NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

[eastcoastFL]

That pink donut is inching closer to Jamaica now.

[CrazyC83]

I'd actually say that dropsonde is legit.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Looking at the last few frames, I do genuinely believe the N-NNE turn has begun towards Jamaica. No doubt this is looking the best it has its entire life.

[Hurricane2022]

I will pray hard for the Jamaicans tomorrow at church ...May God help them.
 https://x.com/HurricaneJasonX/status/1982988843390320934

[eastcoastFL]

Looking at the last few frames, I do genuinely believe the N-NNE turn has begun towards Jamaica. No doubt this is looking the best it has its entire life.

https://i.imgur.com/tjnX91x.png

This about when some of the hurricane models had Melissa making another intensity run before peaking.

[Tireman4]

I know this is an understatement, but this is bad. This is really bad. Sigh

[Hurricane2022]

I will pray a rosary for the Jamaicans tomorrow...May God help them.
 https://x.com/HurricaneJasonX/status/1982988843390320934

Melissa's excessively slow movement scares me considerably, not to mention that I am thousands of kilometers away from this thing. It's like a monster slowly walking towards our bedroom at midnight, like a scene from a horror movie or perhaps even a childhood fear.

[Kazmit]

Am I gonna have to set an alarm for 3am? I really wanna see this thing's peak but I have work in the morning.

[Hurricane2022]

Am I gonna have to set an alarm for 3am? I really wanna see this thing's peak but I have work in the morning.

Fortunately tomorrow is a national holiday in my country, so I can stay up a little longer but not as much as yesterday.

[Hurricane2022]

 https://x.com/NickKrasz_Wx/status/1982991032720728258

[CrazyC83]

Looking at the satellite - very close to a T8.0. Has there EVER been an Atlantic hurricane that had a legitimate Dvorak reading of 8.0?

[sasha_B]

As of 0140z 2025.10.28, Hurricane Melissa's raw T# has peaked the Dvorak technique's scale, attaining the highest possible value of 8.5.

[USTropics]

Looking at the satellite - very close to a T8.0. Has there EVER been an Atlantic hurricane that had a legitimate Dvorak reading of 8.0?

I mean...look at this satellite presentation (literally at a loss for words right now)...

[Iceresistance]

Looking at the satellite - very close to a T8.0. Has there EVER been an Atlantic hurricane that had a legitimate Dvorak reading of 8.0?

Speaking of Dvorak, the ADT put out this:

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
8.3 8.5 8.5

[michelinj]

Raw T is 8.5. Final 8.3

[Hypercane_Kyle]

My guess is based on that last pass, the HH will find <900mb on this next pass.

[edu2703]

Looking at the satellite - very close to a T8.0. Has there EVER been an Atlantic hurricane that had a legitimate Dvorak reading of 8.0?

I mean...look at this satellite presentation (literally at a loss for words right now)...

https://i.imgur.com/j8tfCbt.gif

Welcome back, Typhoon Haiyan

This is probably one of the best, if not the best satellite presentation of an Atlantic hurricane.

[wx98]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 28 OCT 2025 Time : 014020 UTC
Lat : 16:30:00 N Lon : 78:33:00 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
8.3 / 878.5mb/179.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
8.3 8.5 8.5

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 15 km

Center Temp : +19.7C Cloud Region Temp : -80.6C

Scene Type : EYE

[CrazyC83]

Looking at the satellite - very close to a T8.0. Has there EVER been an Atlantic hurricane that had a legitimate Dvorak reading of 8.0?

I mean...look at this satellite presentation (literally at a loss for words right now)...

https://i.imgur.com/j8tfCbt.gif

Welcome back, Typhoon Haiyan

This is probably one of the best, if not the best satellite presentation of an Atlantic hurricane.

It's probably what the 1932 Cuba hurricane would have looked like on modern satellites as well.

[Nuno]

Absolutely incredible storm. I know we've seen a lot of powerful cyclones in the basin this decade but this is on another level.