Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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cjrciadt
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#1641 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:13 am

Image
Newest windfield
Image
882mb windfield
you dont want the "Weaker" Wilma
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#1642 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:23 am

cjrciadt wrote:Image
Newest windfield
Image
882mb windfield
you dont want the "Weaker" Wilma


wow great graphics..thanks
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#1643 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:23 am

Image

First band begins to affect Cancun.
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#1644 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:24 am

HURAKAN wrote:Image

First band begins to affect Cancun.


They were feeling bands last night too.
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Derek Ortt

#1645 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:28 am

it has turned back to a 270 heading and will now make landfall over the Yucatan
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#1646 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:31 am

Derek Ortt wrote:it has turned back to a 270 heading and will now make landfall over the Yucatan


I agree Derek!

Here's the last many NHC forecast tracks. As you can see, she's been constantly going to the west of their tracks, but they are still keeping their Florida landfall forecast consistant.

Image
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#1647 Postby tampastorm » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:31 am

Also seems it will be alot further south in the Yucatan then anyone would have thought.
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#1648 Postby Aquawind » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:33 am

Yep.. Bouy 42056 has a steady pressure and the winds are now E-SE..

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/Maps/West_Caribbean.shtml

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42056

Paul
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#1649 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:38 am

Image
One of the BAMMS doing the S of Cuba thing again, the stat. a98 slows down greatly, and the other bamm about the same.
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#1650 Postby gtalum » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:39 am

If Wilma hits the Yucatan due west of where she is, that's about the best possible scenario for everyone all around. There's very little population there in the southern Yucatan Peninsula.
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#1651 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:41 am

gtalum wrote:If Wilma hits the Yucatan due west of where she is, that's about the best possible scenario for everyone all around. There's very little population there in the southern Yucatan Peninsula.


Unfortunately, Wilma is not just a point, is a monster of several hundred miles in diameter, and this area was in July severely impacted by Emily, and recently affected by Stan.
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#1652 Postby Raebie » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:42 am

I sure don't see any northward movement. Looks lto me like she's gonna slam the coast near Majahual.
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#1653 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:45 am

Image
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#1654 Postby jpigott » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:49 am

last few frames on the ramsdis website appears to be a little more of a Northerly tug
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#1655 Postby gtalum » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:56 am

HURAKAN wrote:Unfortunately, Wilma is not just a point, is a monster of several hundred miles in diameter, and this area was in July severely impacted by Emily, and recently affected by Stan.


I'm quite aware that Wilma is not just a point. However, if she hits teh Yucatan due west fo her current position, Cozumel and Cancun will get only marginal hurricane winds, or maybe even just TS winds. There are no other major population centers south of Cozumel on the Yucatan peninsula.

Belize City would take the hardest hit, and it's quite small.

Someone is going to get thius storm. I just hope its as few someones as possible.
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Possibly cause of westward movement?

#1656 Postby stormy1959 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:12 am

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm6.html

Looks to me as if the high pressure to the east is growing stronger than the one to the west of Wilma. Could this be the cause of the westward jog?
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Re: Possibly cause of westward movement?

#1657 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:19 am

stormy1959 wrote:http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm6.html

Looks to me as if the high pressure to the east is growing stronger than the one to the west of Wilma. Could this be the cause of the westward jog?


Looks to me like its backign off bigtime right now...She has slowed and is feeling the Tug..
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Re: Possibly cause of westward movement?

#1658 Postby chris_fit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:20 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
stormy1959 wrote:http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm6.html

Looks to me as if the high pressure to the east is growing stronger than the one to the west of Wilma. Could this be the cause of the westward jog?


Looks to me like its backign off bigtime right now...She has slowed and is feeling the Tug..


Agreed

Not moving much last few frames. Also West side of looking like it ran into something.
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#1659 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:25 am

Image
Image
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#1660 Postby Blown Away » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:33 am

It looks like a N tug in the last frame! Doesn't look like Wilma is moving to fast. Storm has a N/S elongation, slowed, and a N tug hint in the last frame, I'll bet the NW turn is going to begin this afternoon.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html
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