Tropical Storm Ophelia
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BensonTCwatcher
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I think I'll put forth a wild speculation since this storm is going, lets just say, following the coast the wrong way.
Looking at the ridging, it might just cartwheel around the high to the NW of "O" . This would keep her moving to about JAX. Then the most likely track would NE and then probably out to sea.
Landfall could be in GA or Charleston after all
Looking at the ridging, it might just cartwheel around the high to the NW of "O" . This would keep her moving to about JAX. Then the most likely track would NE and then probably out to sea.
Landfall could be in GA or Charleston after all
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Brent
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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0300Z TUE SEP 13 2005
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH
OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO
BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 77.9W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
EYE DIAMETER 90 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 240SE 225SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 77.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 77.7W
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 32.4N 78.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.9N 78.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.7N 77.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.6N 77.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.0N 75.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 38.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 42.0N 66.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 77.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0300Z TUE SEP 13 2005
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH
OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO
BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 77.9W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
EYE DIAMETER 90 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 240SE 225SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 77.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 77.7W
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 32.4N 78.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.9N 78.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.7N 77.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.6N 77.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.0N 75.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 38.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 42.0N 66.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 77.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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#neversummer
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Brent
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 12 2005
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED AS OPHELIA CREEPS TOWARD THE COAST...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH
OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO
BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST OR ABOUT
140 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 210
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES
...260 KM FROM THE CENTER. OPHELIA'S STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED
RELATIVELY FAR FROM THE CENTER...ROUGHLY 50 TO 60 MILES. THESE
WINDS WILL REACH THE COASTLINE WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA. A STORM SURGE OF UP TO
7 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.
OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...
WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
AND NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 77.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 12 2005
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED AS OPHELIA CREEPS TOWARD THE COAST...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH
OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO
BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST OR ABOUT
140 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 210
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES
...260 KM FROM THE CENTER. OPHELIA'S STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED
RELATIVELY FAR FROM THE CENTER...ROUGHLY 50 TO 60 MILES. THESE
WINDS WILL REACH THE COASTLINE WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA. A STORM SURGE OF UP TO
7 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.
OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...
WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
AND NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 77.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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#neversummer
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Brent
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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 12 2005
THE STRUCTURE OF OPHELIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS...ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTIVE TOPS ARE A LITTLE COOLER THAN THEY
WERE EARLIER. A NOAA AIRCRAFT MEASURED SURFACE WINDS OF 60 KT
NORTH OF THE CENTER WITH THE STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER
AROUND 2238Z...AND AN AIR FORCE AIRCRAFT MEASURED 700 MB WINDS OF
72 KT. BASED ON THESE DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS JUST
BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH. WHILE THE STRUCTURE OF OPHELIA...WITH A
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WIND OF 45-60 NMI...AS WELL AS MARGINAL WATER
TEMPERATURES...ARGUES AGAINST ANY RAPID OR LARGE INTENSITY
INCREASES...IT WOULD TAKE VERY LITTLE FOR OPHELIA TO REGAIN
HURRICANE STATUS. WITH BOTH THE SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE INDICATING
SUCH...A HURRICANE WARNING AT THIS TIME IS THE PRUDENT COURSE OF
ACTION.
