Haha, I didn't notice this until now. It's almost cute. Between this little devil and the huge ice storm that's about to cause everything to go to hell in my neck of the woods, mother nature's giving me plenty to watch!
I'm rooting for you, 94L; show the calendar who's boss!
OLGA'S remnants : Discussions & Images
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cycloneye
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Re: INVEST 94L Near Northern Leewards : Discussions & Images
000
AWCA82 TJSJ 100952
RWSPR
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR PUERTO RICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
552 AM AST MON DEC 10 2007
VARIABLY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS PUERTO
RICO...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SHOWERS AND
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WERE DETECTED BY NWS DOPPLER RADAR ACROSS THE
LOCAL COASTAL WATERS...WHILE OVER LAND AREAS...QUICKLY MOVING
SHOWERS AFFECTED MAINLY THE NORTHERN CENTRAL SLOPES AND NORTHERN
COASTAL MUNICIPALITIES OF PUERTO RICO. WINDS HAVE BEEN FROM THE
NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY DURING SHOWER
ACTIVITY.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED THIS MORNING TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED
TO BRING SIGNIFICANT SHOWER ACTIVITY ACCOMPANIED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS AND WINDY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH OVER
LAND AREAS AND EVEN HIGHER OVER THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS.
BETWEEN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THE MAIN AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
BE VERY CLOSE TO THE AREA. EXPECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH VERY HEAVY
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR MOST OF THE NORTHERN COASTS AND CENTRAL
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM
AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA WITHIN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS THROUGH TUESDAY...
WITH SEAS BUILDING IN EXCESS OF 10 FEET IN THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC
WATERS BY THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR ALL LOCAL ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN
WATERS AND PASSAGES. ALSO...A GALE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM 11 AM AST THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT. THIS MEANS THAT WINDS MAY BE AVERAGING BETWEEN 34 KNOTS
TO 47 KNOTS OVER WATER. SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION ACROSS THE NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN PUERTO RICO UNTIL
2 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON.
$$
AWCA82 TJSJ 100952
RWSPR
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR PUERTO RICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
552 AM AST MON DEC 10 2007
VARIABLY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS PUERTO
RICO...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SHOWERS AND
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WERE DETECTED BY NWS DOPPLER RADAR ACROSS THE
LOCAL COASTAL WATERS...WHILE OVER LAND AREAS...QUICKLY MOVING
SHOWERS AFFECTED MAINLY THE NORTHERN CENTRAL SLOPES AND NORTHERN
COASTAL MUNICIPALITIES OF PUERTO RICO. WINDS HAVE BEEN FROM THE
NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY DURING SHOWER
ACTIVITY.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED THIS MORNING TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED
TO BRING SIGNIFICANT SHOWER ACTIVITY ACCOMPANIED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS AND WINDY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH OVER
LAND AREAS AND EVEN HIGHER OVER THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS.
BETWEEN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THE MAIN AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
BE VERY CLOSE TO THE AREA. EXPECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH VERY HEAVY
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR MOST OF THE NORTHERN COASTS AND CENTRAL
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM
AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA WITHIN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS THROUGH TUESDAY...
WITH SEAS BUILDING IN EXCESS OF 10 FEET IN THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC
WATERS BY THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR ALL LOCAL ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN
WATERS AND PASSAGES. ALSO...A GALE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM 11 AM AST THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT. THIS MEANS THAT WINDS MAY BE AVERAGING BETWEEN 34 KNOTS
TO 47 KNOTS OVER WATER. SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION ACROSS THE NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN PUERTO RICO UNTIL
2 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON.
$$
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cycloneye
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Re: INVEST 94L Near Northern Leewards : Discussions & Images
10/0545 UTC 18.2N 59.9W T1.5/1.5 94L -- Atlantic Ocean
No ST,Only the T.
No ST,Only the T.
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cycloneye
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Re:
caribepr wrote:Thanks! I had to look in places I've never looked to find that summary! We're getting more gusts as it gets lighter. Woke at dawn to flat calm. I'm thinking it's going to stay north of us, what do you think Luis?
The worse bad weather is to the north and northeast of the low pressure.That means,if it moves north of us,the worse will stay north.Lets see during the day how it moves to see if it dips closer or stays to our north.
