ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

Current storms and invests:

Moderators: hurricanetrack, S2k Moderators


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
canebeard
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 103
Joined: Sun Jul 05, 2009 4:06 pm
Contact:
Contact canebeard

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#781 Postby canebeard » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:31 pm

How small did Erin's eye get?? Looked on vis satellite almost as small as Wilma when she was 2 miles.Image
Last edited by canebeard on Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
3 likes   
List of 79 tropical cyclones intercepted by Richard Horodner:
http://www.canebeard.com/page/page/572246.htm
former storm2k screenname Beoumont 2009+
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11611
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#782 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:35 pm

Watching radar closely.
Inner eyewall maybe opening up.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricane2022
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1634
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2022 11:38 pm
Location: Araçatuba, Brazil

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#783 Postby Hurricane2022 » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:36 pm

Eyewall may be opening up on Radar
1 likes   
Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.

--------

Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11611
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#784 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:37 pm

San Juan is going to get whacked by that feeder band in a couple hours
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricane2022
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1634
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2022 11:38 pm
Location: Araçatuba, Brazil

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#785 Postby Hurricane2022 » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:38 pm

 https://x.com/WxNB_/status/1956827623062962483


 https://x.com/53rdWRS/status/1956826995263766946

6 likes   
Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.

--------

Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
Top
Fancy1002
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 172
Joined: Sun Dec 25, 2022 3:47 pm

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#786 Postby Fancy1002 » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:39 pm

Wish We could’ve gotten an official size of that eye right now
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11611
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#787 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:48 pm

Looks like the eye is closing back up.
Must have been a bad taco.
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6127
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#788 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:51 pm

GCANE wrote:Looks like the eye is closing back up.
Must have been a bad taco.

Lol. Yeah at that distance and height attenuation is probably occurring. Still looks intact to me, but that outer eyewall is showing up now. Looks to be about 25nm across.
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11611
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#789 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:53 pm

This is a borderline EF4 tornado. 100 miles wide.
4 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11611
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#790 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:56 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
GCANE wrote:Looks like the eye is closing back up.
Must have been a bad taco.

Lol. Yeah at that distance and height attenuation is probably occurring. Still looks intact to me, but that outer eyewall is showing up now. Looks to be about 25nm across.


CDO is contacting too.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11611
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#791 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:58 pm

That feeder band will definitely train on PR.
0 likes   
Top
Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9289
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#792 Postby Sciencerocks » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:58 pm

Image
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
sasha_B
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 123
Age: 24
Joined: Sun Jun 30, 2024 4:32 pm
Location: Charleston, SC

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#793 Postby sasha_B » Sat Aug 16, 2025 5:03 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
GCANE wrote:Looks like the eye is closing back up.
Must have been a bad taco.

Lol. Yeah at that distance and height attenuation is probably occurring. Still looks intact to me, but that outer eyewall is showing up now. Looks to be about 25nm across.


If an EWRC began around 20～21z, as the NHC's discussion suggested, I doubt the inner eyewall would have fully collapsed after only an hour or two. Weakening may have already started if the eyewall is no longer closed; if it's still intact - which is possible - pressure could be around the same as it was at the time of the previous flight's final center fix, or even lower. But we're at an uncertain point in the storm's "life cycle". If the forecast is to be believed, conditions remain favourable enough for some recovery from the current EWRC. Hurricanes have bounced back from worse.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricane2022
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1634
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2022 11:38 pm
Location: Araçatuba, Brazil

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#794 Postby Hurricane2022 » Sat Aug 16, 2025 5:04 pm

 https://x.com/CIMSS_Satellite/status/1956835749866680434

1 likes   
Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.

--------

Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
Top
User avatar
Hurricane2022
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1634
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2022 11:38 pm
Location: Araçatuba, Brazil

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#795 Postby Hurricane2022 » Sat Aug 16, 2025 5:05 pm

 https://x.com/BackpirchCrew/status/1956837825212568037

0 likes   
Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.

--------

Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
Top
TomballEd
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 807
Age: 61
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2023 4:52 pm
Location: Spring/Klein area, not Tomball

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#796 Postby TomballEd » Sat Aug 16, 2025 5:05 pm

I don't see the clear double wind max but I think this is approaching peak. They eye has gotten very small and I think last few frames it might be getting obscured.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11611
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#797 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 16, 2025 5:07 pm

Prayers for all flying on Miss Piggy
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11611
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#798 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 16, 2025 5:13 pm

Eye is definitely warming
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11611
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#799 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 16, 2025 5:17 pm

Looks like they will measure the NE quad right away.
0 likes   
Top
Fancy1002
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 172
Joined: Sun Dec 25, 2022 3:47 pm

Re: ATL: ERIN - Hurricane - Discussion

#800 Postby Fancy1002 » Sat Aug 16, 2025 5:18 pm

I know I keep saying this, but it’s really disappointing that we never know the true size of the eye before collapse
1 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Active Storms/Invests - Atlantic/EastPAC/CentralPAC/MED”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 143 guests