THE MOTION REMAINS SLOW AND ERRATIC...WITH AN INITIAL MOTION
ESTIMATED AT 290/3. RAOB DATA AT 0Z SUGGEST THAT HIGH PRESSURE TO
THE NORTHWEST OF OPHELIA IS WEAKENING WITH THE APPROACH A MID-LEVEL
TROUGH. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT THAT THE
INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH WILL SHORTLY DIMINISH AND OPHELIA WILL BEGIN
TO TURN NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS...ALTHOUGH WITH VERY LITTLE ACCELERATION. THIS COULD RESULT
IN A VERY SLOW PROGRESSION OF THE SYSTEM ACROSS THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA. GIVEN THE SIZE OF THE WIND FIELD...WINDS AT OR NEAR
HURRICANE STRENGTH COULD BE A PROLONGED EXPERIENCE IN MANY
LOCATIONS.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 13/0300Z 31.8N 77.9W 60 KT
12HR VT 13/1200Z 32.4N 78.1W 65 KT
24HR VT 14/0000Z 32.9N 78.1W 65 KT
36HR VT 14/1200Z 33.7N 77.8W 65 KT
48HR VT 15/0000Z 34.6N 77.2W 65 KT
72HR VT 16/0000Z 36.0N 75.5W 55 KT
96HR VT 17/0000Z 38.0N 72.0W 50 KT
120HR VT 18/0000Z 42.0N 66.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 12 2005
THE STRUCTURE OF OPHELIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS...ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTIVE TOPS ARE A LITTLE COOLER THAN THEY
WERE EARLIER. A NOAA AIRCRAFT MEASURED SURFACE WINDS OF 60 KT
NORTH OF THE CENTER WITH THE STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER
AROUND 2238Z...AND AN AIR FORCE AIRCRAFT MEASURED 700 MB WINDS OF
72 KT. BASED ON THESE DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS JUST
BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH. WHILE THE STRUCTURE OF OPHELIA...WITH A
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WIND OF 45-60 NMI...AS WELL AS MARGINAL WATER
TEMPERATURES...ARGUES AGAINST ANY RAPID OR LARGE INTENSITY
INCREASES...IT WOULD TAKE VERY LITTLE FOR OPHELIA TO REGAIN
HURRICANE STATUS. WITH BOTH THE SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE INDICATING
SUCH...A HURRICANE WARNING AT THIS TIME IS THE PRUDENT COURSE OF
ACTION.
THE MOTION REMAINS SLOW AND ERRATIC...WITH AN INITIAL MOTION
ESTIMATED AT 290/3. RAOB DATA AT 0Z SUGGEST THAT HIGH PRESSURE TO
THE NORTHWEST OF OPHELIA IS WEAKENING WITH THE APPROACH A MID-LEVEL
TROUGH. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT THAT THE
INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH WILL SHORTLY DIMINISH AND OPHELIA WILL BEGIN
TO TURN NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS...ALTHOUGH WITH VERY LITTLE ACCELERATION. THIS COULD RESULT
IN A VERY SLOW PROGRESSION OF THE SYSTEM ACROSS THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA. GIVEN THE SIZE OF THE WIND FIELD...WINDS AT OR NEAR
HURRICANE STRENGTH COULD BE A PROLONGED EXPERIENCE IN MANY
LOCATIONS.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 13/0300Z 31.8N 77.9W 60 KT
12HR VT 13/1200Z 32.4N 78.1W 65 KT
24HR VT 14/0000Z 32.9N 78.1W 65 KT
36HR VT 14/1200Z 33.7N 77.8W 65 KT
48HR VT 15/0000Z 34.6N 77.2W 65 KT
72HR VT 16/0000Z 36.0N 75.5W 55 KT
96HR VT 17/0000Z 38.0N 72.0W 50 KT
120HR VT 18/0000Z 42.0N 66.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
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#neversummer
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MBismyPlayground
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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0300Z TUE SEP 13 2005
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 77.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 77.7W
There certainly hasn't been a WNW movement over the last three hours.
It drifted 0.1 S and 0.2 W. Any comments?
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0300Z TUE SEP 13 2005
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 77.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 77.7W
There certainly hasn't been a WNW movement over the last three hours.
It drifted 0.1 S and 0.2 W. Any comments?
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MBismyPlayground
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Brent wrote:MBismyPlayground wrote:We just got a HURRICANE WARNING for HORRY county, GEORGETOWN county and BRUNSWICK co. NC just now
Yep... South Santee River, SC to Cape Lookout, NC.
Oh crap they are calling for 6 - 9 inches of rain here in Horry County. I have no idea if I am in a flood area or not. One of the people who live here who work for the fire department mentioned that they thought we were in a flood area...I have looked at the area FEMA flood maps but have no idea of how to read them. I know that apparently there is a swamp here. Never saw one, but then ....eh....what can I say?
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Jim Hughes
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LarryWx wrote:Brent wrote:TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0300Z TUE SEP 13 2005
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 77.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 77.7W
There certainly hasn't been a WNW movement over the last three hours.
