CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Bgator]

I say with the High building back in and a strong one at that. Texas or even Mexico could be the biggest threat.

The last run shows a more northerly course in the GFS, with the weakness still there approaching the central/north islands... :/

[destruction92]

I say with the High building back in and a strong one at that. Texas or even Mexico could be the biggest threat.

Climatology does not support a Cape Verde storm moving due west for a week and a half to 2 weeks to strike Mexico or Texas. Conditions have to be nearly perfect for that to happen. More probable is the east coast and central gulf. Weather.com has typical tracks based on climatology and none indicate what you are pointing out. Then again, it is way too early to pinpoint U.S. targets. Hawaii and Puerto Rico (& U.S. Virgin Islands) are the closest U.S. targetted threats as of now. All the attention should be there right now.

[Wx_Warrior]

Wild, wild, wild....I'm afraid we will start seeing different runs each day...Anyone have any tums or rolaids?

[storms in NC]

Wild, wild, wild....I'm afraid we will start seeing different runs each day...Anyone have any tums or rolaids?

I have some Aciphex 20 mg that work good

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Sharp turn to the north!!

114 surface

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_144l.gif

[fci]

I guess many people's statements that this is:
"a GOM Storm"
"Mexico"
"Look out SFL"

All are conjecture at this time until the system decides where it is going.

Which will probably be DAYS!!!

[Scorpion]

Tremendous changes in this run...

[cycloneye]

144 hours

North of the islands.

[vacanechaser]

Wild, wild, wild....I'm afraid we will start seeing different runs each day...Anyone have any tums or rolaids?

I have some Aciphex 20 mg that work good

my insurance would not pay for aciphex... taking nexium instead...


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[KFDM Meteorologist]

144 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_144l.gif

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Weakness is pulling it north.

[storms in NC]

But the Islands will still get a beating.

[x-y-no]

144 hours: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _144.shtml

Passing north of PR this run

[brunota2003]

Sharp turn to the north!!

114 surface

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_144l.gif

Oh for crying out loud...If it goes out to sea, I'll be happy...no more runs with it right over my head (especially if it decides to sit over the GS for a day or so )

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Question is will the weakness turn it north? If not it's GOM.

[Ivanhater]

I dont think the trough will pick it up on this run...just tugs it...we will see

[Brent]

Fascinating turn of events... this is a HUGE northward shift.

[Sanibel]

Sorry for the one-liner - but I told you it was erring south..

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

we may see a storm off the florida east coast forced to go in a SW direction back over Florida and into the gulf like another notorious storm by the way the synoptics appear to be setting up as seen in this latest run. -that is if the ridge then builds back west again atop of it.

[storms in NC]

Question is will the weakness turn it north? If not it's GOM.

There is a lot of "IF's"