Hurricane FELIX: Caribbean-Discussions

[ConvergenceZone]

Let's hope the southward model trend continues. We don't want two landfalls in Mexico.

My God man that is horrible. You want this beast to hit Honduras and kill thousands of people? I'm praying this will go north and miss those poor people. Let it hit another swamp like Dean. It needs to get as far north as possible from Honduras or we'll have a catastrophe.

quit putting words in wxman57's mouth. He said nothing of the sort... He's just saying that 1 landfall would be better than 2. No matter where it hits, it's going to be bad, that's common sense, but it's also only common sense to prefer 1 landfall as opposed to 2. Not only that, but a southern trending of the models means that perhaps 1 landfall instead of 3 if it's able to avoid the BOC alltogether...

[Category 5]

Just for historical purposes, "Félix" becomes the first "F" named category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic.

Yeah you're right, I never thought of that.

Floyd came ever so close but just missed.

[Ptarmigan]

Just for historical purposes, "Félix" becomes the first "F" named category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic.

Category 5 By Letters
A-Anita, Allen, Andrew (3)
B-Beulah (1)
C-Cleo, Carla, Camille (3)
D-Dog, Donna, David, Dean (4)
E-Easy, Ethel, Edith, Emily (4)
F-Felix (1)
G-Gilbert (1)
H-Hattie, Hugo (2)
I-Isabel, Ivan (2)
J-Janet (1)
K-Katrina (1)
M-Mitch (1)
R-Rita (1)
W-Wilma (1)

[Extremecane]

ABOUT to do ERC?

[chris_fit]

ABOUT to do ERC?

IMO... nopeeeeee

[Typhoon_Willie]

I was just curious as to the record for most Cat 5 storms in one season? And very cool post Category 5

[Air Force Met]

Excellent discussion. I appreciate the explanations. Is this the first time AFM has posted on this storm? It takes a lot to get 'em riled up, I guess!

I've been very busy but right now I'm not too worried about it moving towards the CONUS. It is an amazing storm...and I'm glad it's going to stay south of us.

[miamicanes177]

quit putting words in wxman57's mouth. He said nothing of the sort... He's just saying that 1 landfall would be better than 2. No matter where it hits, it's going to be bad, that's common sense, but it's also only common sense to prefer 1 landfall as opposed to 2. Not only that, but a southern trending of the models means that perhaps 1 landfall instead of 3 if it's able to avoid the BOC alltogether...

The best case scenario is a Dean track further north with two landfalls. On the NHC track (or God forbid further south) Felix could kill thousands of people.

[jhamps10]

I was just curious as to the record for most Cat 5 storms in one season? And very cool post Category 5

2005 with 4. Katrina, Wilma, Rita, and oh crap I forgot the other one.

[RL3AO]

I was just curious as to the record for most Cat 5 storms in one season? And very cool post Category 5

2005 with 4. Katrina, Wilma, Rita, and oh crap I forgot the other one.

Emily.

[Category 5]

I was just curious as to the record for most Cat 5 storms in one season?

4 in 2005 (Emily Katrina Rita Wilma)

[JtSmarts]

Just for historical purposes, "Félix" becomes the first "F" named category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic.

I wonder what letter has the most named Category 5 hurricanes?

D and E with four each

Dog
Easy
Donna
Ethel
Edith
David
Emily
Dean

[robbielyn]

If it goes annular how does that impact honduras vs non annular? I thinking obviously more intensity in the winds anything else?

[Weatherfreak14]

WHAT IN THE WORLD I GET BACK HOME AND A CAT 5, what is going on seriously a jump from a CAtT 2 to a 5!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[ConvergenceZone]

quit putting words in wxman57's mouth. He said nothing of the sort... He's just saying that 1 landfall would be better than 2. No matter where it hits, it's going to be bad, that's common sense, but it's also only common sense to prefer 1 landfall as opposed to 2. Not only that, but a southern trending of the models means that perhaps 1 landfall instead of 3 if it's able to avoid the BOC alltogether...

The best case scenario is a Dean track further north with two landfalls. On the NHC track (or God forbid further south) Felix could kill thousands of people.

Well, it doesn't look like the North track is panning out. I was all over it myself, thinking it would move more North, but I was wrong, so no matter what we feel is best, it looks like the models are trending south...

[vacanechaser]

I was just curious as to the record for most Cat 5 storms in one season? And very cool post Category 5

2005 with 4. Katrina, Wilma, Rita, and oh crap I forgot the other one.

emily



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[jhamps10]

quit putting words in wxman57's mouth. He said nothing of the sort... He's just saying that 1 landfall would be better than 2. No matter where it hits, it's going to be bad, that's common sense, but it's also only common sense to prefer 1 landfall as opposed to 2. Not only that, but a southern trending of the models means that perhaps 1 landfall instead of 3 if it's able to avoid the BOC alltogether...

The best case scenario is a Dean track further north with two landfalls. On the NHC track (or God forbid further south) Felix could kill thousands of people.

Well, it doesn't look like the North track is panning out. I was all over it myself, thinking it would move more North, but I was wrong, so no matter what we feel is best, it looks like the models are trending south...

yep, 98L right now has a bigger threat to the US than felix does.

[Extremecane]

First two hurricanes of the season is a cat 5. Amazon, and still two more months of this left.

[btangy]

Don't know if this has been brought up, but the sudden rapid intensification may be attributed to an area of anomalously high heat content Felix is currently trekking over:

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... 7244at.jpg

Felix should be near its potential intensity and in fact is headed toward an area of even higher potential intensity (<880mb!), but the heat content is lower (depth of the warmest surface water is not as large). It'll be interesting to see if the intensity responds to the former with further strengthening or the latter with weakening. Although, eyewall replacement cycles will probably be the largest signal in the intensity evolution during the next couple of days.

[Ptarmigan]

I was just curious as to the record for most Cat 5 storms in one season? And very cool post Category 5

2005
Emily (929 mb, 140 kts)
Katrina (902 mb, 150 kts)
Rita (895 mb, 155 kts)
Wilma (882 mb, 160 kts)