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wxman57
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Re: INVEST 94L Near Northern Leewards : Discussions & Images
It's definitely less organized than 12 hours ago. Wind shear appears to be on the increase in its path. Development chances appear to be diminishing. Probably just some heavy rain for the DR.
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cycloneye
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Re: INVEST 94L Near Northern Leewards : Discussions & Images
[bFXCA62 TJSJ 101048
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
648 AM AST MON DEC 10 2007
.SYNOPSIS...BROAD TUTT LOW EXTENDING WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE LOCAL
REGION THIS MORNING...WITH THREE EMBEDDED MID TO UPPER
VORTS...WITH A DOMINANT UPPER LOW TO THE S OF THE MONA
PASSAGE...AND TWO VIGOROUS MORE MID LEVEL VORTS E TO W ALONG ABOUT
19.5N AND JUST NE OF THE LOCAL AREA. THIS VIGOROUS MID LEVEL LOW
MOVING ACROSS 60W THIS MORNING HAS INDUCED A LLVL TROUGH THE PAST
FEW DAYS THAT HAS BECOME PROGRESSIVELY SHARPER AND WAS ALONG 61.5W
THIS MORNING...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE NRN SEMICIRCLE PER
RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASSES AND SHIP REPORTS. HIGH PRESSURE IN THE
W ATLC AND THIS APPROACHING SURFACE TROUGH...MOVING W AT 15
KT...CONTINUES TO INDUCE A STRONG NELY FLOW ACROSS THE NE CARIB.
&&
.DISCUSSION...BROAD TUTT CIRCULATION REMAINS CUT OFF AND IS
FORECAST TO SHIFT EVER SO SLIGHTLY W AND NW NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...AND WILL LIKELY ATTEMPT TO MERGE INTO ONE CIRCULATION.
MEANWHILE SURFACE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE W 15 KT ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA NEXT 24 HOURS AND ACCOMPANIED BY ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND
A VIGOROUS MID LEVEL CIRCULATION...WILL SPREAD STRONG NELY WINDS
AND OCCASIONAL SQUALLS AND ISOLATED TSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT. GLOBAL MODELS MOVE THIS LLVL TROUGH
WESTWARD ACROSS THE AREA NEXT 24-36 HOURS...AND THE DEEP CNVTN
SEEN ON STLT IMAGERY THIS MORNING WILL LIKELY REMAIN OVER THE ATLC
WATERS AND NOT MOVE EN MASS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. HOWEVER...
STLT IMAGERY IS SUGGESTING A LLVL CIRCULATION ATTEMPTING TO FORM
JUST NE OF BARBUDA...IN THE COL BETWEEN THE TWO MAIN TUTT
LOWS...AND ALSO IN BETWEEN THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION AND SURFACE
REFLECTION TO ITS SSE
IF A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION IS TO
DEVELOP...ISOLATED DEEP CNVTN WILL LIKELY FORM AROUND PERIPHERY
AND AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS...AND FURTHER ENHANCE HEAVY PRECIP
POTENTIAL. OCCASIONAL SQUALLS AND ISOLATED TSTORMS EMBEDDED IN THE
NE FLOW EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL
LEAVE SIGNIFICANT RAINS ACROSS THE N SLOPES AND COASTS OF PR...AND
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO RIVER FLOODING TONIGHT OR TUESDAY...AS WELL AS
URBAN AND STREAM FLOODING. HOWEVER...ANYTHING MORE THAN A FEW DEEP
CNVTV CELLS ACROSS THE N SLOPES COULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL VERY
HEAVY RAINS...AND WITH MOIST SOILS CURRENTLY...FLOOD POTENTIAL
DOES EXIST. WIND ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PR FOR
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FT...AND HIGH SURF ADVISORIES ALONG N AND NE
COASTS. HAVE YET TO ISSUE ANY FLASH FLOOD WATCH ATTM...BUT MAY
BECOME NECESSARY LATER TODAY.
