since a RECON is going to investigate the storm, then it's better to confirm any suspicion. Therefore, see you tomorrow guys!!!

#789 Postby **NDG** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:01 pm

Now that Beryl exited SST in the mid 80s this afternoon into the upper 70s to near 80 at the most, plus increasing westerlies, I am not expecting Beryl to increase in strength by much tonight if any. Good night.

HurricaneHunter914 · #790 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:09 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg

She is clearly getting better organized with deeper convection forming over the center. Maybe a 70 mph TS at the 2 AM.

Jim Cantore · #791 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:10 pm

Right now I'm under some of Beryls outer clouds, and the humidity is present. I'll be down the shore friday and hopefully camping out into saturday so I'll see any beach erosion caused.

Bella · #792 Postby **Bella** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:16 pm

NOT good!!! My family is traveling from RI to Tampa tomorrow....ironic, huh?

Derek Ortt · #793 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:20 pm

There is no RI going on. What is leading you to believe that the recon reports of decreasing winds, and decreasing convective activity is wrong?

#794 Postby **NDG** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:20 pm

The convection tonight is about the size of New York City, OK a little bit bigger

cpdaman · #795 Postby **cpdaman** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:28 pm

http://www.storm2k.org/wx/modules.php?n ... ge&pid=143

decreasing convective activity ?

HurricaneHunter914 · #796 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:30 pm

Yeah it is, but the deep convection area appears to be growing.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg

#797 Postby **NDG** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:32 pm

cpdaman wrote:http://www.storm2k.org/wx/modules.php?name=Content&pa=showpage&pid=143

decreasing convective activity ?

Why is this loop about 4 hrs old?

#798 Postby **MGC** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:34 pm

The only way Beryl will make it to cane is for the system to remain over the GS and speed up reducing the shear. Still don't see any risk of US landfall my thinking remains the same as last night, a threat only to the Canadian Maritime.....MGC

#799 Postby **NDG** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:35 pm

NDG wrote:
cpdaman wrote:http://www.storm2k.org/wx/modules.php?name=Content&pa=showpage&pid=143

decreasing convective activity ?

Why is this loop about 4 hrs old?

Never mind, I thought that it was in UTC timing.

cpdaman · #800 Postby **cpdaman** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:36 pm

[quot never mind

Tropical Storm Beryl

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