Gaston Advisories

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TLHR

#201 Postby TLHR » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:16 pm

Maybe Mark Seidel is having dinner....

:lol:

In the big scope of things is one hour REALLY going to make a difference??

I'm sure they will have an update at 9.
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cycloneye
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T numbers for Gaston=3.5,Frances= 5.5/6.0

#202 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:17 pm

28/2345 UTC 18.1N 52.9W T5.5/6.0 FRANCES -- Atlantic Ocean
28/2332 UTC 31.7N 79.1W T3.5/3.5 GASTON -- Atlantic Ocean
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Derek Ortt

#203 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:19 pm

that seems questionable for frances. I do not think the sat presentation has deteriorated since 18Z
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OtherHD
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#204 Postby OtherHD » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:19 pm

Maybe it's taking into account the fact that it lost its intermittent deep reds that it had earlier.
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frankthetank
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#205 Postby frankthetank » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:20 pm

ANybody know what SPF Cantore is recommending for tomorrow--i'm heading out to the beach and i'm torn between 15 and 30??????
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TLHR

#206 Postby TLHR » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:22 pm

Hahahaha!!

Thanks. I needed that laugh!

SPF 15, just to be safe....
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Double rainbow as Gaston approaches South Carolina coast ...

#207 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:23 pm

Double rainbow August 28th, 2004 as Tropical Storm Gaston approaches the South Carolina Coast. (Pictures do NOT do this justice!!!)

More on my website ... http://www.stormsfury1.com (Use toolbar to weather pictures) ... Frames and Non-Frames available (best setting 1152x864) for frames, 1024x768 for non-frames ...

Image

SF
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#208 Postby doglegleft » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:28 pm

I am sure they will have an update at 9 as well.... however, joe six pack has no idea that this storm is developing off the coast. I guarantee people will be paying attention by late morning...

A slow moving tropical event is going to be a mess. People should be informed that this will be a significant rain maker irrespective of its status as a strong land falling TS or weak hurricane.

8pm primetime coverage of a developing tropical coverage helps the information sink in.... I digress... we now return to your regularly scheduled storm stories ;)
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#209 Postby krisj » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:29 pm

Cool! When was this? Looks like what it did here about 6pm or so. No rainbow though. Saw one yesterday though and it was a double one too!
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00:00 Models for Gaston=55kts,994mbs

#210 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:30 pm

NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM GASTON (AL072004) ON 20040829 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040829 0000 040829 1200 040830 0000 040830 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.5N 79.1W 32.3N 79.9W 33.6N 80.6W 35.4N 80.6W
BAMM 31.5N 79.1W 32.3N 79.8W 33.6N 80.1W 35.3N 79.7W
A98E 31.5N 79.1W 32.1N 79.4W 32.9N 79.5W 35.7N 78.5W
LBAR 31.5N 79.1W 32.4N 79.7W 33.6N 79.9W 35.4N 79.6W
SHIP 55KTS 67KTS 77KTS 84KTS
DSHP 55KTS 67KTS 54KTS 35KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040831 0000 040901 0000 040902 0000 040903 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 37.7N 78.9W 42.4N 68.4W 47.8N 45.1W 50.0N 16.7W
BAMM 37.1N 78.3W 39.7N 72.4W 41.9N 61.1W 44.8N 44.3W
A98E 38.0N 76.3W 42.2N 67.4W 45.7N 47.8W 44.3N 25.6W
LBAR 37.4N 78.4W 44.1N 70.3W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 89KTS 88KTS 73KTS 58KTS
DSHP 29KTS 29KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 31.5N LONCUR = 79.1W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR = 3KT
LATM12 = 31.3N LONM12 = 78.5W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 3KT
LATM24 = 31.4N LONM24 = 78.0W
WNDCUR = 55KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 35KT
CENPRS = 994MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE
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#211 Postby Aquawind » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:30 pm

I Agree MGC..Gaston is looking well organized..
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bree4bryce
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#212 Postby bree4bryce » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:36 pm

local channels have started updates every 30 min and if something significant happens in between. So skip TWC and watch the olympics, get your 30 min local fix and stay glued to this S2K forum.
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#213 Postby simplykristi » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:38 pm

I would say prepare for worse. It's much better to be safe than sorry.

Kristi
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#214 Postby abajan » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:39 pm

I once saw a quadruple rainbow.
No kiddin'!

The main bow was unusually bright.
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Guest

#215 Postby Guest » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:40 pm

oh my god! that has gaston just southeast of my house (i live at just about 39 north and 78.5 west) as an 89kt hurricane! however I wouldnt put too much faith in that number (it would be over land before that). I do think I may get ts force winds here though, as the models have been trending more and more nw with his course (in other words closer and closer to dc!)
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Derek Ortt

#216 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:40 pm

The sat images I'm using do not have any color enhancement (I am using images from GARP, not internet images). My basis was that the eye has become even clearer this evening
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Guest

#217 Postby Guest » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:41 pm

yeah, if anything it looks stronger.
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Matthew5

#218 Postby Matthew5 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:41 pm

That eye is almost as good as Isabels! There is no reason for less then a 6/6!
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#219 Postby doglegleft » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:42 pm

I am with you bree4bryce...

I just felt like piling on TWC...

Currently enjoying an adult libation and an energetic Panthers / PATS game.

gaston starting to come into view...

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLoca ... odnav=none
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#220 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:48 pm

krisj wrote:Cool! When was this? Looks like what it did here about 6pm or so. No rainbow though. Saw one yesterday though and it was a double one too!


About 7:30 pm ... I am 25 miles from the coast and the sun filtered in between some building CU and the high clouds, a lucky chance materialized ... I've seen 7 different evenings with rainbows after NOT seeing this many in the evening sky here in 4-5 years...

SF
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