Tropical Depression TEN: Discussions & Images

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HURAKAN
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#1701 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 21, 2007 7:53 am

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#1702 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 21, 2007 7:57 am

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Is this thing already inland?
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#1703 Postby jasons2k » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:05 am

No, looking @ radar it is just SW of Apalachicola moving slowly WNW

I suspected things would "gel' overnight but what is that in the central GOM?? Looks like banding is feeding into that too on the satellite? :double:
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Re: INVEST 93L: Northern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1704 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:08 am

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Re: INVEST 93L: Northern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1705 Postby Sabanic » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:10 am

Stormcenter wrote:Looks to me like it moving westward and maybe at quicker pace.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir2.html


WNW pretty evident based on your satellite links
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Re: INVEST 93L: Northern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1706 Postby ronjon » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:12 am

Looking more powerful on RAD. Come on NHC, it'll been near LF by the time you declare this a tropical storm. Upgrade this soon.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=TLH&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
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#1707 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:15 am

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Re: INVEST 93L: Northern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1708 Postby oyster_reef » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:16 am

ronjon wrote:Looking more powerful on RAD. Come on NHC, it'll been near LF by the time you declare this a tropical storm. Upgrade this soon.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=TLH&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes


landfall won't be until late tonight or tomorrow morning. at the earliest...
depends on wnw or west direction
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Re: INVEST 93L: Northern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1709 Postby tailgater » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:18 am

ronjon wrote:Looking more powerful on RAD. Come on NHC, it'll been near LF by the time you declare this a tropical storm. Upgrade this soon.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=TLH&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

TD maybe at the update but Recon hasn't found any stong winds near the center yet. 27 knts flight level is about it so far.
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Re: INVEST 93L: Northern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1710 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:19 am

tailgater wrote:
ronjon wrote:Looking more powerful on RAD. Come on NHC, it'll been near LF by the time you declare this a tropical storm. Upgrade this soon.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=TLH&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

TD maybe at the update but Recon hasn't found any stong winds near the center yet. 27 knts flight level is about it so far.


32 knts so far and they are flying at 960 mb, very low.
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#1711 Postby HenkL » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:24 am

They are close to the center now. Wind direction switched from S to W to NW, temperature 24°C and SLP (extrapolated) 1005 hPa.
Last edited by HenkL on Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#1712 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:29 am

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Re: INVEST 93L: Northern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1713 Postby Downdraft » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:36 am

East Central Florida specifically Lake and Marion counties had some severe weather last night. Many tornado reports and one confirmed in all likelihood in the City of Eustis with plenty of damage and reports of looting in the downtown area. Supercells traveling in excess of 25 mph rolled through the area moving north. Since the synoptics were so unusual for Florida at this time of year in a non El Nino event it must have been associated with 93L. Another good reason no one should take anything coming out of the Atlantic or the Gulf lightly especially at this time of year.
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Re: INVEST 93L: Northern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1714 Postby Acral » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:37 am

Still looking raggedy.
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#1715 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:43 am

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Another perspective:

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#1716 Postby Cape Verde » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:46 am

How in the heck did the center of circulation move that far north overnight?

I'm breathing a sigh of relief. I'm leaving on a hunting trip in a couple of hours and am supposed to return to Houston on Sunday. There is no way this is a Texas storm unless it does a magical movement like it appears it did overnight.
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#1717 Postby americanrebel » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:48 am

Still looks like 2 separate systems.
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#1718 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:49 am

Cape Verde wrote:How in the heck did the center of circulation move that far north overnight?

I'm breathing a sigh of relief. I'm leaving on a hunting trip in a couple of hours and am supposed to return to Houston on Sunday. There is no way this is a Texas storm unless it does a magical movement like it appears it did overnight.


Last night there were at least two centers and the northern one seems to have taken over. Be careful encountering Cheney in the hunting trip!!!
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#1719 Postby wxman57 » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:49 am

Cape Verde wrote:How in the heck did the center of circulation move that far north overnight?

I'm breathing a sigh of relief. I'm leaving on a hunting trip in a couple of hours and am supposed to return to Houston on Sunday. There is no way this is a Texas storm unless it does a magical movement like it appears it did overnight.


There were 2 centers last night, one up north, one south. The northern center became the focal point, the southern center is near 25.5N/87.6W and can be easily seen on satellite as a small rotation. I expect the NHC to upgrade 93L to TD 10 within the hour. Fairly tight center with max winds not far from the center. Definitely becoming tropical. Probably just a weak TS at landfall near the MS/LA border tomorrow.
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Re: Re:

#1720 Postby rockyman » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:54 am

wxman57 wrote:
Cape Verde wrote:How in the heck did the center of circulation move that far north overnight?

I'm breathing a sigh of relief. I'm leaving on a hunting trip in a couple of hours and am supposed to return to Houston on Sunday. There is no way this is a Texas storm unless it does a magical movement like it appears it did overnight.


There were 2 centers last night, one up north, one south. The northern center became the focal point, the southern center is near 25.5N/87.6W and can be easily seen on satellite as a small rotation. I expect the NHC to upgrade 93L to TD 10 within the hour. Fairly tight center with max winds not far from the center. Definitely becoming tropical. Probably just a weak TS at landfall near the MS/LA border tomorrow.


Based on the angle of approach, that would put me at ground zero, so to speak (Dauphin Island, AL)...I'll have to put on my intrepid reporter cap and pull out the digital camera...the last time I stayed on the Island for a "tropical storm" was Cindy...my wife's having flashbacks this morning...so we might "evacuate" to my mom's house in Mobile (plus she has a wonderful new natural gas powered generator)
Last edited by rockyman on Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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