Invest 98L,Central Atlantic

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RL3AO
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#101 Postby RL3AO » Sat Sep 01, 2007 1:58 pm

It has a chance in a few days.
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#102 Postby storms in NC » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:00 pm

98L looks better than felix did at this point. Felix fooled around before he got on the ball.
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Re: Invest 98L,Central Atlantic-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#103 Postby Hurricaneman » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:01 pm

I think this will develop, and be a a threat all the way from maine to Key West, because if the possible home brew develops it will go north, but if it doesnt, it goes into Florida
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#104 Postby vacanechaser » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:01 pm

storms in NC wrote:
vacanechaser wrote:ok, all the talk here recently about the homepage being updated, where are the models and images for 98L... just asking



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3day week_end on the Beach LOL



lol good point


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#105 Postby RL3AO » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:02 pm

If it loses convection tonight, hopefully you guys can resist the urge to bump the "Season over?" thread.
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Re: Invest 98L,Central Atlantic-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#106 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:05 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:I think this will develop, and be a a threat all the way from maine to Key West, because if the possible home brew develops it will go north, but if it doesnt, it goes into Florida
Maine to Key West? I think it should be more like Mexico to Newfoundland. If this goes through the Caribbean, then it will likely be a GOM storm in the long run and if it goes into the central bahamas then it will likely be a SE U.S. or east coast threat.
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#107 Postby hurricanetrack » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:08 pm

At least we have some stuff to track now. What do you think the odds of a new storm/invest every 3-5 days for the next 3 weeks is? Afterall, we have to have 5 named storms in Sept. to meet CSU forecast. We already have one. Just 4 to go.
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Re: Invest 98L,Central Atlantic-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#108 Postby bvigal » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:16 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:..., hope you guys enjoy active late seasons...

Weatherfreak,

Image I keep hearing this over and over again, and confess I'm confused, and scratching my head. What do you mean by "late season"? The peak of hurricane season is, what, Sept 10? or Sept 14? We are 2weeks from the peak, and just had 6th named system born yesterday. So, how does the phrase "late season" come into play here? I'm REALLY curious what you mean! Do you think we are instore for 6 more storms (which would be right, since we are ALMOST half-way.) Or, do you think we have 12-15 more coming?
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#109 Postby RL3AO » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:18 pm

We are just getting started with mid-season.
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Re: Invest 98L,Central Atlantic-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#110 Postby vacanechaser » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:19 pm

bvigal wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:..., hope you guys enjoy active late seasons...

Weatherfreak,

Image I keep hearing this over and over again, and confess I'm confused, and scratching my head. What do you mean by "late season"? The peak of hurricane season is, what, Sept 10? or Sept 14? We are 2weeks from the peak, and just had 6th named system born yesterday. So, how does the phrase "late season" come into play here? I'm REALLY curious what you mean! Do you think we are instore for 6 more storms (which would be right, since we are ALMOST half-way.) Or, do you think we have 12-15 more coming?


maybe he means this could spill over into mid and late october.. since it seems now is the time that the cape verde is getting started... just a thought... meaning the season could go longer into october than normal.. just a guess



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#111 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:21 pm

Do we have playoffs too!!!!

We are getting to that point in which everything that pops has a chance to develop. September is the most active month in the year. Just get ready to roll.
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Re: Invest 98L,Central Atlantic-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#112 Postby bvigal » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:22 pm

vacanechaser wrote:
bvigal wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:..., hope you guys enjoy active late seasons...

Weatherfreak,

Image I keep hearing this over and over again, and confess I'm confused, and scratching my head. What do you mean by "late season"? The peak of hurricane season is, what, Sept 10? or Sept 14? We are 2weeks from the peak, and just had 6th named system born yesterday. So, how does the phrase "late season" come into play here? I'm REALLY curious what you mean! Do you think we are instore for 6 more storms (which would be right, since we are ALMOST half-way.) Or, do you think we have 12-15 more coming?


maybe he means this could spill over into mid and late october.. since it seems now is the time that the cape verde is getting started... just a thought... meaning the season could go longer into october than normal.. just a guess



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Ah CAPE VERDE SEASON! I didn't think of that. Yes, that makes sense. It's usually August, no?
Thanks Jesse, I was really, really confused over that!
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Re: Invest 98L,Central Atlantic-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#113 Postby windstorm99 » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:25 pm

Models at this point aren't showing to much of a northward trend to them...Mostly want to bring into guess what the caribbean once again. Its somewhat rare for a system at this latitude to make it in the caribbean.

Image
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Re: Invest 98L,Central Atlantic-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#114 Postby bvigal » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:30 pm

Those models sure don't agree with latest 24,48,72hr surface maps, ridge is GONE west of 45-50W. I hope they are correct, but having a hard time buying it!
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#115 Postby Scorpion » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:34 pm

There is no way that this is taking a similar path to Dean and Felix
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#116 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:35 pm

Image

Convection now developing over LLC. Can't wait for DMAX!!!
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Re: Invest 98L,Central Atlantic-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#117 Postby Hurricaneman » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:37 pm

I think this is more likely if you look at the maps to go between where the clp5 and the consensus of the models
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#118 Postby windstorm99 » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:37 pm

Scorpion wrote:There is no way that this is taking a similar path to Dean and Felix


we have been saying the same thing all year but that high has been stuck in the same place all year long.
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Re: Re:

#119 Postby chadtm80 » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:40 pm

vacanechaser wrote:
storms in NC wrote:
vacanechaser wrote:ok, all the talk here recently about the homepage being updated, where are the models and images for 98L... just asking



Jesse V. Bass III
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3day week_end on the Beach LOL



lol good point


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Hurricane Intercept Research Team


Sorry it is there now
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Re:

#120 Postby punkyg » Sat Sep 01, 2007 2:44 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image

Convection now developing over LLC. Can't wait for DMAX!!!

Yay now i can get ready for this storm that could reach us here in florida in maybe a week maybe two :P
just joking.
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