Ivan Advisories

[Possum Trot]

I pretty sure it was Cliff Hughes of the Nationwide Program broadcasting all night.

http://go-jamaica.com/power/pp-nationwide.html

[hurricanedude]

a cat 5 would have a beautiful and cemetric shape to it....flawless in other words......Im not saying it isnt but its the ugliest 5 Ive ever seen!!! and if these sharp left hooks continue this thing may go to MX.

[JabNOLA]

This storm will not make a landfall in Cuba. It will be a restless night waiting to see when the turn really starts.

[montrealboy]

http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/model_for ... bal_e.html

[CYCLONE MIKE]

The local NWS discussions for BR/NO don't seem to put too much trust in the track as of now either. They seem to think the trough will pull out by the morning and not have much affect on the high breaking down letting Ivan move on a northerly course. I do understand though that the trough will not pull Ivan north, but weaken the ridge that is supposed to let Ivan move north

[Agua]

Wow. Carrie's presentation was incredibly non-chalant. New Orleans stations did a good job of conveying the potential seriousness of the situation, though.

[cycloneye]

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=44398

I know that you didn't know this but now there is a thread up with a sticky that is only dedicated for the members to post the latest runs from all the models.

[Possum Trot]

I can't get in. Did it go down again? Anybody still listening? Or is the server the full?

[montrealboy]

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=44398

I know that you didn't know this but now there is a thread up with a sticky that is only dedicated for the members to post the latest runs from all the models.

Thanks for the info

[Derek Ortt]

its not like mid lat cyclones where the winds are stronger aloft. In a TC, the winds are the strongest near the surface, with a max near 1500 ft. 90% is used at 700mb, 80% at 850mb, and 75% at 1500ft

[Raininfyr]

Evening all, great to see all you guys from Louisiana. I am from Baton Rouge. The westward track, really the northwest??track seems to be the way Ivan wants to go! Doesn't look like it wants to change it's mind. Have family in Panama City Beach so, am praying for Ivan to go away, totally. Read that some people think that the track will be shifted further west in the morning. I hope Ivan has other ideas! Will be watching ever so closely.

[ZZ3Astro]

Have not checked but I did talk to someone who had already booked one of the rooms at the motel I wanted to get. Right now we are weighing our options to go up to Huntsville or Birmingham and stay with friends. The local authorities are talking about announcing a county wide evacuation order for Bay County tomorrow afternoon. Talk about highway gridlock!

What concerns me about this storm is that it keeps regaining strength where many storms in the past seem to peek out and then decline. The only thing the NHC is saying will weaken the storm as it approached the coast is upwelling, and I feel like that is based on an assumption of a slow speed. What if it picks up speed and maintains a 4 status to landfall 50 miles west of PC?

Decisions decisions!

[cccmachine]

The only thing I can find of a Tropical Cyclone Center is from HK China.
But who better to understand these monster storms than the ones who have them all the time.

[SacrydDreamz]

William Gray doesn't do hurricane forecasts... this article is crap.

[STORMSURGE]

From the beginning, most thought that Ivan would be ripped up by the mountains of Dominican, it stayed left... Then it was heading straight for Jamaica, it took a left... Ah Grand Cayman, nope stayed left... And now it seems that it wont even hit Cuba either, rather he will stay in the waters between C and Yucatan, head straight up into the waiting GOM. From There...???? ask IVAN who is he saving his big blow FOR?

[Ivanova]

And it is the first post for him.
OMG

"Tropical Cyclone Center"

Looks to me like it was the ONLY post for him

WHO was that masked man


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[Brent]

William Gray doesn't do hurricane forecasts... this article is crap.

Yeah... he doesn't do indivdual forecasts, he just does the predictions at the beginning of the year.

[Scott_inVA]

Why is everyone except the NHC shifting leftward, lol, seems weird to me.

CYA...

if it moved left anymore... Tampa falls out of the cone...

Er, folks,

TPC has moved left all day.

Scott

[Ivanova]

I wonder if his email address ends in the same two letters as mine

[Ivanova]

Too bad that masked man didn't tell us
exactly where Ivan was going to make
landfall... but....

6AM WED - 28.1N; 89.7W - 170 KTS - APPROACHING SE LOUISIANA

was his last entry


I see that topic was locked... pity



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