CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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gilbert88
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10661 Postby gilbert88 » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:09 pm

Wilma was a 4 at landfall... and I'm not sure but I think Kenna in 2002 made landfall as a Cat 5. That's also in the Western Hemisphere.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10662 Postby CajunMama » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:10 pm

gilbert88 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Cat 5!!! :woo:


Yeah, awesome... :roll: :(


Yeah, real awesome for those who are on the receiving end of dean :roll: :roll: :roll:
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#10663 Postby Tstormwatcher » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:10 pm

I corrected my post, Gilbert was what I was thinking of and Wilma was a cat 4 at landfall. Mitch hit Hondoras as a cat1.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10664 Postby dwsqos2 » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:11 pm

gilbert88 wrote:Wilma was a 4 at landfall... and I'm not sure but I think Kenna in 2002 made landfall as a Cat 5. That's also in the Western Hemisphere.


Kenna's landfall intensity was 120 knots.

Kenna's TCR
Last edited by dwsqos2 on Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10665 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:11 pm

Scratch Wilma as a cat5 at landfall. It had weaken to a cat4. As it was going through EWRC's.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10666 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:11 pm

gilbert88 wrote:Wilma was a 4 at landfall... and I'm not sure but I think Kenna in 2002 made landfall as a Cat 5. That's also in the Western Hemisphere.


I believe Kenna made landfall as a 4 too.
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Re:

#10667 Postby ZeeNL » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:12 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the worst winds will be nroth of Chetumal, unless this dives south. However, they should still get cat 3 winds with cat 5 gusts

Horrific tidal surge possible for the Bay of Campeche


But Dean will have weakened a lot once the winds begin to impact the bay. Are you afraid Dean will push a lot of water to the south shores of the bay?
Last edited by ZeeNL on Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#10668 Postby Scorpion » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:12 pm

The 18Z HWRF says 892 mb at landfall
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Re:

#10669 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:14 pm

Scorpion wrote:The 18Z HWRF says 892 mb at landfall


If that's the case, that would be one of the lowest pressure to make landfall since 1935 Labor Day Hurricane. :eek:
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#10670 Postby PhillyWX » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:14 pm

Strongest Hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin All-Time:

1. Hurricane Wilma, 882 mb, 2005
2. Hurricane Gilbert, 888 mb, 1988
3. Labor Day Hurricane, 892 mb, 1935
4. Hurricane Rita - 895 mb, 2005
5. Hurricane Allen - 899 mb,1980
6. Hurricane Katrina - 902 mb, 2005
7. Hurricane Camille - 905 mb, 1969
8. Hurricane Mitch - 905 mb, 1998
9. Hurricane Ivan - 910 mb, 2004
10. Hurricane Dean - 914 mb, 2007
10. Hurricane Janet - 914 mb, 1955
12. Hurricane Opal - 916 mb, 1995
13. Hurricane Hugo - 918 mb, 1989
14. Hurricane Isabel - 920 mb, 2003
14. Hurricane Gloria - 920 mb, 1985
14. Hurricane Hattie - 920 mb, 1961
17. Hurricane Floyd - 921 mb, 1999
18. Hurricane Andrew - 922 mb, 1992
19. Hurricane Beulah - 923 mb, 1967
20. Hurricane David - 924 mb, 1979
21. Indianola Hurricane - 925 mb, 1886
22. Hurricane Anita - 926 mb, 1977
23. 1919 Hurricane - 927 mb, 1919
24. Hurricane Esther - 927 mb, 1961
24. Hurricane Gabrielle - 927 mb, 1989
26. Hurricane Carmen - 928 mb, 1974
27. Lake Okeechobee - 929 mb, 1928
27. Hurricane Emily - 929 mb, 2005
27. Hurricane Lenny - 929 mb, 1999
27. Hurricane Inez - 929 mb, 1966
27. Hurricane Carol - 929 mb, 1953
Last edited by PhillyWX on Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#10671 Postby JtSmarts » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:14 pm

Scorpion wrote:The 18Z HWRF says 892 mb at landfall


I might have to eat crow, but I have doubts about him getting that low, his pressure has only been dropping slowly for most of the day. I think 905-910 is more likely.
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Re:

#10672 Postby ZeeNL » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:15 pm

Scorpion wrote:The 18Z HWRF says 892 mb at landfall


IIRC, HWRF was predicting crazy low pressures all the time, so I think we can discard it.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10673 Postby JtSmarts » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:17 pm

Amazing that five storms in that list have occurred since 2004.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10674 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:18 pm

I think this is the worst landfalling storm I've ever tracked on Storm2k. If this hit New Orleans in its present state it would far surpass Katrina.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10675 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:20 pm

This thing keeps looking better and better. A soild red ring has finally formed around the eye. In the eye has cleared out big time. Wish recon would of stayed...This could go easly sub 910.
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#10676 Postby ZeeNL » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:21 pm

How many hours till landfall now?
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10677 Postby theworld » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:23 pm

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#10678 Postby Aquawind » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:23 pm

PUBLIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
WARDEN MESSAGE
Fourth Notice: Hurricane Dean Approaching Quintana Roo
August 20, 2007, 7:00PM central time

The state government of Quintana Roo has issued a red alert, indicating maximum danger level. Yucatan State has issued an orange alert, indicating that the current danger level is high.

American citizens in the area should identify their local shelter, monitor local media reports, and follow the instructions of local emergency officials. In some areas, adequate shelter from a severe hurricane may not be available to all who may choose to stay. Visitors should review and follow their hotel or cruise ship evacuation plans.

Hurricane Dean is expected to make landfall early on Tuesday, August 21, 27 nautical miles north of Chetumal. The hurricane’s current track shows that it may pass near Merida, Yucatan and veer north toward Veracruz or Matamoros on Wednesday, August 22. As of the afternoon of August 20, Hurricane Dean was a category 4 hurricane with sustained winds near 150 mph as it approached Jamaica. There are hurricane warnings and watches throughout the region. Hurricane Dean is expected to reach category 5 before it hits the Yucatan peninsula. The U.S. State Department has authorized departure for all dependents and non-essential personnel at the U.S. Consulates in Merida and Matamoros.

The Mexican government uses a color-coded system of alerts proceeding from blue (minimal danger) to green (low danger) to yellow (moderate danger) to orange (high danger) to red (maximum danger level). To learn more about this system, visit http://www.yucatan.gob.mx/procivy/colores/colores.htm.

U.S. citizens also should carry their travel documents at all times (i.e. U.S. Passport, Birth Certificate, picture ID’s, etc.) or secure them in a safe, waterproof location. We also suggest that American citizens contact friends and family in the United States with updates about their whereabouts.

For the most-up-to-date information on Hurricane Dean, please visit The National Hurricane Center’s website at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.

To check the current alert level in Quintana Roo, U.S. citizens should visit the local government’s website at http://www.qroo.gob.mx/qroo/Temporada/index.php. Click on “Aviso de Sistema Tropical” for information about the storm.

To check the current alert level in Yucatan State, visit http://www.yucatan.gob.mx/procivy/index.jsp.

Further information on hurricanes and hurricane preparedness is available on the State Department’s website. Check the following links below:

http://travel.state.gov/travel/cis_pa_t ... _2915.html

http://www.travel.state.gov/travel/tips ... _1207.html

The U.S. Consulate in Merida and Consular Agencies in Cancun, Cozumel, and Playa del Carmen are closed for regular business. American citizens with questions should contact the U.S. Embassy in Mexico City at

[52](55) 5080-2816
[52](55) 5080-2107
[52](55) 5207-0546

The U.S. Embassy in Mexico City is open 24 hours a day. American citizens can also contact the Hurricane Dean Task Force in Washington at 202-647-6611. Please stay posted for future warden messages.

Thank you and stay safe,

U.S. Embassy Mexico City

http://www.usembassy-mexico.gov/eng/cit ... vices.html
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10679 Postby Beam » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:24 pm

theworld wrote:Chetumal, Quintana Roo,
http://www.delange.org/Chetumal/Chetumal.htm

Image


What a beautiful place... about to be ruined.
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Re: DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula-Mainland Mexico

#10680 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:25 pm

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