ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

Current storms and invests:

Moderators: hurricanetrack, S2k Moderators


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4241
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#481 Postby abajan » Sat Aug 16, 2025 2:40 am

Best Track:
AL, 05, 2025081606, , BEST, 0, 196N, 604W, 90, 970, HU

Ninety knots roughly equates to 105 mph, But with a pressure of 970 mb I wouldn't be surprised if the next advisory has the winds at 110 mph. The likelihood of Cat3 intensity later today was mentioned in an earlier comment or two, but I think Cat4 by sometime this afternoon is a real possibility.
0 likes   

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8844
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#482 Postby aspen » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:00 am

Holy cow I did not expect it to become a major this fast. Should be flirting with Cat 5 status later today assuming no major disruptions occur.
1 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 16064
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#483 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:08 am

Put on a show the last 24 hours. Very impressive.
1 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7194
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#484 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:27 am

Kingarabian wrote:Put on a show the last 24 hours. Very impressive.

The intensification modeling has been good the last 36 hours, the cant be discounted ICON continues to be left and this morning the center is well off to the south of the track, it all matters downstream especially at with these intensities, saw a 915 core off new foundland modeled, would be difficult that far north to get that deep.
0 likes   


Return to “Active Storms/Invests - Atlantic/EastPAC/CentralPAC/MED”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot] and 82 guests