Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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OrlandoDad
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#4261 Postby OrlandoDad » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:23 am

Looks to me like she's going much more east than north.
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#4262 Postby storms in NC » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:24 am

HURAKAN wrote:I knew that she wasn't going to intensify very quickly, if at all. Remember Emily in July? After she crossed the Yucatan Peninsula, it took her a lot of time to reorganize before starting to intensify. Wilma, picture speaking, looked good after leaving the YP, but internally she is hurt. Before any intensification can occur, the inner eyewall has to redevelop and the hurricane has to start shrinking the eye once again. Let see what happens.


Very true. I have to remember How fast she went from a TS to a cat5. So hold on to your hats. Cause I think it will go in as a cat3. I hope not I have two of my kids and a brother and his family that live there in Ft Myers
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#4263 Postby Sanibel » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:25 am

I was telling people last night Alpha would do something to Wilma.

The storm is way right. I think we are going to stay here on Sanibel.


South of Marco, now, but my eye says even further south than that.

As I said last night and people ignored me - Alpha will keep Wilma down. Caribbean/Gulf climatology does not support strong storms in close proximity...
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#4264 Postby CHRISTY » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:28 am

wilma seems to be headng toward miami and the keys.....
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#4265 Postby O Town » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:29 am

She doesn't look as good this morning as I thought she would. But she is also moving slower than I thought as well. Humm.
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#4266 Postby tampastorm » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:34 am

CHRISTY wrote:wilma seems to be headng toward miami and the keys.....

How do you figure, Still going NE actually slightly north of NE.
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#4267 Postby Brent » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:36 am

tampastorm wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:wilma seems to be headng toward miami and the keys.....

How do you figure, Still going NE actually slightly north of NE.


I know how. :lol:
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#4268 Postby tampastorm » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:36 am

Bottom line everone North of the Center will get the worse of this, Very heavy, dark banding well to the north.
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#4269 Postby storms in NC » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:37 am

tampastorm wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:wilma seems to be headng toward miami and the keys.....

How do you figure, Still going NE actually slightly north of NE.

Just ran wv loop and she is going NE
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#4270 Postby Scorpion » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:38 am

tampastorm wrote:Bottom line everone North of the Center will get the worse of this, Very heavy, dark banding well to the north.


I am not sure. While most of the convection looks to be north, remember that the forward motion is only added to the southern half. So the southern part gets the worst winds I think.
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#4271 Postby tampastorm » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:40 am

Scorpion wrote:
tampastorm wrote:Bottom line everone North of the Center will get the worse of this, Very heavy, dark banding well to the north.


I am not sure. While most of the convection looks to be north, remember that the forward motion is only added to the southern half. So the southern part gets the worst winds I think.

I agree worse winds, remember the front will still be north of the storm, combining with northern outflow, making a complete mess!
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#4272 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:41 am

tampastorm wrote:
Scorpion wrote:
tampastorm wrote:Bottom line everone North of the Center will get the worse of this, Very heavy, dark banding well to the north.


I am not sure. While most of the convection looks to be north, remember that the forward motion is only added to the southern half. So the southern part gets the worst winds I think.

I agree worse winds, remember the front will still be north of the storm, combining with northern outflow, making a complete mess!


I have to agree...Looks more like it will be doing a transfmayion to Ex Trop before or right Over FL..
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#4273 Postby storms in NC » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:42 am

The eye is really tighting up not good. By this late this after noon she will be back to her bad self. Oh and not a cat5 either but do think a cat3 at land fall
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#4274 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:43 am

storms in NC wrote:The eye is really tighting up not good. By this late this after noon she will be back to her bad self. Oh and not a cat5 either but do think a cat3 at land fall


Although im not rulling out a 15 MPH increase she will have a hard time getting there
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#4275 Postby richartm » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:46 am

5am EDT 22.1 86.6
8am EDT 22.4 86.1

More east than north
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#4276 Postby THead » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:48 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
storms in NC wrote:The eye is really tighting up not good. By this late this after noon she will be back to her bad self. Oh and not a cat5 either but do think a cat3 at land fall


Although im not rulling out a 15 MPH increase she will have a hard time getting there


I think she'll easily make that. She be moving almost 15 mph faster at landfall, so even if she maintains her current intensity, that will be factored into the max winds and viewed as strengthening.
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#4277 Postby Bgator » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:50 am

tampastorm wrote:Bottom line everone North of the Center will get the worse of this, Very heavy, dark banding well to the north.


Have you been listening south will be MUCH worse!
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#4278 Postby theworld » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:50 am

theworld wrote:Yup, agreed. She's off the coast within an hour or so. Cat 3+ to FL. Ft Meyers. Easily.


Good morning all. I'm stickin w/my prediction.
Last edited by theworld on Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#4279 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:51 am

I'm gonna stick with that she is beginning extratropical transition.

extratropical doesnt mean weaker though. I think she will maintain a pressure in the 960s until landfall with winds still above 100 and some nasty rainfall.
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#4280 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:52 am

THead wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
storms in NC wrote:The eye is really tighting up not good. By this late this after noon she will be back to her bad self. Oh and not a cat5 either but do think a cat3 at land fall


Although im not rulling out a 15 MPH increase she will have a hard time getting there


I think she'll easily make that. She be moving almost 15 mph faster at landfall, so even if she maintains her current intensity, that will be factored into the max winds and viewed as strengthening.


Its already factored in..
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