TD INGRID: Discussions & Images - Last Advisory

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CrazyC83
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#1101 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:01 pm

T2.5 = Ingrid at 5 pm most likely.
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Re:

#1102 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:03 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:T2.5 = Ingrid at 5 pm most likely.


Based on the future track, future "ingrid" may be playing with fire if she wants to reappear in 2013.
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Re: Trop Dep EIGHT (ATL): Discussions=T numbers 2.5/2.5

#1103 Postby jhamps10 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:04 pm

hial2 wrote:
Brent wrote:
windstorm99 wrote:This better not happen...

Image


That looks like a reasonable track to me. This is going to be a big story.


Reasonable and probably likely..Florida in the cone for the first time this year..


yes, which if this track verifies, even the GOM needs to keep an eye on this one. Not saying it will go into the GOM, not saying it won't but everyone along the GOM needs to keep an eye on TD8/Ingrid.
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#1104 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:08 pm

Folks if that track verifies and we see a CAT3+ Ingrid heading towards South Florida...

all I have to say is this server is probably going to go down...

BUT --

while it is possible it is FAR too early to speculate.

In my opion Accuweather is definitely taking a risk with such an agressive forecast...

and we all know that even if TD 8 makes it close it can curve away at the last second..
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Re: Trop Dep EIGHT (ATL): Discussions & Images 11 AM page 50

#1105 Postby canegrl04 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:08 pm

Holy Crap! :eek: It would be THE biggest story of the season if that verifies. Not to mention FoxNews being in a state of red alert 24/7 :roll:
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Re: Trop Dep EIGHT (ATL): Discussions & Images 11 AM page 50

#1106 Postby windstorm99 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:09 pm

2000 people in south florida at publix lol....
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Re: Re:

#1107 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:09 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:T2.5 = Ingrid at 5 pm most likely.


Based on the future track, future "ingrid" may be playing with fire if she wants to reappear in 2013.


I think if that track verifies, it would have been more natural for this to be Humberto, as it would have been the "son" of a past storm that it replaced in 1989...

Ingrid is itself a replacement name for Iris in 2001...
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Re: Re:

#1108 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:09 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:T2.5 = Ingrid at 5 pm most likely.


Based on the future track, future "ingrid" may be playing with fire if she wants to reappear in 2013.


and she replaced Iris which was a bad I storm in 2001...

Also, Isidore, Isabel, and Ivan. Had a string of bad I names. :sick:
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Re: Trop Dep EIGHT (ATL): Discussions & Images 11 AM page 50

#1109 Postby mattpetre » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:10 pm

I would still lean towards a more southern / cuba track and eventually a threat to FL panhandle or MS/AL coast... just my guess from what I sees....
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Re:

#1110 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:11 pm

x-y-no wrote:Just noticed ... they're calling it much faster than the model guidance and NHC have it.

Interesting. I think NHC is too slow, but maybe not by quite that much.


Not bashing the NHC but it almost looks like they just put a very general track with a hugh guidance envelope aimed WNW...as if they were not sure where this thing would go this morning...........

But I admit I think the NHC is far too slow on their track and we should see a the cone shift left some today with a slightly faster speed.
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Re: Trop Dep EIGHT (ATL): Discussions & Images 11 AM page 50

#1111 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:11 pm

mattpetre wrote:I would still lean towards a more southern / cuba track and eventually a threat to FL panhandle or MS/AL coast... just my guess from what I sees....


I'm thinking more northerly - I think that Gabrielle busted the ridge enough to open a path to the Carolinas...
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Re: Trop Dep EIGHT (ATL): Discussions & Images 11 AM page 50

#1112 Postby StJoe » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:12 pm

I think I just saw Stephanie Abrams at Lake Worth Beach... :cheesy:
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Re: Trop Dep EIGHT (ATL): Discussions & Images 11 AM page 50

#1113 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:13 pm

StJoe wrote:I think I just saw Stephanie Abrams at Lake Worth Beach... :cheesy:


If its not Jim Cantore in Palm Beach County then its not going there...

seriously folks this thing is over 1600+ miles away from Florida and alot can happen...

still not sold on a South Florida strike..

First lets deal with the islands.
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Re: Trop Dep EIGHT (ATL): Discussions & Images 11 AM page 50

#1114 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:13 pm

gatorcane wrote:
StJoe wrote:I think I just saw Stephanie Abrams at Lake Worth Beach... :cheesy:


If its not Jim Cantore in Palm Beach County then its not going there...

seriously folks this thing is over 1600+ miles away from Florida and alot can happen...

still not sold on a South Florida strike..

First lets deal with the islands.


Who knows, after that we may all be wrong and this could be headed back to sea...
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Re: Trop Dep EIGHT (ATL): Discussions & Images 11 AM page 50

#1115 Postby mattpetre » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:14 pm

gatorcane wrote:
StJoe wrote:I think I just saw Stephanie Abrams at Lake Worth Beach... :cheesy:


If its not Jim Cantore in Palm Beach County then its not going there...

seriously folks this thing is over 1600+ miles away from Florida and alot can happen...

still not sold on a South Florida strike..

First lets deal with the islands.


Understood the islands are the first to worry about, but for now there is plenty of time to speculate.
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Re: Trop Dep EIGHT (ATL): Discussions & Images 11 AM page 50

#1116 Postby robbielyn » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:16 pm

mattpetre wrote:
gatorcane wrote:
StJoe wrote:I think I just saw Stephanie Abrams at Lake Worth Beach... :cheesy:


If its not Jim Cantore in Palm Beach County then its not going there...

seriously folks this thing is over 1600+ miles away from Florida and alot can happen...

still not sold on a South Florida strike..

First lets deal with the islands.


Understood the islands are the first to worry about, but for now there is plenty of time to speculate.
which is fun!!
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Re:

#1117 Postby x-y-no » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:16 pm

gatorcane wrote:Folks if that track verifies and we see a CAT3+ Ingrid heading towards South Florida...

all I have to say is this server is probably going to go down...


Heh ... I won't permit it! 8-)


BUT --

while it is possible it is FAR too early to speculate.

In my opion Accuweather is definitely taking a risk with such an agressive forecast...

and we all know that even if TD 8 makes it close it can curve away at the last second..


Bold is the right word for it.
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Re: Trop Dep EIGHT (ATL): Discussions & Images 11 AM page 50

#1118 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:16 pm

gatorcane wrote:
StJoe wrote:I think I just saw Stephanie Abrams at Lake Worth Beach... :cheesy:


If its not Jim Cantore in Palm Beach County then its not going there...

seriously folks this thing is over 1600+ miles away from Florida and alot can happen...

still not sold on a South Florida strike..

First lets deal with the islands.


I'm not convinced on any solution yet... recurve is definitely possible considering it's almost Mid-September(but NOT a guarantee).

I do think it will be well north of Dean and Felix's track however.
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Re: Re:

#1119 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:19 pm

x-y-no wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Folks if that track verifies and we see a CAT3+ Ingrid heading towards South Florida...

all I have to say is this server is probably going to go down...


Heh ... I won't permit it! 8-)


BUT --

while it is possible it is FAR too early to speculate.

In my opion Accuweather is definitely taking a risk with such an agressive forecast...

and we all know that even if TD 8 makes it close it can curve away at the last second..


Bold is the right word for it.


Personally I think Accuweather wants to see some hype. The NHCs forecast is much more conservative and in line with the current synoptics albeit with some slight adjustments needed for the 5pm advisory.
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#1120 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Wed Sep 12, 2007 2:20 pm

2000 people in south florida at publix lol....


Try 2,000 people per hour per Publix.
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