Hurricane Rita - Cat. 5

[Brent]

Is it possible that if the nw movement continues this could be a fish and not even effect anybody?

Nope... NW takes it into the SC area.

Again... the center did NOT move NW, it REFORMED.

[Stratosphere747]

Is it possible that if the nw movement continues this could be a fish and not even effect anybody?

No....

[hicksta]

Anything is possible. But that isnt very possible right now

[Canelaw99]

What is the BAMM seeing that the others aren't?

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200518_model.html

[THead]

I don't know, the NHC is usually VERY conservative if not slow in posting directional changes. Seems kind of strange to me that they would say NW if it isn't moving NW, which is what I'm reading here.

[krysof]

I don't think so, it would have to go straight north right now. If it continues NW it would still make landfall. VERY UNLIKELY to be a fish if not nearly impossible at this point. We have to admit that we may have a serious problem on our hands.

[PTrackerLA]

While I don't trust the BAMM the intialization of it looks to be in the right spot compared to the other models being too far south. That track would be horrible BTW .

[Ivanhater]

What is the BAMM seeing that the others aren't?

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200518_model.html

well its the only one that has the center right

[cjrciadt]

WTH!!!!!!!!!!

[MiamiensisWx]

Rita (and definately Philippe as well) are looking VERY GOOD tonight and continue to look better and better.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

[hicksta]

BAM is horrible on forcasting tropics

[jamima]

BAMM just ran to right so its one of the newest model runs

[dixiebreeze]

WTH!!!!!!!!!!

OMG! Look for the other models to follow the BAMM in the next day or two.

[hicksta]

I hope you are being sarcasting.. Alot of people dont know that the bam isnt good with tropics. And what you said could frieghten them...

[Brent]

Miami and New Orleans... ugh.

Good thing BAMM is not a good tropical model.

[tracyswfla]

anybody think they will extend watches/warnings as far north as Jupiter Inlet. I know the watches now extend as far north as Deerfield Beach, and i believe the next break point is Jupiter inlet. Is that right, or is there another break point bwtn Deerfield and Jupiter

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gifs/break_seUS.gif

OMG Chad I was soooo looking for that! THANK YOU!

[JTD]

:eek:

Miami and New Orleans... ugh.

Good thing BAMM is not a good tropical model.

Now would be a good time to either disprove or prove the Miami-New Orleans teleconnection theory

I mean that in the sense that if it's true, we're in big trouble. Thank God Chad Allen put the kibosh on Mayor Nagin's ridiculous calls to invite everybody back into NO.

[HeatherAKC]

That BAMM run is someone's idea of a sick joke, right?

[PTrackerLA]

I just have a bad feeling about this, it always seems that weaknesses in ridges pop up when storms are in the gulf. I think she will go west of New Orleans but I'm not feeling so good about the rest of Louisiana and of course Texas.

[hicksta]

are yall serious... The BAMM is not a accurate tropical model at ALL.