ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

[AnnularCane]

No development this time, to close to land, however 93L may get a 2nd shot at developing down the road in the gulf again, storybook isnt closed on this one yet even if it loses the “ invest “ name

If you fall off the horse, get right back on.

[HurricaneBelle]

this system is putting the "L" in 93L, a lot of rain for a lot of people and not much more

[BobHarlem]

Big convective blowup just east of Louisiana, but not where it needs to develop.

[MGC]

Heavy rain and lots of lightning here in Pass Christian currently......MGC

[Stormcenter]

Whatever is south of Biloxi looks suspicious.

[Stratton23]

Stormcenter i believe thats an upper level low, non tropical

[Frank P]

Whatever is south of Biloxi looks suspicious.

I got 3/4 in of rain and wind gusts up to 22 mph out of the south about 45 minutes ago, it’s definitely tropical downpours. Winds have died down now and are only 4 mph out of the SSW.

[Javlin]

Stormcenter i believe thats an upper level low, non tropical

I think that is the ole MLC now back 100 miles S of Pensacola you see a small tower what I think was the old LLC(?) not that any of us expect much from this point out is just rain...just an obs.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

[LarryWx]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Surface and radar observations indicate that a westward-moving broad
area of low pressure continues to be located near the coast of the
western part of the Florida Panhandle. The associated shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized and located south to
southwest of the center. This system is forecast to continue moving
westward across the northern portion of the Gulf tonight, and is
expected to reach the Louisiana coast by Thursday. If this system
moves far enough offshore, environmental conditions over the Gulf
appear generally favorable for additional development, and a
tropical depression could form over the next day or so before the
system moves fully inland by the end of the week.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida tonight and continuing for
portions of the north-central Gulf Coast through Friday. For
additional information, please refer to products issued by the
Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather Service
office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Papin

[BobHarlem]

Close to last visibles of the day:

[Sciencerocks]

Probably has a closed LLC and in fact it has had a closed LLC for the past 48 hours or since it was off Florida. One could probably say it is a depression. Probably no more then 25 knts but I've seen 20 knt depression in the 1990's.

[sasha_B]

Probably has a closed LLC and in fact it has had a closed LLC for the past 48 hours or since it was off Florida. One could probably say it is a depression. Probably no more then 25 knts but I've seen 20 knt depression in the 1990's.

Sustained winds are up to 30 kts and has continued deepening (albeit slowly) according to the 0z best track update. I think that forecaster Papin's remarks in the latest outlook from the NHC - and the fact that they've not lowered TC formation chances at all - suggest that this is a possibility they're considering. If it consolidates it will have little time to strengthen, but not zero.

[cycloneye]

 https://x.com/ZackFradellaWx/status/1945638198220034492