Ivan Advisories

Matthew5 · #4841 Postby **Matthew5** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:18 pm

I can't wait to see the next recon. Because it is looking stronger then ever with that clear eye.

Agua · #4842 Postby **Agua** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:18 pm

cpa1225 wrote:
air360 wrote:Rainband...i did not mean that in any way shape or form like that...i am FULLY AWARE of what they are going through...my comment was in no way related to what was going on there now...it was in relation to the type of music/songs that are being aired...
this board is sooo jumpy lately...my post was not related at all to the storm...i was obvously referring to the music...saying how the music there is wonderful

tell me about it, do any of you go to college or have any competence that transcends boring and stale sophistication

Difficult to catch your drift; conjunctive or disjunctive?

c5Camille · #4843 Postby **c5Camille** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:19 pm

Harlaldo will be there...
(that's supposed to be funny)

MBryant · #4844 Postby **MBryant** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:19 pm

I'm sure there were many storms that were recorded as Cat 2,3 or 4 at landfall that were stronger while out to sea. Much of the statistical increase is due to significantly better observation which picks up every little increase and decrease. (at least some of them)

Only Camille and Andrew actually hit at their peak.

ps. Allen had maximum surface winds of 190MPH at a time when they estimated surface winds were 70% of flight level winds rather than 90% they use today. The reduction of Allen's strength and southern movement averted a catastrophy that would dwarf Andrew.

dennis1x1 · #4845 Postby **dennis1x1** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:20 pm

but this storm has already reached tremendous winds and pressures...so the size thing is thrown out the window imho...

whether it goes from 6th strongest to 3rd strongest or whatever...i see as pure chance.....not because of size.

petunia · #4846 Postby **petunia** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:20 pm

Fox News said that they would start coverage on Sunday.

CalmBeforeStorm · #4847 Postby **CalmBeforeStorm** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:23 pm

dennis1x1 wrote:but this storm has already reached tremendous winds and pressures...so the size thing is thrown out the window imho...

whether it goes from 6th strongest to 3rd strongest or whatever...i see as pure chance.....not because of size.

You might be right and you don't get many chances to test a theory such as this. I'm still betting it's close to topping out.

#4848 Postby **TampaFl** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:23 pm

Look at the trof diving into the southeast & the ridge off the east Florida coast. Could pull Ivan into the Gulf then maybe turn it northeast?

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat ... oop-12.htm

Thoughts and comments welcomed.

Robert 8-)

bahamaswx · #4849 Postby **bahamaswx** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:23 pm

Woohoo this radio is great.

#4850 Postby **USAwx1** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:23 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_102s.gif

Central/eastern panhandle

#4851 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:23 pm

It's very difficult to identify how strong storms were the further back in time you go. If it didn't pass over land or a ship, or if we weren't using satellites yet, there's no way to really know exactly how strong storms got out of the open ocean.

Another note, global climate change isn't a myth. The part up for debate is what effect, if any, humans have on this system. The climate has slowly been warming overall, but this is on scales longer than any of us have been alive. I personally think we have something to do with the recent upswing, but we won't find out for another 50-100 years or so if our projections were correct.

Bane · #4852 Postby **Bane** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:27 pm

If it hits New Orleans, then I will retract my comment.

#4853 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:28 pm

The upper-level low in the west-central Atlantic is too strong (model-analyzed winds as high as 60 kt around it) at the moment to develop into a tropical system. As it weakens, which is currently forecast, it may become more conducive to a lower shear environment. The best place to look for development would be in the area of convection to the ESE of the upper low. That convection has been there for days, and as soon as the shear lets up it has the possibility of developing very slowly.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUWV.JPG

#4854 Postby **TazzyD** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:28 pm

Personally, I love the music.

deguy50 · #4855 Postby **deguy50** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:28 pm

thanx as always for your time and effort

chakalakasp · #4856 Postby **chakalakasp** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:29 pm

All I know is I absoloutly can't WAIT to see Anderson Cooper in a rainslicker trying to report in 150 mph winds. Watching him flying high in the sky, tethered to the earth by his microphone cord, shouting "Winds are really starting to pick up here!" will be the highlight of the year.

ohiostorm · #4857 Postby **ohiostorm** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:29 pm

Whats the top 10 most powerful storms? We have the top 6, whats the rest?

#4858 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:30 pm

EXCELLENT, SUPERB, WONDERFUL, and MAGNIFICENT post!!!!!

marc21688 · #4859 Postby **marc21688** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:32 pm

Well saying Cuba is in the clear is pretty bold, something like that shouldn't be put into the board until confirmed even if it happens to be a opinion, thats insanity.

anjou · #4860 Postby **anjou** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:33 pm

Camille might've been a man in drag.. very butch at the least.

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