MOST WIDESPREAD RAIN AND STRONGEST FORCING DUE TO STRONG NE LLVL
WINDS AGAINST THE N SLOPES OF PR WILL OCCUR TODAY THROUGH
TONIGHT...WITH RAIN TOTALS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES LIKELY...AND 3
TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED AREAS. AFTER THE TROUGH EXITS
THE AREA TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT INTO THE W CENTRAL
ATLC DUE NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA AND MAINTAIN A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND STRONG LLVL FLOW...AND TRAILING LLVL MOISTURE WILL
MAINTAIN HIGH SHOWER CHANCES THROUGH THURSDAY.][/b]
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
648 AM AST MON DEC 10 2007
.SYNOPSIS...BROAD TUTT LOW EXTENDING WSW TO ENE ACROSS THE LOCAL
REGION THIS MORNING...WITH THREE EMBEDDED MID TO UPPER
VORTS...WITH A DOMINANT UPPER LOW TO THE S OF THE MONA
PASSAGE...AND TWO VIGOROUS MORE MID LEVEL VORTS E TO W ALONG ABOUT
19.5N AND JUST NE OF THE LOCAL AREA. THIS VIGOROUS MID LEVEL LOW
MOVING ACROSS 60W THIS MORNING HAS INDUCED A LLVL TROUGH THE PAST
FEW DAYS THAT HAS BECOME PROGRESSIVELY SHARPER AND WAS ALONG 61.5W
THIS MORNING...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE NRN SEMICIRCLE PER
RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASSES AND SHIP REPORTS. HIGH PRESSURE IN THE
W ATLC AND THIS APPROACHING SURFACE TROUGH...MOVING W AT 15
KT...CONTINUES TO INDUCE A STRONG NELY FLOW ACROSS THE NE CARIB.
&&
.DISCUSSION...BROAD TUTT CIRCULATION REMAINS CUT OFF AND IS
FORECAST TO SHIFT EVER SO SLIGHTLY W AND NW NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...AND WILL LIKELY ATTEMPT TO MERGE INTO ONE CIRCULATION.
MEANWHILE SURFACE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE W 15 KT ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA NEXT 24 HOURS AND ACCOMPANIED BY ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND
A VIGOROUS MID LEVEL CIRCULATION...WILL SPREAD STRONG NELY WINDS
AND OCCASIONAL SQUALLS AND ISOLATED TSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT. GLOBAL MODELS MOVE THIS LLVL TROUGH
WESTWARD ACROSS THE AREA NEXT 24-36 HOURS...AND THE DEEP CNVTN
SEEN ON STLT IMAGERY THIS MORNING WILL LIKELY REMAIN OVER THE ATLC
WATERS AND NOT MOVE EN MASS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. HOWEVER...
STLT IMAGERY IS SUGGESTING A LLVL CIRCULATION ATTEMPTING TO FORM
JUST NE OF BARBUDA...IN THE COL BETWEEN THE TWO MAIN TUTT
LOWS...AND ALSO IN BETWEEN THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION AND SURFACE
REFLECTION TO ITS SSE
IF A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION IS TO
DEVELOP...ISOLATED DEEP CNVTN WILL LIKELY FORM AROUND PERIPHERY
AND AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS...AND FURTHER ENHANCE HEAVY PRECIP
POTENTIAL. OCCASIONAL SQUALLS AND ISOLATED TSTORMS EMBEDDED IN THE
NE FLOW EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL
LEAVE SIGNIFICANT RAINS ACROSS THE N SLOPES AND COASTS OF PR...AND
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO RIVER FLOODING TONIGHT OR TUESDAY...AS WELL AS
URBAN AND STREAM FLOODING. HOWEVER...ANYTHING MORE THAN A FEW DEEP
CNVTV CELLS ACROSS THE N SLOPES COULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL VERY
HEAVY RAINS...AND WITH MOIST SOILS CURRENTLY...FLOOD POTENTIAL
DOES EXIST. WIND ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PR FOR
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FT...AND HIGH SURF ADVISORIES ALONG N AND NE
COASTS. HAVE YET TO ISSUE ANY FLASH FLOOD WATCH ATTM...BUT MAY
BECOME NECESSARY LATER TODAY.
MOST WIDESPREAD RAIN AND STRONGEST FORCING DUE TO STRONG NE LLVL
WINDS AGAINST THE N SLOPES OF PR WILL OCCUR TODAY THROUGH
TONIGHT...WITH RAIN TOTALS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES LIKELY...AND 3
TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED AREAS. AFTER THE TROUGH EXITS
THE AREA TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT INTO THE W CENTRAL
ATLC DUE NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA AND MAINTAIN A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND STRONG LLVL FLOW...AND TRAILING LLVL MOISTURE WILL
MAINTAIN HIGH SHOWER CHANCES THROUGH THURSDAY.][/b]
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cycloneye
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Re: INVEST 94L Near Northern Leewards : Discussions & Images
WONT41 KNHC 101143
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
645 AM EST MON DEC 10 2007
THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
PUERTO RICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION EARLY THIS MORNING.
