Ivan Advisories

[FritzPaul]

Quote:
They may soon have a line coming OUT!!

I'll give das SoFla if he'll spot me 1000 miles.

[Guest]

Nope didn't work, I counted around 30 threads that have been posted on this topic.

[Lockhart]

I find it strange when people stick to the exact same predictions in the face of continually different circumstances.

[Ixolib]

Of course we would evacuate if given the warning.

Was listening on WWL radio the other day and the guest said there are many people in N.O. without transportation and with less resources than others. They are the ones who would end up being the prime concern for a mass evac. order.

[lilbump3000]

This is from a local new orleans met he posted on the local message board

I just got word through a source that the FSU Super Ensemble Model is brining Ivan into Biloxi Thursday morning. I am still trying to confirm this, but it would be along the same lines as what the Euro and NOGAPS is pointing to. I'll try to get additional confirmation on this, but obviously with some of these trends we are seeing, we have reason to be a bit nervous. I am still encouraged, however, that a lot of the other guidance is still east of us. The problem is, a lot of this guidance has been too far to the right so far. Let's see if NHC makes any adjustment to their next track. I doubt it will be anything too drastic though.

John Gumm
Meteorologist
WWL-TV
1024 North Rampart Street
New Orleans, LA 70116

[smashmode]

The estimates by local officials if New Orleans were to get hit by a category 5 hurricane are between 45,000 and 50,000 dead.

But thats only if they do not evacuate. I am sure NOLA will evacuate if faced with a killer storm.

[PurdueWx80]

"I just got word through a source"....wow, that's informative. LOL

[StormWatcher2]

Weather graphics from South Sound in Grand Cayman are at this link. The site stopped reporting earlier in the day but, the web page contains a complete record up to the point that the updates were discontinued. http://www.weatherincayman.com/currcndx.htm

[lilbump3000]

Look yall not going to be greatful for good information like this well im just not going to post it here. J/K

But he said he have to confirm this so i will see what he says later on.

[Sean in New Orleans]

"I just got word through a source"....wow, that's informative. LOL

John has a friend who works on the model and he tells him what the model says as the model isn't published. I appreciate John sharing these things with us on the WWL forum...

[goodlife]

We thought we were facing a killer storm back with Georges..and you'd be surprised how many people chose NOT to evacuate and they were under a mandatory evacuation order.
They even opened the superdome as a shelter..and that's unheard of

[Mello1]

IMO anyone along the gulf coast has a right to discuss possible landfall in their area and the outcome if it does happen. No one is jumping to conclusions.

did i say noone has a right to discuss it? of course not, but throwing out all this doom and gloom would probably worry a lot of folks in the new orleans area unnecessarily. if its not jumping to conclusions talking about new orleans then what is it? this would imply a serious threat to that area which just doesnt seem possible in my view. just my 2 cents.

Well, this is just my 2 cents: Just like the folk in Fla and Ga and Ala are worried. The point here is that nobody knows anything right now. All along the GOM and West Fla should stay vigilant. All discussions at this point are valid.

[Lockhart]

Thanks for the tip, John.

[PurdueWx80]

Look yall not going to be greatful for good information like this well im just not going to post it here. J/K

But he said he have to confirm this so i will see what he says later on.

I'm not criticizing you Lili...it's just funny that he even put that phrase in there. It tells us nothing other than the obvious. Thanks for the info, I've been waiting on word from the FSU superensemble all day. I figured it had to have shifted west since so many globals shifted that way.

[FritzPaul]

If they open the dome again, maybe the officials will realize that nobody brought sofas with them when they entered.

Note: In case you aren't familiar, after the all-clear was given after Georges, people came out the dome with sofas and various other types of furniture from within the dome.

[TyphoonTim]

My house got a little damage from Frances, which was not quite a hurricane when it came ashore on the panhandle. I can't imagine a CAT 3 or 4 storm coming in, especially if they keep the track west of Atlanta.

[Cuzam]

Muy bien me interesa lo que digan a las 5.

Yes I would be interested to know what will they say at 5 PM.

OK!

Just a quick note: Gilbert hit the Island of Cozumel on September 13th., 1988 and left the Yucatan Penninsula on the 15th. (Que casualidad!!!) Local Authorities (long before their 5:00 pm "official" statement) have just said: "not to panic, not to believe any other source except the local government and its official statements and that we are still in yellow alert, meaning "mild" danger) (¿?¿?¿?¿?¿?!!!!!!)

[bwstg]

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/satellite2/hurr/anilongirjpg.htm

[yoda]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... 00409.html


INTERESTING TRACK.... Why so big?

[rdcrds]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200409.html


INTERESTING TRACK.... Why so big?

about time the track moves west, so i guess tampa area is out of the woods.