Typhoon Man-yi (04W)

Eyewall · #121 Postby **Eyewall** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 1:52 pm

This this is really intensifying..
raw T#'s are up to 7.5
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/odt04W.html

Cyclenall · #122 Postby **Cyclenall** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 1:53 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:I thought Yutu peaked at 125 knots?

It did and it was still called a Super Typhoon! :lol:

What a monster. I love that huge eye. It is 1035 km in diameter or 560 nm!!!! (not the eye, the storm).

#123 Postby **P.K.** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 1:59 pm

WTPQ20 RJTD 111800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0704 MAN-YI (0704)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111800UTC 19.9N 130.0E GOOD
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 120NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST
30KT 350NM EAST 280NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 121800UTC 24.3N 127.2E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 131800UTC 28.5N 128.5E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 141800UTC 31.5N 134.7E 290NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =

Ptarmigan · #124 Postby **Ptarmigan** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 2:00 pm

Quite impressive storm. I would not be surprised if Man-yi becomes a Category 5 typhoon. Looks like Okinawa and Japan is in for it.

#125 Postby **HURAKAN** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 2:24 pm

JTWC increases Man-Yi intensity to 115 knots. Dvorak backs them up with 6.0

#126 Postby **windstorm99** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 2:54 pm

Eyewall · #127 Postby **Eyewall** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 3:36 pm

windstorm99 wrote:

can you post the page where you got that pic plz

btw the intensity estmations from CIMSS are up to 140kts and 899mb

#128 Postby **Andrew92** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 4:59 pm

Wow if that doesn't look like a killer's eye, I dunno what a killer's eye looks like! :eek:

-Andrew92

Coredesat · #129 Postby **Coredesat** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 5:48 pm

238
TPPN10 PGTW 112105

A. TYPHOON 04W (MAN-YI)

B. 11/2030Z

C. 20.4N/6

D. 129.5E/7

E. THREE/MTSAT

F. T6.0/6.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/06HRS (11/1730Z)

G. IR/EIR LLCC

09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN.

ROACH

---------

WWPN20 KNES 112117

SATELLITE WEATHER BULLETIN
WEST PACIFIC OCEAN MTSAT VIS/IRDAY
.
JULY 11 2007 2033Z
.
20.4N 129.4E T6.0/6.0/D1.5/24HRS MAN-YI (04W)
.
PAST POSITIONS... 18.1N 132.2E 11/0833Z VIS/IRDAY
15.6N 134.7E 10/2033Z VIS/IRDAY
.
REMARKS...OW EYE SURROUNDED IN WHITE YIELDS A DT OF 6.0. PT
AGREES. MET IS 5.5. FT OF 6.0 BASED ON DT AND PT.
.
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NMI.
.
THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 12/0400Z.

harmclan · #130 Postby **harmclan** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 6:03 pm

1330Z:

2030Z:

Man-yi appears it's going through an ERC, hence the expanding of the cold top clouds from the center (the dark red you see in the images) especially to the northwest. Another sign of an ERC occuring is the size of the eye decreasing, which is evident from the two images above. The outflow is incredible.

http://ustropics.ulmb.com

fenmarg · #131 Postby **fenmarg** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 6:44 pm

Any additional information you have on Typhoon Man-yi will be greatly appreciated. My son and daughter-in-law live in Okinawa on Kadena Air Force Base. I've been trying to get information online but haven't had much luck. Thank you.

Derek Ortt · #132 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 7:08 pm

The latest TRMM pass showed absolutely no indication of an EWRC

There was not even a closed eyewall (open NW)

#133 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 7:55 pm

TY 0704 (MAN-YI)
Issued at 00:00 UTC, 12 July 2007RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0704 MAN-YI (0704)

ANALYSIS
PSTN 120000UTC 21.0N 129.2E GOOD
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
50KT 120NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST
30KT 350NM EAST 280NM WEST

FORECAST
24HF 130000UTC 25.3N 127.0E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 140000UTC 29.3N 129.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
72HF 150000UTC 32.0N 136.4E 270NM 70%
MOVE ENE 16KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT

wxmann_91 · #134 Postby **wxmann_91** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 8:22 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:The latest TRMM pass showed absolutely no indication of an EWRC

There was not even a closed eyewall (open NW)

The latest pass suggests that the inner core may finally be stabilizing.

#135 Postby **HURAKAN** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 8:32 pm

Man-Yi looks better organized and more compacted.

#136 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 9:22 pm

WOW!!! this is the first time i've looked at it in 10 hours or so, it looks much better.

#137 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 9:54 pm

#138 Postby **CrazyC83** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 10:08 pm

It's a strong Category 4 now, and now the forecast calls for a super typhoon with 135 kt winds...

#139 Postby **CrazyC83** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 10:11 pm

Eyewall wrote:can you post the page where you got that pic plz

btw the intensity estmations from CIMSS are up to 140kts and 899mb

That does seem a bit high, I don't think it is that strong yet...I'd say in reality (if there were recon aircraft to check out there) it would be about 130 kt and 926 mb.

HurricaneBill · #140 Postby **HurricaneBill** » Wed Jul 11, 2007 10:13 pm

This could cause problems for Japan.

Typhoon Man-yi (04W)

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