ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

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BobHarlem
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ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#1 Postby BobHarlem » Mon Jul 14, 2025 4:12 pm

18z Icon, better init, slightly weaker at landfall than the 12z.
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jaguars_22
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#2 Postby jaguars_22 » Mon Jul 14, 2025 4:20 pm

I believe Texas wont have to worry about this one... It looks like the models (ICON) have locked in on a Louisiana landfall... I'm not a meteorologist but what is keeping this away from Texas? An upper low pressure?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#3 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Jul 14, 2025 4:37 pm

jaguars_22 wrote:I believe Texas wont have to worry about this one... It looks like the models (ICON) have locked in on a Louisiana landfall... I'm not a meteorologist but what is keeping this away from Texas? An upper low pressure?


Probably lack of ridging to its N.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#4 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 14, 2025 5:37 pm

BobHarlem, to let you know that moved your post of the ICON run from the main 93L discussion thread to make the models one.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#5 Postby Stratton23 » Mon Jul 14, 2025 5:49 pm

lousiana landfall is not set in stone yet, gotta see what the hurricane models show, any sort of center reformation further south would push the system further west into the gulf, i still think from galveston bay- new orleans is in play, if its able to take advantage of the environment in the gulf and really strengthen , a stronger storm in this situation would tend to go further west, we will see what the hurricane models show probably tommorow
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#6 Postby BobHarlem » Mon Jul 14, 2025 5:54 pm

18z Ukmet
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#7 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Jul 14, 2025 6:43 pm

Icon gonna score another coup if I were to bet
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#8 Postby BobHarlem » Mon Jul 14, 2025 6:48 pm

18z Euro from today has gone stronger than 12z, and avoids the land more.

 https://x.com/SCweather_wx/status/1944900784140763246

Last edited by BobHarlem on Mon Jul 14, 2025 6:57 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#9 Postby Steve » Mon Jul 14, 2025 6:49 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Icon gonna score another coup if I were to bet


Maybe. I don’t know what’s going to happen but it’s got more than its fair share of wins the last few years. I wouldn’t bet against it in the Gulf.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#10 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 14, 2025 7:00 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#11 Postby BobHarlem » Mon Jul 14, 2025 7:38 pm

18z HAFS and HWRF/HMON are all out but none are coherent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#12 Postby BobHarlem » Mon Jul 14, 2025 8:09 pm

0z earlies
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#13 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 14, 2025 8:12 pm

The spaggetti.

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