Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[tampastorm]

Bottom line everone North of the Center will get the worse of this, Very heavy, dark banding well to the north.

Have you been listening south will be MUCH worse!

I have to 100% disagree with you, Where in the world are you getting your info???????

[THead]

The eye is really tighting up not good. By this late this after noon she will be back to her bad self. Oh and not a cat5 either but do think a cat3 at land fall

Although im not rulling out a 15 MPH increase she will have a hard time getting there

I think she'll easily make that. She be moving almost 15 mph faster at landfall, so even if she maintains her current intensity, that will be factored into the max winds and viewed as strengthening.

Its already factored in..

Her future forward speed is factored in? No.

[Brent]

Bottom line everone North of the Center will get the worse of this, Very heavy, dark banding well to the north.

Have you been listening south will be MUCH worse!

I have to 100% disagree with you, Where in the world are you getting your info???????

Well for one Steve Lyons just said it on TWC. I heard him with my own ears.

[cycloneye]

Steve Lyons just said that the inner core is weakening and it wont be a major cane at landfall at the most a moderate cat 2 to a strong cat 1.

[miamijaaz]

My prediction is that Wilma is going to be torn apart -- a victim of the people living to the north pulling her north and the people living to the south pulling her south :p

[stormy1959]

Quote:
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... s-dlm.html

Looking at the steering currents right now, I see a steeper angle through the state than the forecast calls for. I see Wima entering between Naples and Sarasota and exiting Melbourne to Daytona. Unless these steering currents change, I don't see a more southern trek that the models are calling for.

[storms in NC]

Not just that but you have to look at the water temps too. and they are very warm.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/atlpot.png

[WindRunner]

After looking at the below IR picture, I realized how strong this cold front is. The cold, dry air behind it actually shows up as kind of whitish over much of the east, and promptly stops at the coasts. I've never seen cold air show up on IR before in October . . .



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

[TampaFl]

5am EDT 22.1 86.6
8am EDT 22.4 86.1

More east than north

One tenth of a degree = 6 miles, so Wilma has moved 18 miles north and 12 miles east in 3 hours. So it has moved more north than east, or IMHO NE if you extrapolate it out.. Thoughts and comments welcomed.

Robert

[Tiny]

Steve Lyons just said that the inner core is weakening and it wont be a major cane at landfall at the most a moderate cat 2 to a strong cat 1.

Man I hope Dr. Lyons is right!!!!

[Brent]

After looking at the below IR picture, I realized how strong this cold front is. The cold, dry air behind it actually shows up as kind of whitish over much of the east, and promptly stops at the coasts. I've never seen cold air show up on IR before in October . . .

Oh yeah... this is the most powerful October cold front I've ever seen.

[Tiny]

My prediction is that Wilma is going to be torn apart -- a victim of the people living to the north pulling her north and the people living to the south pulling her south :p

No Doubt!!!! ROTFLMAO!!!!!

[TampaFl]

Quote:
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... s-dlm.html

Looking at the steering currents right now, I see a steeper angle through the state than the forecast calls for. I see Wima entering between Naples and Sarasota and exiting Melbourne to Daytona. Unless these steering currents change, I don't see a more southern trek that the models are calling for.

Agree Stormy 1959. Based on Wilma's current pressure of 961MB here is the current steering flow.:

[THead]

5am EDT 22.1 86.6
8am EDT 22.4 86.1

More east than north

One tenth of a degree = 6 miles, so Wilma has moved 18 miles north and 12 miles east in 3 hours. So it has moved more north than east, or IMHO NE if you extrapolate it out.. Thoughts and comments welcomed.

Robert

Better check that over again....I know i'm seeing double, but that does not compute.

[nativeflacracker]

My prediction is that Wilma is going to be torn apart -- a victim of the people living to the north pulling her north and the people living to the south pulling her south :p

This is undoubtedly one of the best posts ever!!

[Brent]

My prediction is that Wilma is going to be torn apart -- a victim of the people living to the north pulling her north and the people living to the south pulling her south :p

[WindRunner]

5am EDT 22.1 86.6
8am EDT 22.4 86.1

More east than north

One tenth of a degree = 6 miles, so Wilma has moved 18 miles north and 12 miles east in 3 hours. So it has moved more north than east, or IMHO NE if you extrapolate it out.. Thoughts and comments welcomed.

Robert

Better check that over again....I know i'm seeing double, but that does not compute.

Also, as you go north, .1(E or W) no longer represents 6 miles, it's actually a little less. I don't remember the conversion.

But to go with your math, it's .3N, .5E = 18mi N, 30mi E.

[tampastorm]

Quote:
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... s-dlm.html

Looking at the steering currents right now, I see a steeper angle through the state than the forecast calls for. I see Wima entering between Naples and Sarasota and exiting Melbourne to Daytona. Unless these steering currents change, I don't see a more southern trek that the models are calling for.

Agree Stormy 1959. Based on Wilma's current pressure of 961MB here is the current steering flow.:

Can you go more in depth what you see here and why? thanks

[THead]

My prediction is that Wilma is going to be torn apart -- a victim of the people living to the north pulling her north and the people living to the south pulling her south :p

You can tell by the elongation to the North, that the Tampa people are pulling MUCH harder then the south!! Although we do have Christy on our side.......j/k

[storms in NC]

Steve Lyons just said that the inner core is weakening and it wont be a major cane at landfall at the most a moderate cat 2 to a strong cat 1.

Man I hope Dr. Lyons is right!!!!

I don't care for TWC. Didn't they keep saying Charily was going into Tampa?
I don't but much trust in them Sorry. But that is just what think. But who knows he might be right.