WHILE A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE FORMING...
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS REMOVED WELL TO
THE NORTH OF THE LOW. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
COULD STILL FORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE HEAVY SQUALLS AND GUSTY
WINDS ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA
TODAY AND TONIGHT AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH. INTERESTS
IN THESE AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.
FURTHER SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AS
NECESSARY. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...CONSULT
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
645 AM EST MON DEC 10 2007
THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
PUERTO RICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION EARLY THIS MORNING.
WHILE A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE FORMING...
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS REMOVED WELL TO
THE NORTH OF THE LOW. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
COULD STILL FORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE HEAVY SQUALLS AND GUSTY
WINDS ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA
TODAY AND TONIGHT AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH. INTERESTS
IN THESE AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.
FURTHER SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AS
NECESSARY. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...CONSULT
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB
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Evil Jeremy
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Re: INVEST 94L=6:45 AM Special Tropical Disturbance Statement
just on NRL a second ago. The actual page for the Invest is still up though.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... rovap/dmsp
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... rovap/dmsp
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cycloneye
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Re: INVEST 94L Models Thread
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1148 UTC MON DEC 10 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL942007) 20071210 0600 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
071210 0600 071210 1800 071211 0600 071211 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 18.7N 60.3W 18.7N 63.8W 18.5N 67.0W 18.3N 70.6W
BAMD 18.7N 60.3W 19.4N 61.8W 20.2N 63.4W 20.6N 64.8W
BAMM 18.7N 60.3W 18.9N 62.8W 19.0N 65.3W 18.9N 68.0W
LBAR 18.7N 60.3W 19.1N 62.0W 19.5N 63.5W 19.6N 64.9W
SHIP 30KTS 30KTS 28KTS 23KTS
DSHP 30KTS 30KTS 28KTS 23KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
071212 0600 071213 0600 071214 0600 071215 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 18.0N 74.1W 17.5N 80.4W 16.8N 84.7W 16.1N 88.0W
BAMD 21.1N 66.6W 21.9N 70.4W 22.3N 74.1W 22.4N 76.1W
BAMM 18.8N 71.0W 19.0N 76.5W 19.0N 81.4W 18.7N 85.2W
LBAR 19.3N 66.3W 18.4N 70.0W 17.5N 74.1W 15.6N 77.5W
SHIP 15KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 22KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 18.7N LONCUR = 60.3W DIRCUR = 265DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 19.2N LONM12 = 57.8W DIRM12 = 266DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 19.2N LONM24 = 54.9W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1148 UTC MON DEC 10 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL942007) 20071210 0600 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
071210 0600 071210 1800 071211 0600 071211 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 18.7N 60.3W 18.7N 63.8W 18.5N 67.0W 18.3N 70.6W
BAMD 18.7N 60.3W 19.4N 61.8W 20.2N 63.4W 20.6N 64.8W
BAMM 18.7N 60.3W 18.9N 62.8W 19.0N 65.3W 18.9N 68.0W
LBAR 18.7N 60.3W 19.1N 62.0W 19.5N 63.5W 19.6N 64.9W
SHIP 30KTS 30KTS 28KTS 23KTS
DSHP 30KTS 30KTS 28KTS 23KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
071212 0600 071213 0600 071214 0600 071215 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 18.0N 74.1W 17.5N 80.4W 16.8N 84.7W 16.1N 88.0W
BAMD 21.1N 66.6W 21.9N 70.4W 22.3N 74.1W 22.4N 76.1W
BAMM 18.8N 71.0W 19.0N 76.5W 19.0N 81.4W 18.7N 85.2W
LBAR 19.3N 66.3W 18.4N 70.0W 17.5N 74.1W 15.6N 77.5W
SHIP 15KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 22KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 18.7N LONCUR = 60.3W DIRCUR = 265DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 19.2N LONM12 = 57.8W DIRM12 = 266DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 19.2N LONM24 = 54.9W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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