Tropical Depression Alvin=Last Advisory Written

#61 Postby **AnnularCane** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 12:24 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Looking bad again. Bad Alvin, Bad Alvin!!!

Hey come on, he's not doing it on purpose.

#62 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 12:28 pm

AnnularCane wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Looking bad again. Bad Alvin, Bad Alvin!!!

Hey come on, he's not doing it on purpose.

He should fight more to obtain victory!!!

HurricaneHunter914 · #63 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 1:13 pm

Here's the TWO
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041659
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PDT MON JUN 4 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF ALVIN...IS LOCATED
ABOUT 1250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED SOMEWHAT THIS MORNING...BUT
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

Cyclenall · #64 Postby **Cyclenall** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 5:20 pm

I just noticed the GFDL is making runs on "Alvin" once again Here. It takes it to a weak hurricane while making its way to the central Pacific (Alvin making its way, not the GFDL model, lol).

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #65 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 5:23 pm

Looking good. Maybe another powerful central Pacific system?

Cyclenall · #66 Postby **Cyclenall** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 5:36 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Looking good. Maybe another powerful central Pacific system?

I sure hope so after 1 or 2 disappointments from last year. Thankfully we got a winner which was Ioke. It would take a while for Alvin to mosey along the basin to get to a good area to start recovering. The model run doesn't show much in terms of a strengthening Alvin when it continues it's trek to the Cpac.

#67 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 6:10 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PDT MON JUN 4 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF ALVIN...IS CENTERED ABOUT
1250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS DISORGANIZED...AND
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI

HurricaneRobert · #68 Postby **HurricaneRobert** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 2:27 pm

There's been a lot of convection in the last three hours. I hope it continues. I'd rather this thing keep the name Alvin, rather than Kika.

Cyclenall · #69 Postby **Cyclenall** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 3:08 pm

It's looking much better since this morning. More convection.

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 051636
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1000 AM PDT TUE JUN 5 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANTS OF ALVIN...IS LOCATED
ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
A FEW INTERMITTENT THUNDERSTORMS ARE EVIDENT THIS MORNING BUT
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR ANY
DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER MUSHER

If conditions are becoming less favorable, why is the low pressure improving?

FORECASTER MUSHER

What a name! I've never seen this forecaster yet write something.

Chacor · #70 Postby **Chacor** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 9:28 pm

Sigh.

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 052237
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PDT TUE JUN 5 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF ALVIN...IS LOCATED
ABOUT 1375 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

And regarding Musher: check the header of the TWO. It was issued by the HPC not NHC.

#71 Postby **Andrew92** » Wed Jun 06, 2007 12:36 pm

Current TWO:

000
ABNT20 KNHC 061502
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED JUN 6 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Stick a fork in Alvin. He's gone. See ya in 2013.

#72 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Wed Jun 06, 2007 12:38 pm

Wrong TWO, that is the atlantic TWO.

#73 Postby **AnnularCane** » Wed Jun 06, 2007 12:45 pm

The EPAC outlook says pretty much the same thing.

Sorry, Alvin.

#74 Postby **Andrew92** » Wed Jun 06, 2007 12:56 pm

Whoops...

But the EPAC does say the same thing.

-Andrew92

HurricaneRobert · #75 Postby **HurricaneRobert** » Wed Jun 06, 2007 1:11 pm

Poor Alvin.

Time of death. June 6 10:00 AM PDT.

Tropical Depression Alvin=Last Advisory Written

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