It drifted 0.1 S and 0.2 W. Any comments?
That seems to be the $64,000 question that some people do not want to answer. Ophelia could make landfall in the Outer banks but that still does not explain what they are saying about this storms current movement or where it has moved from.
Jim
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deltadog03
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LarryWx wrote:TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0300Z TUE SEP 13 2005
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 77.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 77.7W
There certainly hasn't been a WNW movement over the last three hours.
It drifted 0.1 S and 0.2 W. Any comments?
I agree larry....i think there is some....well, i dunno why they say this....i think they are -removed- this thing....
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deltadog03
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- Location: Macon, GA
MBismyPlayground wrote:Brent wrote:MBismyPlayground wrote:We just got a HURRICANE WARNING for HORRY county, GEORGETOWN county and BRUNSWICK co. NC just now
Yep... South Santee River, SC to Cape Lookout, NC.
Oh crap they are calling for 6 - 9 inches of rain here in Horry County. I have no idea if I am in a flood area or not. One of the people who live here who work for the fire department mentioned that they thought we were in a flood area...I have looked at the area FEMA flood maps but have no idea of how to read them. I know that apparently there is a swamp here. Never saw one, but then ....eh....what can I say?
Where in Horry County?
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NCWeatherChic
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MBismyPlayground wrote:Brent wrote:MBismyPlayground wrote:We just got a HURRICANE WARNING for HORRY county, GEORGETOWN county and BRUNSWICK co. NC just now
Yep... South Santee River, SC to Cape Lookout, NC.
Oh crap they are calling for 6 - 9 inches of rain here in Horry County. I have no idea if I am in a flood area or not. One of the people who live here who work for the fire department mentioned that they thought we were in a flood area...I have looked at the area FEMA flood maps but have no idea of how to read them. I know that apparently there is a swamp here. Never saw one, but then ....eh....what can I say?
Well, I do know that when we bought our land in 1998 to build our home I asked about flooding and we were told that it is a law now that if someone sells property they must disclose whether or not it is declared a flood zone due to homeowner's insurance. So maybe you are safe. But I'd say, for anyone that questions it, better check when it's not the season for hurricane's. Better to find out before it's too late. Good Luck to everyone in Ophelia's path. As slow as she is moving, rain combined with wind of any degree spells trouble. GOOD LUCK and stay safe!
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MBismyPlayground
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deltadog03 wrote:LarryWx wrote:TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0300Z TUE SEP 13 2005
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 77.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 77.7W
There certainly hasn't been a WNW movement over the last three hours.
It drifted 0.1 S and 0.2 W. Any comments?
I agree larry....i think there is some....well, i dunno why they say this....i think they are -removed- this thing....
So, hubbie and I are not losing our minds, or our math skills???? I have noticed a few strange things here in the Myrtle beach area as well. During Charlie I did not see as much activity here as I have with this one. Of course, the effects of Katrina are still foremost in everyones minds but still....
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MBismyPlayground
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SCHawkFan wrote:MBismyPlayground wrote:Brent wrote:MBismyPlayground wrote:We just got a HURRICANE WARNING for HORRY county, GEORGETOWN county and BRUNSWICK co. NC just now
Yep... South Santee River, SC to Cape Lookout, NC.
Oh crap they are calling for 6 - 9 inches of rain here in Horry County. I have no idea if I am in a flood area or not. One of the people who live here who work for the fire department mentioned that they thought we were in a flood area...I have looked at the area FEMA flood maps but have no idea of how to read them. I know that apparently there is a swamp here. Never saw one, but then ....eh....what can I say?
Where in Horry County?
Horry county consists of Myrtle Beach, North Myrtle Beach, Surfside, garden City, Murrells inlet, little river, Conway, ect......
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NCWeatherChic
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- Location: Benson, North Carolina
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deltadog03 wrote:LarryWx wrote:TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005
0300Z TUE SEP 13 2005
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 77.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 77.7W
There certainly hasn't been a WNW movement over the last three hours.
It drifted 0.1 S and 0.2 W. Any comments?
I agree larry....i think there is some....well, i dunno why they say this....i think they are -removed- this thing....
Who's -removed- may I ask?
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