NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/Jeff_Piotrowski/status/1983210346249699346

[Blown Away]

Getting close!

[GCANE]

LIVE


https://www.youtube.com/live/N9urlXyih7A

[FLpanhandle91]

Josh's exactly location is here:

https://maps.app.goo.gl/kmxtc3yNiMSBAMro8

https://www.booking.com/hotel/jm/the-hi ... wford.html

[Nimbus]

That persistent westward wobble is really bad for Josh. Getting walloped by the worst eyewall and won’t be able to capture the lowest pressure of the storm. Hopefully he makes it through okay.

Not good for Montego Bay either but there are some 1000 foot hills just to the east that will reduce the wind velocity. Hillside flooding is what it is probably historic and people should have moved away from known locations where runoff typically floods.

Power station on SW side of city at 35 ft but these winds are going to take down the lines at the least.

[Nimbus]

Josh's exactly location is here:

https://maps.app.goo.gl/kmxtc3yNiMSBAMro8

https://www.booking.com/hotel/jm/the-hi ... wford.html

I think he may be parked closer to 18.0438

[Blown Away]

Josh's exactly location is here:

https://maps.app.goo.gl/kmxtc3yNiMSBAMro8

https://www.booking.com/hotel/jm/the-hi ... wford.html

He probably caught the very edge on the east side of the eye.

[MarioProtVI]

To be fair, I wasn’t really expecting Melissa to eclipse Milton from last year. Man I was wrong. But Milton’s EI episode, tracking that and the first sub-900 peak in 20 years was still something. But Melissa reaching the exact intensity of Labor Day ‘35, then proceeding to be Jamaica’s incarnation of it…I have no words.

[ATDoel]

That persistent westward wobble is really bad for Josh. Getting walloped by the worst eyewall and won’t be able to capture the lowest pressure of the storm. Hopefully he makes it through okay.

Not good for Montego Bay either but there are some 1000 foot hills just to the east that will reduce the wind velocity. Hillside flooding is what it is probably historic and people should have moved away from known locations where runoff typically floods.

Power station on SW side of city at 35 ft but these winds are going to take down the lines at the least.

the hills will help at first but as it moves away from Jamaica they may get the western eyewall and that's all offshore wind, plus surge is going to pile up in the bay.

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/BluekandyWX/status/1983193369393430583

[mrbagyo]

maybe its only me but looks to be veering a bit NNE

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Highlight of Josh's career I expect - the most intense landfall in the Atlantic basin.

[Blown Away]

Belmont or Bluefields...

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

https://i.postimg.cc/jjWFBqWp/27753202-1.gif

Wow that north wobble was big!

[Beef Stew]

Looks like we have landfall between Luana Point and Whitehouse. I'd expect the NHC to call it soon.

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/JamaicaObserver/status/1983211611851575331

[mrbagyo]

yeah, really looks its having some east component, Josh might still get inside it

[michelinj]

Yeah next position update in about 5 mins I imagine they'll call landfall

[WaveBreaking]

Almost there. I can see some brown in the eye. Maybe it’s from discolored seawater since it doesn’t match up w Jamaica’s coastline.

[kevin]

Historic landfall message, last time such an intense landfall happened in the Atlantic there weren't even computers to write such a message on.

Hurricane Melissa Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025
100 PM EDT Tue Oct 28 2025

...CATEGORY 5 MELISSA MAKES LANDFALL IN JAMAICA...
...ONE OF THE MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE LANDFALLS ON RECORD IN THE
ATLANTIC BASIN...

Melissa has made landfall in southwestern Jamaica near New Hope with
estimated maximum sustained winds of 185 mph (295 km/h) and an
estimated minimum central pressure of 892 mb (26.34 inches).

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION! Do
not leave your shelter as the eye passes over, as winds will
quickly, and rapidly increase on the other side of the eye.
Residents should remain in place through the passage of these
life-threatening conditions. To protect yourself from wind, the
best thing you can do is put as many walls as possible between you
and the outside. An interior room without windows, ideally one where
you can also avoid falling trees, is the safest place you can be in
a building. You can cover yourself with a mattress and wear a
helmet for added protection.

The next position update will be provided with the intermediate
advisory at 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC).

SUMMARY OF 100 PM EDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 78.0W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF NEGRIL JAMAICA
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH...295 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...892 MB...26.34 INCHES