CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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KBBOCA
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#1121 Postby KBBOCA » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:06 am

That latest track plot pretty much means EVERY island has got to beware and take this very seriously right now (though of course, I'm sure they all have been watching this very carefully, the islanders so often put us in mainland US to shame in terms of their no-nonsense and no-hype approach to storms.)

For those concerned about the islands and friends/family in the Carribean, just a reminder, StormCarib is a fantastic site that will give you lots of information and reports from individual islands:

http://stormcarib.com/

I especially appreciate their "how close is it" and "how close can it get" features under the Tools sections:
http://stormcarib.com/tools.htm
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#1122 Postby KWT » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:06 am

Here is 120hrs+126hrs:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_120s.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_126s.gif

Had it not been for the 120hrs chart I wouldn't have had a clue how deep it was, needless to say I was pretty shocked when I saw the 924mbs at 120hrs!!!
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Re: Tropical Depression 4,Discussions,Analysis and Sat Pics

#1123 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:08 am

NRL now says we have "Dean":
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Re: Tropical Depression 4,Discussions,Analysis and Sat Pics

#1124 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:09 am

Ivanhater wrote:NHC on the North side of guidance now..they will likely adjust south


Yes I agree, they should adjust southward some...
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dolebot_Broward_NW
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#1125 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:09 am

Gatorcane, you've got Great Okeechobee hurricane (which hit in 1928) confused with the Fort Lauderdale hurricane, which was 1947 on that track for #4.
Last edited by dolebot_Broward_NW on Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Tropical Depression 4,Discussions,Analysis and Sat Pics

#1126 Postby tgenius » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:10 am

Boy.. with this becoming a TS at 11 (likely) and the model shift south a bit.. South FL news will go into paranoia mode pretty quickly! :(
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#1127 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:10 am

Hopefully the media doesnt get its hands on the WRF lol
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#1128 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:12 am

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

TS Dean

11.7 N 39.4 W

West @ 23 mph

Winds: 35 knots - 40 mph
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Re: Global Models for TD4

#1129 Postby miamicanes177 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:12 am

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

Can someone click this and tell me if it looks right? I'm getting a white background page although it has the links. Something is wrong with the page, correct?
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Re: Global Models for TD4

#1130 Postby GraysonDave » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:13 am

miamicanes177 wrote:http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

Can someone click this and tell me if it looks right? I'm getting a white background page although it has the links. Something is wrong with the page, correct?


Same here, been doing that since at least early this morning.
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Re: Global Models for TD4

#1131 Postby Javlin » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:13 am

wrong thread :oops:
Last edited by Javlin on Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#1132 Postby storms in NC » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:16 am

HURAKAN wrote:http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

TS Dean

11.7 N 39.4 W

West @ 23 mph

Winds: 35 knots - 40 mph


It is booking to some where in a hurry. It don't have time. It think it is in NY LOL
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Re: Global Models for TD4

#1133 Postby EyELeSs1 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:19 am

edit: will post in correct thread sorry
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#1134 Postby storms in NC » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:19 am

Oh Yeah the media. Last night on the 11 PM news here they talked about hurricanes for some time. about Ins Flood Ins and tracking etc..
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#1135 Postby EyELeSs1 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:20 am

Image

shear still looks to be taking it's toll.. now it depends on if that ball of convection over the LLC can maintain itself/expand or diminish
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Re: TD4 - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1136 Postby canegrl04 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:24 am

Official welcome to Dean 8-) Please don't be mean Dean over any of us
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Steve
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#1137 Postby Steve » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:27 am

>>Official welcome to Dean Please don't be mean Dean over any of us

"I'm going to Florida!
And then it's Georgia!
And then I'm heading to Alabama, South Carolina, Virginia and Michigan!!!!"

AIIIIIIIIIEEEEEEE

/dean for storms

Steve
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Re: TD4 - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1138 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:28 am

Hello Dean. :eek:
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Re: TD4 - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1139 Postby Javlin » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:31 am

Had this posted in the wrong thread.....

The center is a .5* S of the expected track according to the forcast points.I am thinking that maybe at 42*-44* shear is going to start lessening.The center looks to be at about 39W 11.5N so works out to maybe another 180-300 miles of 10-20mph E shear.The center looks tight on the last VIS
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#1140 Postby x-y-no » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:32 am

I'm still not seeing the official upgrade yet ... There's no mention of "Dean" on the graphical product linked above.

If the advisory is out, somebody please post it because I'm still seeing TD4.
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