NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

[ATDoel]

what's the strongest an Atlantic hurricane has been at landfall? 892mb for the labor day hurricane?

[kevin]

what's the strongest an Atlantic hurricane has been at landfall? 892mb for the labor day hurricane?

Yes, that's the current record.

[Hurricane2022]

893.4 extrap.

[Beef Stew]

Yesterday people said that Melissa is probably what the 1932 Cuba hurricane would look like on satellite.

Now... This is probably what the 1935 Labor Day hurricane would look like on satellite.

https://i.imgur.com/Xnp3Q5D.gif

I still think peak Milton is probably a better analog for Labor Day due to the incredibly rapid intensification to an upper-end C5, but yeah, Melissa is probably quite similar as well. Structurally though, I'm not sure you could get a better looking storm outside of the deep WCar though.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Entire row of sub-900 pressure. Recon did a double take to verify. 100% confirmed.

[Beef Stew]

what's the strongest an Atlantic hurricane has been at landfall? 892mb for the labor day hurricane?

Yeah, that's the record. Although there is a possibility that Labor Day could've been even 10ish mb deeper according to anecdotal accounts, and considering that the 892 reading came from Craig Key and wasn't directly centered in the eye if I remember correctly. Even getting an on-ground reading of 892 is beyond insane.

[Hurricane2022]

Saved for posterity. History is made!

[Teban54]

This is a set of recon obs for the record books, circling in the eye with sub-900 extrap for the full 10 minutes. You wouldn't even be able to do this in a smaller pinhole eye like Wilma and Milton.

[Frank P]

My Lord, these people will be dealing with catastrophic weather conditions that few have experienced. Can’t even imagine if that was heading towards a populated US city. Might have to consider selling my beach house. Beyond gut wrenching for all in her path and those who are having flash backs from their experiences with a major storm. God bless these poor people. The satellite presentation is just as perfect as I’ve ever seen and I’ve been seriously tracking canes for over 50 years.

[InfernoFlameCat]

I wonder if the NHC is going to put out a special advisory

[Beef Stew]

Dropsonde data will be quite interesting to see

[zzzh]

AL, 13, 2025102812, , BEST, 0, 175N, 781W, 155, 896, HU,

[grapealcoholic]

witnessing the most impressive landfalling hurricane of all time

unbelievable

[kronotsky]

Did this plane run out of sondes? Maybe all the time in the eye was meant to generate a better dataset...

[Beef Stew]

Dropsonde Data pending I'd guess the NHC goes 155kts, 895 mb

EDIT: Best track is 155 kts, 896 mb

[StormPyrate]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=psWnPJfuuZU
resident streaming from ground zero

[Teban54]

I wonder if the NHC is going to put out a special advisory

They may wait for FL winds in the NW quad (or whichever one recon goes next).

[Hurricane2022]

 https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1983153842108907672

[GCANE]

OK, so based on recon, it is now a EF4 20+ mile wide tornado.
This will flatten everything in the eyewall.

[Teban54]

So they did a second loop in the eye... Still with ridiculous readings.