Hurricane Nate,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 1:39 pm

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Ok let's replie here for comments,Sat Pics and Models thread as the other ones.

First advisorie at 5 PM.

#2 Postby **wx247** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 1:40 pm

Here we go... :eek:

#3 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 1:41 pm

does this mean they wont upgrade 94 at 5?

nequad · #4 Postby **nequad** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 1:41 pm

waiting for 18Z tropical models...not out yet.

#5 Postby **wx247** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 1:44 pm

ivanhater wrote:does this mean they wont upgrade 94 at 5?

Doubtful... but I guess not out of the question.

#6 Postby **Buck** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 1:45 pm

ivanhater wrote:does this mean they wont upgrade 94 at 5?

That would be something if they did! Two depressions upgraded at the same time right next to each other.

Man... only in 05.

#7 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 1:47 pm

well the discussion out of wilmington, it looks like it already met the requirements

NCHurricane · #8 Postby **NCHurricane** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 1:49 pm

I wonder if they'll switch Floater2 to 93? It's on 94 now isn't it?

#9 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 1:53 pm

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN (AL152005) ON 20050905 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050905 1800 050906 0600 050906 1800 050907 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 27.8N 67.5W 28.3N 67.8W 28.7N 68.5W 29.1N 69.2W
BAMM 27.8N 67.5W 28.4N 67.8W 28.8N 68.5W 28.9N 69.1W
A98E 27.8N 67.5W 27.8N 67.2W 28.3N 67.6W 28.3N 68.1W
LBAR 27.8N 67.5W 28.0N 67.5W 28.5N 67.6W 28.8N 67.8W
SHIP 25KTS 29KTS 35KTS 41KTS
DSHP 25KTS 29KTS 35KTS 41KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050907 1800 050908 1800 050909 1800 050910 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 29.4N 69.7W 31.1N 68.6W 32.7N 62.0W 34.6N 49.9W
BAMM 28.9N 70.0W 29.8N 70.7W 31.2N 69.4W 31.6N 62.2W
A98E 28.2N 68.7W 28.3N 69.2W 29.3N 69.0W 30.4N 65.8W
LBAR 29.2N 67.9W 30.9N 67.4W 33.9N 64.3W 38.2N 55.3W
SHIP 48KTS 57KTS 61KTS 57KTS
DSHP 48KTS 57KTS 61KTS 57KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 27.8N LONCUR = 67.5W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 0KT
LATM12 = 27.8N LONM12 = 66.9W DIRM12 = 324DEG SPDM12 = 7KT
LATM24 = 26.7N LONM24 = 66.5W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 160NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

Models confirm formation of TD15.It's not moving right now.

#10 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 1:54 pm

#11 Postby **cjrciadt** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 1:56 pm

Okay, that tells me a lot. :lol:

I'm still more concerned with 94L this will be picked and sent to sea hopefully. (No crazy loopy loop crap)

scostorms · #12 Postby **scostorms** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:01 pm

Could it go off course and strike lets say... SC/NC/VA?

krysof · #13 Postby **krysof** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:03 pm

it's possible, the models don't have a grip on this one, weak steering currents would cause it to loop

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #14 Postby **senorpepr** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:05 pm

I've loaded 15L onto the S2K Worldwide Tropical Update page. The floaters are active already, but the advisories will be old until the 5pm suite is sent out.

#15 Postby **Windtalker1** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:09 pm

Getting It's act together quickly....Good convection wrapping around the center now. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

whereverwx · #16 Postby **whereverwx** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:20 pm

Buck wrote:
ivanhater wrote:does this mean they wont upgrade 94 at 5?

That would be something if they did! Two depressions upgraded at the same time right next to each other.

Man... only in 05.

This reminds me alot about Gaston and Hermine back in 2004. Although, I don't think they were upgraded at the same time.

Hurricaneman · #17 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:21 pm

Calamity wrote:
Buck wrote:
ivanhater wrote:does this mean they wont upgrade 94 at 5?

That would be something if they did! Two depressions upgraded at the same time right next to each other.

Man... only in 05.

This reminds me alot about Gaston and Hermine back in 2004. Although, I don't think they were upgraded at the same time.

These might become stronger combined than those 2

#18 Postby **bvigal** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:24 pm

Now up to #15. Could we see 16(94) & 17(E Atlantic) before end of day tomorrow? Dry air/SAL diminishing.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... split.html

artist · #19 Postby **artist** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:39 pm

pressures down to 29.78 at Key West last hour

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/KEYW.html

Website · #20 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:41 pm

artist wrote:pressures down to 29.78 at Key West last hour

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/KEYW.html

Wrong thread. This is the one south of Bermuda.

94L is the one near Florida.

Hurricane Nate,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Hurricane Nate,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Looks to be...

Who is online