Ivan Advisories

[Lebowsky]

Well that image tells me to go ahead with my evacuation plan. May turn out to be for nothing, but in that pic it looks like a big ass deadly storm.

Via con dios, Cuba.

[dhweather]

Those are fantastic images!

[Air Force Met]

Bottom line is we can't start a new thread everytime there is a wobble.

[spaceisland]

On the ramsdis high res visible floater, from 2145Z to 2245Z, it appears to be stationary.

[donsutherland1]

Great discussion, USAwx1.

[Dean4Storms]

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MWCR.html

[rsm]

I mean if this is for real this will cause damage of BIBLICAL proportions along the coast and downtown commercial/business districts while barely even experiencing tropical storm force winds.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/w ... 2004091112

Why is no one in the media here even mentioning this as a possibility?

[CaluWxBill]

Ivan is not a girlie man!

However, Frances was a manly girl.

[Rainband]

It's slowing down, wobbling west, and entering an area where steering currents are rather weak. Hopefully, the trough from the Midwest will come down far enough to influence this system in some way.

No that trof was the thing that was supposed to pull it north this thing can wobble as long as it wants. I don't know about anyoneone else but I don't want to go through the situation we went through last time. It was far from terrible but very miserable. I am over canes Anybody who wants one is beyond my realm of thinking.

[ohiostorm]

Do you have a link for that?

[hurricanedude]

would this make the computer models really go hay-wired or what...if this thing stalls...it could ultimately go anywhere...GRRRRRR....so no need to even worry about each model run......as its just as possible that Ivan could terrorize W coast of FL as much as its posssible to the Panhandle or even AL/MS.......study trends....not wobbles....not computer models...use your own eyes and look at the trend...best advise i can offer

[Rainband]

Bottom line is we can't start a new thread everytime there is a wobble.

I agree only when it's heading away from florida

[spaceisland]

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/RSOMAIN.HTML

go to GOES East, visible floater, loop

[dennis1x1]

the computer models arent just based on the current movement of the storm......yes..they are input as initial conditions but the global movement of high and low pressure systems are what is driving the models.

[das8929]

Lol its like mini tsunamis that keep coming in!

[SwampDawg]

I'm not even going to reply to this...

[canegrl04]

I wouldn't be surprised if by Monday,all points east of Texas were put under watches and warnings

[gatorbabe79]

Thanks! I just printed it on Kodak paper and it is an awesome pic!

[tronbunny]

Not that the numbers are perfect.
This is being very seriously discussed on the thread
"Cyclonic Loop"
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=44106
can we take it there?

[PurdueWx80]

Models are guidance...nothing more, nothing less. There is no way a human can solve every equation that satisfies the laws of physics and thermodynamics, nor can we process all the data ourselves. Without models we would be clueless beyond a day or two.