ATL: ERIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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Category5Kaiju
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ATL: ERIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Either this goes fully OTS and doesn't harm anybody, or in future years we're going to have to contend with "you can't say this storm will go OTS, don't you remember Erin?!"
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Unless explicitly stated, all info in my posts is based on my own opinions and observations. Tropical storms and hurricanes can be extremely dangerous. Do not think you can beat Mother Nature. Refer to an accredited weather research agency or meteorologist if you need to make serious decisions regarding an approaching storm.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: ERIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Tuesday will be a important day to see how far down in latitude, the circulation goes.
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Re: ATL: ERIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
cycloneye wrote:Tuesday will be a important day to see how far down in latitude, the circulation goes.
The good news in the short-term for the US is that Erin climbed slightly from 17.4N to 17.6N (275 degree heading) since the previous advisory vs a prog to stay at 17.4N (270 degree heading). Could be a good sign regarding keeping the latitude instead of losing much. We’ll see!
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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emeraldislenc
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Re: ATL: ERIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
That is such a small deviation but I guess ever nudge north can make a difference. I agree with the previous post that Tuesday and even Wed will be important days to watch the models. I am heading to Fort Lauderdale on Tuesday to take care of some personal business. I will be watching the models very closely.
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Re: ATL: ERIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion
emeraldislenc wrote:That is such a small deviation but I guess ever nudge north can make a difference. I agree with the previous post that Tuesday and even Wed will be important days to watch the models. I am heading to Fort Lauderdale on Tuesday to take care of some personal business. I will be watching the models very closely.
It can’t hurt. But the NHC is still progging the low point of 17.1N on Wednesday morning. That will be one key benchmark to compare the actual track to.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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