Charley Advisories

[Trader Ron]

Aquawind...


Hunker down. Marco Island power is out.

[Brent]

Hurricane Charley Intermediate Advisory Number 17a

Statement as of 1:00 PM EDT on August 13, 2004

...Charley strengthens as it heads toward Florida West Coast...

a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Florida Keys from the
Dry Tortugas to the Seven Mile Bridge...and for the Florida West
Coast from East Cape Sable northward to the Steinhatchee river. A
Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
within the warning area during the next 24 hours. Preparations
should be rushed to completion.

The Tropical Storm Warning for the Florida and Georgia coasts were
recently extended southward to Jupiter Inlet Florida and are now in
effect from the South Santee River South Carolina to Jupiter Inlet.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the Florida Keys
from the Seven Mile Bridge to Ocean Reef...and along the South
Florida Mainland from Ocean Reef to East Cape Sable...including
Florida Bay and Lake Okeechobee.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect from Flagler Beach Florida
northward to the Savannah River near the Georgia/South Carolina
border.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the southeastern U.S.
Coast from Ocean Reef northward to south of Cocoa Beach and from
the South Santee River northward to Oregon Inlet North Carolina
including Pamlico Sound.

At 1 PM EDT...1700z...the center of Hurricane Charley was located
near latitude 25.7 north...longitude 82.5 west or about 70 miles
south-southwest of Fort Myers Florida.

Charley is now moving toward the north-northeast near 20 mph and
this motion is expected to continue today with an increase in
forward speed. On this track...the center of the hurricane should
reach the coast in the vicinity of Charlotte Harbor later this
afternoon.

Recent reports from a reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the
maximum sustained winds have increased to near 125 mph...with
higher gusts...category three on the Saffir/Simpson hurricane
scale. These strongest winds are confined to a small area within a
few miles from charleys center.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles... 45 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 105 miles...165 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb...28.46 inches.

Storm surge flooding in the Florida Keys will be subsiding later
today. Storm surge flooding of 10 to 13 feet is expected near and
south of the where the center crosses the Florida West Coast.
Storm surge flooding of 4 to 7 feet along and near the Georgia
coast in the next 24 hours with lesser flooding to the north and
south.

Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are likely along charleys path
across the eastern United States. These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods.

Isolated tornadoes are possible across parts of southern and central
Florida including the Florida Keys today.

Repeating the 1 PM EDT position...25.7 N... 82.5 W. Movement
toward...north-northeast near 20 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...125 mph. Minimum central pressure... 964 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 3 PM EDT followed by the next
complete advisory at 5 PM EDT.

[rainydaze]

Did anyone else hear Lyons say Charley will be making landfall in Ft. Myers in 3-5 hours...or did I misunderstand?

[Trader Ron]

WINDS 125 MPH WOW

[Pebbles]

*sighs* STOP GROWING CHARLEY!!!! You've proven your point!

[Air Force Met]

That's what it looks like to me. Wasn't counting on the job to the NE this soon. THink it is feeling the effects of the land and jogging towards it.

[ncbird]

Nope you didn't misunderstand.... I herd the same thing

[Tri-State_1925]

Well it's about time the hurricane hunters admitted the truth. This thing has been category 3 for several hours, but they were denying it "major hurricane" status for whatever reason...not surprised, they've done it before.

[rainydaze]

Wasn't counting on the jog to the NE this soon.

Apparently neither was the NHC..hope this turns out alright.

I guess that what the strike cones are for.

[david1]

Hey Mark,
I'm standing by in Wildwood.
Looks like a landfall to the south.
Good Luck
David C.

[Lowpressure]

It looks like cat 4 is a slim possibility at this point. Watch the pressure closely from recon.

[rockyman]

n/m

[rockyman]

Reported by Ed Rappaport live on CNN

[WeatherEmperor]

That is correct. I just hear Bryan Norcross say it too

[GaryOBX]

098
WTNT61 KNHC 131716
TCUAT
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
115 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

AT 115 PM EDT...1715Z...A U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT MEASURED 10000 FT FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 162 MPH AT A
DISTANCE OF 8 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE. THIS GIVES
AN ESTIMATED SURFACE WIND OF 145 MPH...CATEGORY FOUR ON THE SAFFIR
SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY.

LAWRENCE

[rtd2]

THATS 140 ...CAT 4 (I EAT CROW)...... GEEZ


ANY LATEST WIND FIELD MAPS IS STRONG WINDS FURTHER OUT THAN 30 MILES AS EARLIER

[Guest]

YIKES AND HEADING STRAIGHT FOR US.

[CocoaBill]

TWC just confirmed it !!!!

[spaceisland]

Flight level winds over 160 mph. Special statement coming out soon.

[Tri-State_1925]

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=s ... 632432.jpg

Castro: if your coordinates are found to be incorrect, you will be executed